The 9am figures not disclosed yet?

Andy just says 'science consensus idiot' and that's enough for him.

Of course what he says is not backed by anything apart from his own assertion that he's right.

He says I'm blocked yet in a post that didn't @ him he responded weird. Enjoy your Saturday Andy relax and have a fun time.
 
You have described the general public as being idiots plenty of times. Not aimed at Randy, you're right. Your didain for your fellow man comes across loud and clear Andy, even in your explanation quoted.
I don't think the general public are, but may have written that and not meant it that way, but the general public would be average I expect, but there are a fair few idiots around though..

I know lots of people who fully admit they're not the smartest or even nowhere near average, but most are willing to listen to science and consensus, which is totally fine. My problem is with those that raise points against science and consensus, with no credibility to do so, and those who don't back them up, or when countered they ignore the countering points and move off on a tangent. To me, on this subject, it seems mostly like confirmation bias, ignorance or being disingenuous.

Each to their own though, and I hope I don't offend anyone much, but if people hold views well against the "norm" then they're going to get some flack, I get plenty of it when I have views against the norm, which is fine.
 
I don't think the general public are, but may have written that and not meant it that way, but the general public would be average I expect, but there are a fair few idiots around though..

I know lots of people who fully admit they're not the smartest or even nowhere near average, but most are willing to listen to science and consensus, which is totally fine. My problem is with those that raise points against science and consensus, with no credibility to do so, and those who don't back them up, or when countered they ignore the countering points and move off on a tangent. To me, on this subject, it seems mostly like confirmation bias, ignorance or being disingenuous.

Each to their own though, and I hope I don't offend anyone much, but if people hold views well against the "norm" then they're going to get some flack, I get plenty of it when I have views against the norm, which is fine.
You are free to interact with folks as you see fit Andy. None of my business really. You do come across s condescending and dismissive. Your assertion about masks for example has very little scientific evidence to back it up but it was a harmless measure that might help. There is not a single shred of evidence that it works in enclosed spaces, but what's the harm.

Its bad science. There is a lot of conflicting evidence around the best way to handle a pandemic and different countries have taken different routes and imposed measures at different times.

Whilst, seemingly using a scientific basis to defend lockdowns, in your opinion it is no longer needed. You then make a shed load of assumptions to back up that viewpoint none of which had anything to do with science.

Because you think it's time to open up your prepared to make your own judgements whilst belittling those that come to different conclusions than you.

As I said we are all free to speak our minds in any way we see fit, just be aware how you come across.
 
As of 9am on 24 April, 4,403,170 people have tested positive for COVID-19 in the UK.

Positive cases were 2,061 (2,206 on corresponding day last week).

32 deaths were reported today (35 on corresponding day last week)

150,841 deaths with Covid-19 on the death certificate (up to 9 April)

33,508,590 have had a first dose vaccination. 119,853 first dose vaccinations yesterday. 12,071,810 have had a second dose. 448,139 second dose vaccinations today.
 
You are free to interact with folks as you see fit Andy. None of my business really. You do come across s condescending and dismissive. Your assertion about masks for example has very little scientific evidence to back it up but it was a harmless measure that might help. There is not a single shred of evidence that it works in enclosed spaces, but what's the harm.

Its bad science. There is a lot of conflicting evidence around the best way to handle a pandemic and different countries have taken different routes and imposed measures at different times.

Whilst, seemingly using a scientific basis to defend lockdowns, in your opinion it is no longer needed. You then make a shed load of assumptions to back up that viewpoint none of which had anything to do with science.

Because you think it's time to open up your prepared to make your own judgements whilst belittling those that come to different conclusions than you.

As I said we are all free to speak our minds in any way we see fit, just be aware how you come across.
Fair enough, not that fussed about that to be honest, but in general, I respond in a way relative to what I get back. Points that go against consensus, the world's actions for good, against medical advice and against WHO recommendations do a lot more harm than me spouting some strong words to defend the consensus.

If people have good points, back them up and debate, rather than post, ignore and divert then they would get a more pleasant response and be given more credibility.

