If I read that correctly Lefty the national team are reaching 61% of 61% of 78% of possibly infected folks. That is 30% of people are contacted.
Let me give you my reasoning, as it may be very wrong.
78% of people who tested positive are contacted.
Of that 78% 61% gave contacts, so 39% gave no contacts, I assumed they refused, but had been in contact with people
Of that number only 61% were reached.
It doesn't paint a picture of success for me.
We need an anonymous app.
We also need to be able to trust Dominic Cummings, I mean the government, with our data. After they refused to answer my data integrity questions, and they won’t comply with GDPR I’d be nervous about using the systemActually, it's even worse than that. Those stats only relate to the people we know have contracted Covid due to a positive test.
Currently, approx. 670 people per day are testing positive. The ONS estimates that 2,800 people per day are becoming newly infected, so we're only finding 24% of them in the first place.
So that means the Track and Trace teams are reaching 61% of 61% of 78% of 24%. That means that approx. 7% of possible contacts are being successfully traced and contacted.
We need a massively expanded and comprehensive testing system before things like an app would make any noticeable difference.
If we were to use a third party API like Ireland. I think there's cost 700,000, there would be no problem with data security around privacy. The only reason to develop your own is to harvest dataWe also need to be able to trust Dominic Cummings, I mean the government, with our data. After they refused to answer my data integrity questions, and they won’t comply with GDPR I’d be nervous about using the system
England currently has less people on ventilation than Germany. 92 to 119.
Deaths are staying high though. Probably due to a badly managed and confusing lockdownYou just have to ask how accurate the testing is. Or how deadly the virus now is. Or are we just protecting the vulnerable really well
The pubs opened 3 weeks ago now. The increased positives tests have come off the back off this but this is not resulting in people on ventilators.
Only data I haven’t seen to make me feel more comfortable about the current situation is actual hospital admissions
16 deaths in English hospitals is hardly high is it? Compared to where it was.Deaths are staying high though. Probably due to a badly managed and confusing lockdown
123 deaths in all situations is VERY high considering how long it's been going on for16 deaths in English hospitals is hardly high is it? Compared to where it was.