The 9am figures not disclosed yet?

That's looking better, but it's case rate growth, so anything above 0% is still growing of course.

Also, the places which need the most access to tests, are having massive trouble getting everyone a test who needs one.

It might be a case that we've reached the ceiling of what each area could ever dish out as a max of cases per tests, but that doesn't mean the infection is less or still, not growing rapidly, it just means you're not testing enough who need it. We've not had this problem before, certainly not to the same level and same growth. Basically our infection has eclipsed our localised testing limits (Boro is a good example).

Also, the week after NYE is probably one of the least busy weeks for activity.

Growth will still be slowing too mind, as this things just rips through places like a hurricane, can't be that many places left now which are not nearing their peaks, albeit stats will be slow to show it, especially the most accurate ONS surveys.

Worth keeping an eye on test positivity rates for places which get maxed out on PCR's, but there will be a finite limit.
 
That's looking better, but it's case rate growth, so anything above 0% is still growing of course.

Also, the places which need the most access to tests, are having massive trouble getting everyone a test who needs one.

It might be a case that we've reached the ceiling of what each area could ever dish out as a max of cases per tests, but that doesn't mean the infection is less or still, not growing rapidly, it just means you're not testing enough who need it. We've not had this problem before, certainly not to the same level and same growth. Basically our infection has eclipsed our localised testing limits (Boro is a good example).

Also, the week after NYE is probably one of the least busy weeks for activity.

Growth will still be slowing too mind, as this things just rips through places like a hurricane, can't be that many places left now which are not nearing their peaks, albeit stats will be slow to show it, especially the most accurate ONS surveys.

Worth keeping an eye on test positivity rates for places which get maxed out on PCR's, but there will be a finite limit.
Andy I asked on the other thread about the effect that restrictions implemented in the other home nations have had, do you know of any data that shows whether there has been a slowdown in the growth and subsequently a knock on effect on hospitalisations, or is it too early to draw any conclusions?
 
Andy I asked on the other thread about the effect that restrictions implemented in the other home nations have had, do you know of any data that shows whether there has been a slowdown in the growth and subsequently a knock on effect on hospitalisations, or is it too early to draw any conclusions?
Yeah, they've slowed growth a lot better than England, Wales is 20% better off, and the other two around 30-50% better off.

Risks and healthcare is easier to manage when you slow them down and have more time to tackle them.



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Yeah, they've slowed growth a lot better than England, Wales is 20% better off, and the other two around 30-50% better off.

Risks and healthcare is easier to manage when you slow them down and have more time to tackle them.



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Cheers Andy that is really appreciated.

I suppose a direct comparison cant be drawn because the geography of the 4 nations is quite different and London was obviously a huge factor on the England infection rate but it does show the implementation of restrictions does slow the infection rate.

I guess the question is, does it slow it enough to counter the negative effects to the economy and society? A question that I suppose will be debated time and time again.
 
Cheers Andy that is really appreciated.

I suppose a direct comparison cant be drawn because the geography of the 4 nations is quite different and London was obviously a huge factor on the England infection rate but it does show the implementation of restrictions does slow the infection rate.

I guess the question is, does it slow it enough to counter the negative effects to the economy and society? A question that I suppose will be debated time and time again.
Geography/ climate etc play a lesser part as infectiousness (R0) of viruses increases. Could see big differences with an R of 2, but with an R of 8 it levels most of that off. Delta was probably the first variant which was really good at bridging that gap, and Omicron does it twice as well.

London had an early start of course, but England was at a slightly lower base when that came about, we've gone from joint last with Scotland, to winning it and we're streets ahead now.

We've suffered worse under Covid, than the rest of the richer/most comparable EU nations, so it's seemingly not impossible to manage Covid, and manage the economy (except for our government).
 
Ventilator bed usage down to 875 from 911 yesterday, although yesterday’s number has been adjusted down to 900 for some reason. Best to take these numbers with a pinch of caution, but still very much worth keeping an eye on IMO

I'm not sure if being put on oxy/ CPAP counts as those beds, but I knew (know) one of them on Oxy in Tesside who will have been on one of the numbers somewhere. A 50-60 year old who was triple jabbed, had to be put on oxy for a couple of days, but is now off it an on steroids and Morphene, should be out soon thankfully. Frightening stuff.
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 179,756 new cases reported in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 194,747
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 0.8% to 177,284 per day, following 0.9% increase yesterday
• 7-day average for new cases is 31.3% higher than one week ago (from 42.8% higher yesterday) and 84.0% higher than two weeks ago (from 94.4% higher yesterday and 113.6% higher 7 days ago)
• 2,101 new admissions to English hospitals in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 2,219
• 7-day average for admissions to English hospitals increases by 0.1% to 2,041 per day, following 3.4% increase yesterday (and 33rd daily increase in the past 34 days)
• 7-day average for admissions to English hospitals is 42.8% higher than one week ago (from 58.1% higher yesterday) and 132.5% higher than two weeks ago (from 143.4% higher yesterday and 87.5% higher 7 days ago)
• 16,058 Covid patients in English hospitals, up from yesterday's 15,659
• Number of Covid patients in English hospitals increases by 2.5%, following 4.1% increase yesterday (and 18th daily increase in the past 19 days)
• Number of Covid patients in English hospitals is 40.2% higher than one week ago (from 49.7% higher yesterday) and 125.7% higher than two weeks ago (from 121.2% higher yesterday and 78.8% higher 7 days ago)
• 231 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, down from 334 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test decreases by 8.5% to 156.3 per day, following 28.6% decrease yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 56.1% higher than one week ago (from 131.6% higher yesterday) and 39.5% higher than two weeks ago (from 52.6% higher yesterday and 12.6% lower 7 days ago)
 
