The 9am figures not disclosed yet?

Market falling today anticipating the second spike with infections on the increase in certain US States and in China. Will be interesting to see what impact the demonstrations and raves will have on London and Leeds and Manchester.
 
Hey @Billy Horner I don't understand this -

• 7-day average for new hospital reported infections increases by 5.4%, following 2.7% increase yesterday (and 2nd consecutive daily increase)
• 7-day average for new hospital reported infections is 10.2% lower than one week ago (from 20.5% lower yesterday) and 37.2% lower than two weeks ago (from 44.3% lower yesterday and 57.5% lower 7 days ago)

Could you please explain the difference between the two?
 
Alvez_48 said:
Hey @Billy Horner I don't understand this -

• 7-day average for new hospital reported infections increases by 5.4%, following 2.7% increase yesterday (and 2nd consecutive daily increase)
• 7-day average for new hospital reported infections is 10.2% lower than one week ago (from 20.5% lower yesterday) and 37.2% lower than two weeks ago (from 44.3% lower yesterday and 57.5% lower 7 days ago)

Could you please explain the difference between the two?
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I think the first is the change compared with yesterday and the second is the change since last week / two weeks ago.
 
Alvez_48 said:
Hey @Billy Horner I don't understand this -

• 7-day average for new hospital reported infections increases by 5.4%, following 2.7% increase yesterday (and 2nd consecutive daily increase)
• 7-day average for new hospital reported infections is 10.2% lower than one week ago (from 20.5% lower yesterday) and 37.2% lower than two weeks ago (from 44.3% lower yesterday and 57.5% lower 7 days ago)

Could you please explain the difference between the two?
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Hi Alvez

What it's stating is that, on a day-to-day basis, the 7-day average has increased for each of the past two days. However, if you compare the average today with what it was one week ago, it is 10.2% lower (and 37.2% lower than a fortnight ago). I include them as a measure of the rate of change over a longer period of time.

I agree it's a bit confusing, but I'm not sure how to word it any better. Any suggestions gratefully received!
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 329 hospital reported infections in 24-hour period, up from yesterday's 305
• 7-day average for new hospital reported infections decreases by 13.4%, following 5.4% increase yesterday (and 54th decrease in the past 58 days)
• 7-day average for new hospital reported infections is 26.5% lower than one week ago (from 10.2% lower yesterday) and 43.6% lower than two weeks ago (from 37.2% lower yesterday and 52.4% lower 7 days ago)
• 233 new deaths in all settings reported in 24-hour period, up from 38 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths in all settings decreases by 4.7%, following 1.5% decrease yesterday (and 11th consecutive daily decrease)
• 7-day average for new deaths in all settings is 28.3% lower than one week ago (from 26.6% lower yesterday) and 42.1% lower than two weeks ago (from 32.4% lower yesterday and 11.3% lower 7 days ago)
 
Duffman said:
That’s a significant spike in deaths
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It's the weekend effect again. Artificially depresses the numbers announced on Sunday/Monday (which are for the previous 24 hours) and is then followed by a correction on the Tuesday/Wednesday.

Less pronounced than last week's correction, hence why the 7-day average has fallen again.
 
Billy Horner said:
It's the weekend effect again. Artificially depresses the numbers announced on Sunday/Monday (which are for the previous 24 hours) and is then followed by a correction on the Tuesday/Wednesday.

Less pronounced than last week's correction, hence why the 7-day average has fallen again.
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You need to start putting down the amount of days these deaths are stretched over Billy. It's the same thing every Tuesday and people get worked up about it. There are guys on Twitter with access to that information so it must be available publicly.
 
RandySavage said:
You need to start putting down the amount of days these deaths are stretched over Billy. It's the same thing every Tuesday and people get worked up about it. There are guys on Twitter with access to that information so it must be available publicly.
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It's pretty much a catch up of the weekend. We all know that.
 
RandySavage said:
You need to start putting down the amount of days these deaths are stretched over Billy. It's the same thing every Tuesday and people get worked up about it. There are guys on Twitter with access to that information so it must be available publicly.
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They don't publish the number of days that the UK deaths in all settings are stretched over. The only organisation that publishes data in that format is NHS England, which purely relates to deaths in English hospitals, so I'm afraid those guys on Twitter are only telling part of the story.
 
Billy Horner said:
They don't publish the number of days that the UK deaths in all settings are stretched over. The only organisation that publishes data in that format is NHS England, which purely relates to deaths in English hospitals, so I'm afraid those guys on Twitter are only telling part of the story.
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The hospital deaths is what I was on about. 😉
 
That's fine, but they're not the figures I include in the daily analysis!

The government stopped publishing a UK-wide figure for deaths in hospitals a couple of weeks ago. The way they compiled the figures wasn't straightforward, so you can't simply add the four national figures together as a proxy.
 
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