That's looking better, but it's case rate growth, so anything above 0% is still growing of course.
Andy I asked on the other thread about the effect that restrictions implemented in the other home nations have had, do you know of any data that shows whether there has been a slowdown in the growth and subsequently a knock on effect on hospitalisations, or is it too early to draw any conclusions?That's looking better, but it's case rate growth, so anything above 0% is still growing of course.
Also, the places which need the most access to tests, are having massive trouble getting everyone a test who needs one.
It might be a case that we've reached the ceiling of what each area could ever dish out as a max of cases per tests, but that doesn't mean the infection is less or still, not growing rapidly, it just means you're not testing enough who need it. We've not had this problem before, certainly not to the same level and same growth. Basically our infection has eclipsed our localised testing limits (Boro is a good example).
Also, the week after NYE is probably one of the least busy weeks for activity.
Growth will still be slowing too mind, as this things just rips through places like a hurricane, can't be that many places left now which are not nearing their peaks, albeit stats will be slow to show it, especially the most accurate ONS surveys.
Worth keeping an eye on test positivity rates for places which get maxed out on PCR's, but there will be a finite limit.
Yeah, they've slowed growth a lot better than England, Wales is 20% better off, and the other two around 30-50% better off.Andy I asked on the other thread about the effect that restrictions implemented in the other home nations have had, do you know of any data that shows whether there has been a slowdown in the growth and subsequently a knock on effect on hospitalisations, or is it too early to draw any conclusions?
Cheers Andy that is really appreciated.Yeah, they've slowed growth a lot better than England, Wales is 20% better off, and the other two around 30-50% better off.
Risks and healthcare is easier to manage when you slow them down and have more time to tackle them.
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Geography/ climate etc play a lesser part as infectiousness (R0) of viruses increases. Could see big differences with an R of 2, but with an R of 8 it levels most of that off. Delta was probably the first variant which was really good at bridging that gap, and Omicron does it twice as well.Cheers Andy that is really appreciated.
I suppose a direct comparison cant be drawn because the geography of the 4 nations is quite different and London was obviously a huge factor on the England infection rate but it does show the implementation of restrictions does slow the infection rate.
I guess the question is, does it slow it enough to counter the negative effects to the economy and society? A question that I suppose will be debated time and time again.
I'm not sure if being put on oxy/ CPAP counts as those beds, but I knew (know) one of them on Oxy in Tesside who will have been on one of the numbers somewhere. A 50-60 year old who was triple jabbed, had to be put on oxy for a couple of days, but is now off it an on steroids and Morphene, should be out soon thankfully. Frightening stuff.Ventilator bed usage down to 875 from 911 yesterday, although yesterday’s number has been adjusted down to 900 for some reason. Best to take these numbers with a pinch of caution, but still very much worth keeping an eye on IMO
Need most of those lines to at least be levelling off, and London showing a quick decline, so we know when we were at the peak. this data is about a week or two old I think.
England ventilator beds down to the lowest total since the 18th of OctoberVentilator beds down to 868 (6th Jan) from 875 the day before