@rob_fmttm, could we not keep this thread as a sticky?

bear66, who is sadly no longer with us & Billy Horner, started this thread way back in March 2020 which has grown to 280 pages / 5.5k replies
Posters still continue to add to this thread with new updated data & comments, as a fitting tribute to bear66 it would be nice to have it at the top of the page, rather than posters looking for the thread

I know you can't put a sticky up for everyone, my reason is that bear contributed a lot to this forum & the thread itself is of interest to us all
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 178,250 new cases reported in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 179,756
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 0.9% to 175,627 per day, following 0.8% decrease yesterday
• 7-day average for new cases is 21.4% higher than one week ago (from 31.3% higher yesterday) and 74.7% higher than two weeks ago (from 84.0% higher yesterday and 112.2% higher 7 days ago)
• 2,139 new admissions to English hospitals in 24-hour period, slightly up from yesterday's 2,101
• 7-day average for admissions to English hospitals decreases by 1.6% to 2,008 per day, following 0.1% increase yesterday
• 7-day average for admissions to English hospitals is 26.3% higher than one week ago (from 42.8% higher yesterday) and 113.4% higher than two weeks ago (from 132.5% higher yesterday and 106.6% higher 7 days ago)
• 16,163 Covid patients in English hospitals, up from yesterday's 16,058
• Number of Covid patients in English hospitals increases by 0.7%, following 2.5% increase yesterday (and 19th daily increase in the past 20 days)
• Number of Covid patients in English hospitals is 30.4% higher than one week ago (from 40.2% higher yesterday) and 119.4% higher than two weeks ago (from 125.7% higher yesterday and 96.1% higher 7 days ago)
• 229 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, slightly down from 231 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test increases by 2.4% to 160.0 per day, following 8.5% decrease yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 46.0% higher than one week ago (from 56.1% higher yesterday) and 38.3% higher than two weeks ago (from 39.5% higher yesterday and 3.3% lower 7 days ago)
 
One thing I have noticed is, despite the rise in daily hospitalizations, the overall numbers in hospitals is only climbing (relatively) slowly. The number of daily discharges is therefore also very high. A good sign, although I do appreciate some of those ”discharged” become part of the death figures
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 142,224 new cases reported in 24-hour period, up from yesterday's 141,472
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 1.3% to 171,648 per day, following 0.3% increase yesterday
• 7-day average for new cases is 4.5% higher than one week ago (from 11.6% higher yesterday) and 58.1% higher than two weeks ago (from 61.6% higher yesterday and 96.6% higher 7 days ago)
• 1,862 new admissions to English hospitals in 24-hour period, up from yesterday's 1,772
• 7-day average for admissions to English hospitals increases by 0.3% to 2,002 per day, following 0.1% decrease yesterday
• 7-day average for admissions to English hospitals is 5.5% higher than one week ago (from 9.6% higher yesterday) and 77.8% higher than two weeks ago (from 90.4% higher yesterday and 144.3% higher 7 days ago)
• 17,120 Covid patients in English hospitals, up from yesterday's 16,399
• Number of Covid patients in English hospitals increases by 4.4%, following 2.3% increase yesterday (and 21st daily increase in the past 23 days)
• Number of Covid patients in English hospitals is 20.5% higher than one week ago (from 24.7% higher yesterday) and 102.0% higher than two weeks ago (from 117.6% higher yesterday and 112.5% higher 7 days ago)
• 76 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, down from 97 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test increases by 2.6% to 189.9 per day, following 1.9% increase yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 48.0% higher than one week ago (from 29.6% higher yesterday) and 79.1% higher than two weeks ago (from 101.4% higher yesterday and 14.4% higher 7 days ago)
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 120,821 new cases reported in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 142,224
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 8.1% to 157,661 per day, following 1.3% decrease yesterday (and 5th daily decrease in the past 6 days)
• 7-day average for new cases is 10.9% lower than one week ago (from 4.5% higher yesterday) and 38.2% higher than two weeks ago (from 58.1% higher yesterday and 101.2% higher 7 days ago)
• 1,975 new admissions to English hospitals in 24-hour period, up from yesterday's 1,862
• 7-day average for admissions to English hospitals increases by 0.7% to 2,016 per day, following 0.3% increase yesterday
• 7-day average for admissions to English hospitals is 2.3% higher than one week ago (from 5.5% higher yesterday) and 69.4% higher than two weeks ago (from 77.8% higher yesterday and 146.6% higher 7 days ago)
• 16,939 Covid patients in English hospitals, down from yesterday's 17,120
• Number of Covid patients in English hospitals decreases by 1.1%, following 4.4% increase yesterday
• Number of Covid patients in English hospitals is 12.6% higher than one week ago (from 20.5% higher yesterday) and 77.4% higher than two weeks ago (from 102.0% higher yesterday and 118.0% higher 7 days ago)
• 379 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, up from 76 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test increases by 24.8% to 237.0 per day, following 2.6% increase yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 78.6% higher than one week ago (from 48.0% higher yesterday) and 182.1% higher than two weeks ago (from 79.1% higher yesterday and 15.1% higher 7 days ago)

Last week's bank holiday effect explains the significant increase in the 7-day average for new deaths. Expect a significant fall tomorrow, before the average should return to something like normality from Thursday onwards. That said, the 'true' average would appear to be higher now than immediately before the Christmas period.
 
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