Masks aren't even a debate, it's been done to death, but they physically stop larger droplets, like stopping(limiting) me from spitting in someone's face (by accident), also stopping(limiting) contamination of the local area (for someone else to touch) etc, it's simple common sense and has been shown by many high-speed videos etc. The NHS even go one further and wear a face shield in some instances. Masks also reducing viral load, it has to, as it can't not do. Some things don't need a million studies, as common sense says it would be unnecessary and resources could be better used elsewhere for things that may be debatable. Even the nations and states which were against mask use, are now suggesting mask use (or at least where once their cases started rising). Who has done a good job without social distancing and masks? It's how you define an enclosed space also, leave it to personal choice/ opinion and some will take the pi$$ and bring everyone else down with them, just don't take the chance, it helps, and then when it's helped enough the masks can be ditched, like they probably could now.

Bad science in your opinion, I think it's fantastic science, as I trust the experts and consensus, but I just don't think they were listened to, early enough. The best way to handle a pandemic is one that either stops it in its tracks, or next best-being one that doesn't overwhelm your health infrastructure, as this then increases the IFR. We pushed it close, a few times, we did a poor job. Brazil have proven what even worse handling could do, and now India have decided to take that even further.

I defended lockdowns, masks, distancing etc when cases were rising or high, when people were not vaccinated, when there was a shed load more risk, as they bring cases down and/ or stop them going up, either way they help.
I'm against some of the lockdown now (not all of it), as cases and deaths are no longer rising or creating excess, although I'll wait another 3 weeks, it matters little to me, just trying to help out those industries that need it, and be on the other side for once (partially).
But there's a caveat to what I'm saying about opening up, as I wouldn't be against future lockdowns if there was a chance of going back into excess or there was a risk of overwhelming the NHS. I don't think this is likely, based on current modelling, and very basic protection measures, until the adults have all been vaccinated.
The government's line seems to be "wait a bit longer, but we're not doing this again", I can understand that, and don't think it would alter numbers much from what I'm saying, albeit their way is likely better PR for them, I don't give a to$$ about their PR though.

Risk is a sliding scale, it isn't all or nothing. Everyone has an opinion of when we're "safe enough", for some that's 100k excess deaths, for others against lockdowns and masks etc, then surely they must have been up for a load more than that? That's nice of them.
Neither of those are for me. But now we're no longer contributing to additional excess, and there's limited evidence we would/ could in the near future, as the most at-risk people are vaccinated and we've done a good job reducing cases (with masks, distancing, lockdown etc).
I'd have took the last 2 (or next 3 weeks) lockdown and preferred to have it back in March or December 20, when it would have had more effect on deaths/ cases, more bang for buck, so to speak.
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 2,061 new cases reported in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 2,678
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 0.8% to 2,462 per day, following 0.5% increase yesterday
• 7-day average for new cases is 2.8% lower than one week ago (from 4.1% lower yesterday) and 9.1% lower than two weeks ago (from 12.3% lower yesterday and 36.5% lower 7 days ago)
• 32 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, down from 40 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test decreases by 1.9% to 23 per day, following 3.8% increase yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 11.7% lower than one week ago (from 12.4% lower yesterday) and 37.4% lower than two weeks ago (from 27.7% lower yesterday and 28.9% lower 7 days ago)
 
Fair enough, not that fussed about that to be honest, but in general, I respond in a way relative to what I get back. Points that go against consensus, the world's actions for good, against medical advice and against WHO recommendations do a lot more harm than me spouting some strong words to defend the consensus.

Lets start with this one. Do you have any idea how lowly the WHO is considered by the BMA? The WHO should never be a starting point for scientific consesus.


If people have good points, back them up and debate, rather than post, ignore and divert then they would get a more pleasant response and be given more credibility.

Andy this is laughable given your posts about why we should be quicker releasing restrictions.
Masks aren't even a debate, it's been done to death, but they physically stop larger droplets, like stopping(limiting) me from spitting in someone's face (by accident), also stopping(limiting) contamination of the local area (for someone else to touch) etc, it's simple common sense and has been shown by many high-speed videos etc. The NHS even go one further and wear a face shield in some instances. Masks also reducing viral load, it has to, as it can't not do. Some things don't need a million studies, as common sense says it would be unnecessary and resources could be better used elsewhere for things that may be debatable. Even the nations and states which were against mask use, are now suggesting mask use (or at least where once their cases started rising). Who has done a good job without social distancing and masks? It's how you define an enclosed space also, leave it to personal choice/ opinion and some will take the pi$$ and bring everyone else down with them, just don't take the chance, it helps, and then when it's helped enough the masks can be ditched, like they probably could now.

