The 9am figures not disclosed yet?

bear66

Well-known member
As of 9am on 24 July, 5,669,770 people have tested positive for COVID-19 in the UK.

Positive cases were 31,795 (54,674 on corresponding day last week).

86 deaths were reported today (41 on corresponding day last week).

153,070 deaths with Covid-19 on the death certificate (up to 9 July).

46,519,998 have had a first dose vaccination. 42,117 first dose vaccinations yesterday. 36,953,691 have had a second dose. 177,490 second dose vaccinations today.
 

r00fie1

Well-known member
Information from Qualified Senior Clinical Practitioners, currently working in the NHS - not in Trafalgar Square - always helpful to shed light on the current situation.
Hope its helpful.
E60jAFcXMAY7IPN.jpeg
 

bear66

Well-known member
Surely a quick way to tell if there is a link between cases dropping and schools would be to check the number of tests completed? I seen something on Twitter earlier to say the numbers haven’t changed, can anyone verify that
England tests showing LFD and LFD plus PCR. They were increasing till a few days ago but are now falling off a little. It's the symptomatic PCR tests that are the vast majority of cases and they're falling off most quickly. Looks like the Euros! A virologist on R4 yesterday said it would be next week before the recent relaxation of restrictions would show through and late August before the peak.

Screenshot_20210725-081147.jpg
 

Chris_Boro

Well-known member
Only just found this out...apparently still applies if you tested positive a year ago. (According to Peston).

Surely any possible reinfections are recorded somewhere?

Screenshot_20210725-134030_Twitter.jpg
 
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bear66

Well-known member
As of 9am on 25 July, 5,697,912 people have tested positive for COVID-19 in the UK.

Positive cases were 29,173 (48,161 on corresponding day last week).

28 deaths were reported today (25 on corresponding day last week).

153,070 deaths with Covid-19 on the death certificate (up to 9 July).

46,563,452 have had a first dose vaccination. 43,454 first dose vaccinations yesterday. 37,160,659 have had a second dose. 206,968 second dose vaccinations today.
 

Laughing

Well-known member
Infections may well be slowing down, but testing has slowed down also and the rate of positive tests is still creeping up I believe.

Testing in the last 7 days has reduced by 5% and reported infection rates have reduced by 15%, so it's not quite as clear cut as the 7 day average for infections appears.
 

NorthumberlandBoro

Well-known member
Infections may well be slowing down, but testing has slowed down also and the rate of positive tests is still creeping up I believe.

Testing in the last 7 days has reduced by 5% and reported infection rates have reduced by 15%, so it's not quite as clear cut as the 7 day average for infections appears.
The headline numbers do look a bit too good to be true.
 

Randy

Well-known member
Infections may well be slowing down, but testing has slowed down also and the rate of positive tests is still creeping up I believe.

Testing in the last 7 days has reduced by 5% and reported infection rates have reduced by 15%, so it's not quite as clear cut as the 7 day average for infections appears.
They've been going down for the last 5 days.

Also.

20210719_171036.jpg
 

Borotommo

Well-known member
I notice the daily jabs have increased over the last week, too. Around combined 200k per day, a week ago climbing steadily to £250k today
 

Laughing

Well-known member
They've been going down for the last 5 days.

Also.

View attachment 21893
I think the iinfection rate is dropping Randy, just not as fast as we might think based on testing. I do know last Monday there were areas who had zero lft kits for example.

I would expect schools breaking up to help the reduction but to counter that we have the removal of restrictions and particularly the work from home directive being removed, may cause a spike.

We also have another localized variant under investigation.

Whilst I do believe that the link between infections rates and death has been weakened I don't think we are anywhere near such a large reversal of infection rates. I hope I am wrong, obviously.
 

bear66

Well-known member
I think the iinfection rate is dropping Randy, just not as fast as we might think based on testing. I do know last Monday there were areas who had zero lft kits for example.

I would expect schools breaking up to help the reduction but to counter that we have the removal of restrictions and particularly the work from home directive being removed, may cause a spike.

We also have another localized variant under investigation.

Whilst I do believe that the link between infections rates and death has been weakened I don't think we are anywhere near such a large reversal of infection rates. I hope I am wrong, obviously.
Localised variant under investigation?
 

T_A_D

Active member

T_A_D

Active member
England tests showing LFD and LFD plus PCR. They were increasing till a few days ago but are now falling off a little. It's the symptomatic PCR tests that are the vast majority of cases and they're falling off most quickly. Looks like the Euros! A virologist on R4 yesterday said it would be next week before the recent relaxation of restrictions would show through and late August before the peak.

View attachment 21820
Who was the virologist out of interest?

The euros?

These were some of the scenes from euro final day......


That was 14 days ago now. So we should be seeing a rise in cases now?

The same account made a prediction:

https://twitter.com/DaFeid/status/1419361439303839753

Similar predictions have been made by anonymous twitter accounts (who have been spot on for the US) while Ferguson and Hayward predicted an inevitable 100,000 and (after a plateau) continued exponential growth respectively. Lets see who is right over the coming weeks. 'Delta' has shown an ascent of ~52 days in India, looks v similar for the UK......

https://twitter.com/districtai/status/1419359549933461505

Restrictions and 'lockdowns' are often credited with falling cases yet when places ease restrictions and cases continue to fall it is often overlooked/ignored. With (almost) no restrictions in place in the UK and bars, cubs open at full capacity the mathematicians and modelers have nowhere to hide this time. There should be a clear inflection/increase due to 'full re-opening' on July 19th / removal of mask mandate etc. I've been wrong before but lets see how it pans out........
 

TheYorkshireTerrier

Well-known member
Who was the virologist out of interest?

The euros?

These were some of the scenes from euro final day......


That was 14 days ago now. So we should be seeing a rise in cases now?

I could be wrong but it seems with the delta variant the virus is first detectable lot quicker, something like 4 days, rather than two weeks.

 

GazC_MFC

Well-known member
I could be wrong but it seems with the delta variant the virus is first detectable lot quicker, something like 4 days, rather than two weeks.

Ye I agree, we seen a sharp rise for the weeks following it. Wasn’t 7-10 days on old variants and 14 days was towards the back end of the incubation period
 

bear66

Well-known member
I could be wrong but it seems with the delta variant the virus is first detectable lot quicker, something like 4 days, rather than two weeks.

There were anecdotal comments on here of people testing positive, whose most likely contact was a Euro night out at the pub. Most were 3-4 days after.
 
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