Andy_W
Well-known member
I think India is different, largely in that they waaaaaaay under-reported their problem, like a few countries seem to have done. They could be 10x underreported. So whilst it may have burnt out in the cities, it's burnt out at very high levels. Easy to do with the poor recording, scrutiny, controls and a mass of people.I was taking to some american colleagues who are now concerned about the delta variant. We seem to be following the same path as India where the delta variant just seems to burn out quickly, for whatever reason.
It may be it just had a short shelf life. Let's hope. If not then we are in for a difficult winter.
At least with us, when we mess up, we know to the Nth degree how big that mess was.
I don't think we've burnt out in full, I think it's just that cases got well above where they would have naturally went without the euro's etc. This is a "lull" to me, until removing restrictions bumps it to where it would have been, but I'd be made up if it just slid away.
We still need to know that there's no peak, coming in winter, so that's why they're basically trying to pull that peak forward, and the peak of the exit wave should still be in August, but who knows, that new peak we may not even break 50k cases again, that would be a result.