Show me the science that masks make a difference indoors? It's been done to death to your satisfaction, not in general. Bad science mate.
Bad science in your opinion, I think it's fantastic science, as I trust the experts and consensus, but I just don't think they were listened to, early enough. The best way to handle a pandemic is one that either stops it in its tracks, or next best-being one that doesn't overwhelm your health infrastructure, as this then increases the IFR. We pushed it close, a few times, we did a poor job. Brazil have proven what even worse handling could do, and now India have decided to take that even further.

Again the use of the word consensus. So what is fantastic scientific consesus that you speak off? Apparently not that we should lock down any more. You want everything opened, apart from standing in pubs, cos the scientific consensus says thats bad.. Show me that scientific consesus?
I defended lockdowns, masks, distancing etc when cases were rising or high, when people were not vaccinated, when there was a shed load more risk, as they bring cases down and/ or stop them going up, either way they help.
I'm against some of the lockdown now (not all of it), as cases and deaths are no longer rising or creating excess, although I'll wait another 3 weeks, it matters little to me, just trying to help out those industries that need it, and be on the other side for once (partially).
But there's a caveat to what I'm saying about opening up, as I wouldn't be against future lockdowns if there was a chance of going back into excess or there was a risk of overwhelming the NHS. I don't think this is likely, based on current modelling, and very basic protection measures, until the adults have all been vaccinated.
The government's line seems to be "wait a bit longer, but we're not doing this again", I can understand that, and don't think it would alter numbers much from what I'm saying, albeit their way is likely better PR for them, I don't give a to$$ about their PR though.
Opinion opinion opinion. Show me the scientific consesus?
Risk is a sliding scale, it isn't all or nothing. Everyone has an opinion of when we're "safe enough", for some that's 100k excess deaths, for others against lockdowns and masks etc, then surely they must have been up for a load more than that? That's nice of them.
Neither of those are for me. But now we're no longer contributing to additional excess, and there's limited evidence we would/ could in the near future, as the most at-risk people are vaccinated and we've done a good job reducing cases (with masks, distancing, lockdown etc).
I'd have took the last 2 (or next 3 weeks) lockdown and preferred to have it back in March or December 20, when it would have had more effect on deaths/ cases, more bang for buck, so to speak.
opinion opinion opinion, show me the scientific concesus?

You use opinion like it's science. It isnt.

I am not saying you are wrong, I by and large agree, not with everything you say, but I recognise that's my opinion, you, wrongly use scientific consensus in completely the wrong way, then criticise people for their opinions.
 
Lets start with this one. Do you have any idea how lowly the WHO is considered by the BMA? The WHO should never be a starting point for scientific consesus.

Andy this is laughable given your posts about why we should be quicker releasing restrictions.

Show me the science that masks make a difference indoors? It's been done to death to your satisfaction, not in general. Bad science mate.

Again the use of the word consensus. So what is fantastic scientific consesus that you speak off? Apparently not that we should lock down any more. You want everything opened, apart from standing in pubs, cos the scientific consensus says thats bad.. Show me that scientific consesus?

Opinion opinion opinion. Show me the scientific consesus?

opinion opinion opinion, show me the scientific concesus?

You use opinion like it's science. It isnt.

I am not saying you are wrong, I by and large agree, not with everything you say, but I recognise that's my opinion, you, wrongly use scientific consensus in completely the wrong way, then criticise people for their opinions.
This is my last one....thought it would be polite to reply, but I won't reply any more after this :)

The WHO isn't necessarily a starting point, as it is generic, but those that know more are (asia early days), had we listened at the start (prevent, test, track, trace, isolate etc), it would have been much easier. Knowledge has progressed, as it always does, and most of what the WHO have advised has helped. I'd agree with most of this, so would the BMA and our government:
The BMA advise masks, face shields, distancing, hand washing, limiting time etc, they effectively advise the government IPC, and they directly link to it.

literally, all of the respectable governments/ countries realise that masks work, along with lockdown and social distancing. There are zero governments/ large countries against mask use and distancing, when cases are high or increasing, pretty much every country that got hit hard got forced to take lockdown measures, and pretty much followed some, most or all of WHO guidance.

I answer everything in-depth, probably way OTT, but I'm generally thorough anyway. I find this type of debate interesting and have a lot of free time now. The thing is, I get a response to about 10% of it, as people can't debate the 90% of BS I point out that they wrote. I could post 10 things, and someone may disagree with one, which is fine, but they don't even acknowledge the other 9, which is the problem. In real life people can't really do this, which is why things cut to the chase quick in conversation, but drag out over time online.

I've yet to see any science, that says ever wearing a mask in close proximity, in any environment would do harm. It's up to others to prove otherwise, I've got common sense, basic physics and most of the world on my side. They're arguing against this so should have plenty of studies proving so, right?
Please reply to the below and explain line by line why my (the world's assumptions) would be wrong (an abbreviated version of the previous paragraph you glossed over).

Masks physically stop larger droplets, going to a face or contamination of the local area (for someone else to touch)
The NHS even go one further and wear a face shield in some instances.
Masks also reducing viral load into atmosphere, it has to, as it can't not do.
The nations and states which were against mask use, are now suggesting mask use (or at least where once their cases started rising).
Who has done a good job without social distancing and masks?
Ventilation, cleaning, distancing, not mixing in close proximity with unknowns will also help, but they help whether wearing a mask or not.


Lockdowns, everywhere in the world that had a problem, locked down to help them get out of it, some have done it a few times, it works, there's your consensus.

Risk is a sliding scale, see practically every risk assessment ever written. If you increase risk, you increase death/ injury, unless you decrease occurrence at a scale that can overcome that increased risk. Increasing the risk and occurrence, is bad in two ways, just like the number gets bigger on any multiplication if you increase the positive number on the left, or the positive on the right, increasing both is never good, ever.

Why do you want scientific consensus on my opinion? It's my opinion, I said it's my opinion. Anyway, we're not in excess, it's a fact, we came out of that about a month ago, check ONS out. Anyone with a C in maths can probably figure that out, so I think any scientist could, so I'll assume a consensus on that one.

My opinion is aligned with what the successful governments and countries are advising, and those that have overcome problems quickly, and I assume they all have something like SAGE or listen to what the WHO are saying, and they have used to get out of their problems. My "opinion" is formed from common sense (common sense in what the successful nations have done), and I trust they've not just winged it and are following science more and more, not less and less.

You say others "opinions" like they have equal value to mine, most do (like you mostly do), some don't, those that disagree with me probably aren't equal value. Not because I know more, not at all, no way, that's not what I'm saying in the slightest, but because the foundation of my opinion is based on what the world is using to combat this problem. That might come across as arrogant or dismissive, but it's not to me or on behalf of me, or if so it is arrogance or being dismissive on the part of those who the world seems to be listening to (mostly).
Others are fine to have an alternate opinion, that's great, it would be boring otherwise, but the onus is on them to prove why they have that countering opinion. If they have a ton of evidence proving the entire world is wrong, then great, I'd love to see that, but they don't, so they try and cherry-pick minute points, which cover about 2% of what is out there.

I would love for there not to be a need for masks, social distancing, lockdowns, closing pubs etc, as there's nothing I like better than being stood in a group, having a laugh and being able to chat with my mates etc. If I could argue against restrictive measures I would, but when things get bad I can't/ won't, they're necessary. I don't think they're bad now (based on cases/ deaths/excess/my opinion), so I don't think they are necessary (mostly). But I accept they could get bad again (although unlikely).

Anyway, enough now, for everyone's sake :) It will mostly over soon enough, for the UK hopefully, the ROW still mostly has a long way to go.
 
India is an example of what could happen if we didn’t lockdown when we did. Thing is for India is more people are going to need hospital, based on lag from infection to hospital. People dying in the streets
 
India is an example of what could happen if we didn’t lockdown when we did. Thing is for India is more people are going to need hospital, based on lag from infection to hospital. People dying in the streets

What's interesting about India, yes they are getting hit hard, but apparently their R rate is only 1.5. Also whilst 350,000 cases a day is distressing, remember the size of that country. In proportion the UK had twice that rate in January. Finally, India's health-care system is **** poor. The UK's is ranked 18th in the world, India's is ranked 118th. 9 million people die a year in India (2017 record), context is required.

Screenshot_20210425-124554.png

They've still got the vaccine program rolling out too aswell plus Modi is India's Johnson.
 
What's interesting about India, yes they are getting hit hard, but apparently their R rate is only 1.5. Also whilst 350,000 cases a day is distressing, remember the size of that country. In proportion the UK had twice that rate in January. Finally, India's health-care system is **** poor. The UK's is ranked 18th in the world, India's is ranked 118th. 9 million people die a year in India (2017 record), context is required.

View attachment 17638

They've still got the vaccine program rolling out too aswell plus Modi is India's Johnso
What's interesting about India, yes they are getting hit hard, but apparently their R rate is only 1.5. Also whilst 350,000 cases a day is distressing, remember the size of that country. In proportion the UK had twice that rate in January. Finally, India's health-care system is **** poor. The UK's is ranked 18th in the world, India's is ranked 118th. 9 million people die a year in India (2017 record), context is required.

View attachment 17638

They've still got the vaccine program rolling out too aswell plus Modi is India's Johnson.
Still peddling the same rubbish without context.
 
What part of what I've posted there is rubbish? It's all out there for you to "fact check".
You’ve told the context a few times before. You choose to ignore it. A table of stats don’t tell a story. I don’t even know why I engaged with you tbh, it was mistake.
 
You’ve told the context a few times before. You choose to ignore it. A table of stats don’t tell a story. I don’t even know why I engaged with you tbh, it was mistake.
Chill your beans Gaz.
We have still done worse than India. Don't worry about it, Johnson and co are still the worst and we are still a **** country.

20210425_152055.jpg
 
As of 9am on 25 April, 4,404,882 people have tested positive for COVID-19 in the UK.

Positive cases were 1,712 (1,882 on corresponding day last week).

11 deaths were reported today (10 on corresponding day last week)

150,841 deaths with Covid-19 on the death certificate (up to 9 April)

33,666,638 have had a first dose vaccination. 142,215 first dose vaccinations yesterday. 12,587,116 have had a second dose. 498,438 second dose vaccinations today.
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 1,712 new cases reported in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 2,061
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 1.0% to 2,438 per day, following 0.8% decrease yesterday
• 7-day average for new cases is 4.6% lower than one week ago (from 2.8% lower yesterday) and 7.3% lower than two weeks ago (from 9.1% lower yesterday and 32.1% lower 7 days ago)
• 11 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, down from 32 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test increases by 0.6% to 23 per day, following 1.9% decrease yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 12.6% lower than one week ago (from 11.7% lower yesterday) and 36.3% lower than two weeks ago (from 37.4% lower yesterday and 25.0% lower 7 days ago)
 
Chill your beans Gaz.
We have still done worse than India. Don't worry about it, Johnson and co are still the worst and we are still a **** country.

A problem with India is this has a very long way to go (and get worse). They haven't even hit their peak cases, or peak hospital requirement yet, but are already breaking at the seams. At least for us, our massive, massive mistakes seem largely over.

Another issue with India is a few month ago they were bragging about it being over, taking it lightly and being the worlds pharmacy, now look where they're at, and where they're heading. They're only reporting 3k deaths per day, which is obvious massive under-reporting, and no doubt going to get much worse, also it's going to take months to climb down from this peak.

There's no excuse for countries to be doing so bad now, the knowledge and experience is there, this failure is largely through arrogance and ignorance.

The last point, which a few seem to be missing is that it is likely that they need to use all of their own manufctured vaccines, which greatly will harm vaccine exports (I think they make 50% of the world vaccines). Effectivly their problem, becomes a worldwide problem, in more ways than one.

Their percentage of positive tests is going through the roof too, which is bad news for infection and even worse for tracing or any sort of control.

1619427317823.png
 
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