The 9am figures not disclosed yet?
- Thread starter bear66
- Start date
Billy Horner
Well-known member
Today's headline analysis:
• 5,758 new cases reported in 24-hour period, up from yesterday's 5,294
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 0.4% to 5,665 per day, following 0.9% decrease yesterday
• 7-day average for new cases is 1.2% lower than one week ago (from 1.9% lower yesterday) and 21.0% lower than two weeks ago (from 25.9% lower yesterday and 45.3% lower 7 days ago)
• 141 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, up from 110 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test decreases by 5.5% to 121 per day, following 11.9% decrease yesterday (and 52nd decrease in the past 53 days)
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 29.9% lower than one week ago (from 32.8% lower yesterday) and 54.7% lower than two weeks ago (from 55.1% lower yesterday and 57.2% lower 7 days ago)
• 5,758 new cases reported in 24-hour period, up from yesterday's 5,294
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 0.4% to 5,665 per day, following 0.9% decrease yesterday
• 7-day average for new cases is 1.2% lower than one week ago (from 1.9% lower yesterday) and 21.0% lower than two weeks ago (from 25.9% lower yesterday and 45.3% lower 7 days ago)
• 141 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, up from 110 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test decreases by 5.5% to 121 per day, following 11.9% decrease yesterday (and 52nd decrease in the past 53 days)
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 29.9% lower than one week ago (from 32.8% lower yesterday) and 54.7% lower than two weeks ago (from 55.1% lower yesterday and 57.2% lower 7 days ago)
Andy_W
Well-known member
Preliminary data on the school testing, from 4-10 March, 4.5m additional lateral flow tests, 2796 positives, so roughly adding on about 550 a day "positives" to the daily figures (weekdays), during that time, which would have likely otherwise been missed, some could even be false positive and some could have been missed etc. So that's accounting for about 10% of the current cases, and no doubt has led to some parents and the like going for PCR's (more likely to show positive also).
I've never heard of the site where the info came from, just saw it on twitter:
www.tes.com
But imagine it came from here, which I've not had time to read:
I've never heard of the site where the info came from, just saw it on twitter:
New Magazine Experience
www.tes.com
But imagine it came from here, which I've not had time to read:
bear66
Well-known member
That's much lower than I thought it might be and much less than the prevalence in the general population as reported in the weekly infection survey.Preliminary data on the school testing, from 4-10 March, 4.5m additional lateral flow tests, 2796 positives, so roughly adding on about 550 a day "positives" to the daily figures (weekdays), during that time, which would have likely otherwise been missed, some could even be false positive and some could have been missed etc. So that's accounting for about 10% of the current cases, and no doubt has led to some parents and the like going for PCR's (more likely to show positive also).
I've never heard of the site where the info came from, just saw it on twitter:
New Magazine Experience
But imagine it came from here, which I've not had time to read:
The England heat map shows the increase in school aged children/teenagers. No other age group showing a noticeable increase, although the prevalence range is wide.
Alvez_48
Well-known member
"A total of 832,007 tests were carried out in primary schools and nurseries, the statistics published today reveal.
These returned 757 positive tests, an increase from 549 positive results in the previous week.
Secondary schools and colleges had 3,733,229 tests - with 2,039 positive cases.
Last Professor Jon Deeks, who heads up Birmingham University's biostatistics, evidence synthesis and test evaluation research group, highlighted the "strange" lack of positives among a previous set of school LFTs.
And he warned that "probably more than half" of positive results from the LFT tests were actually "false"."
At least we're getting reliable data.
These returned 757 positive tests, an increase from 549 positive results in the previous week.
Secondary schools and colleges had 3,733,229 tests - with 2,039 positive cases.
Last Professor Jon Deeks, who heads up Birmingham University's biostatistics, evidence synthesis and test evaluation research group, highlighted the "strange" lack of positives among a previous set of school LFTs.
And he warned that "probably more than half" of positive results from the LFT tests were actually "false"."
At least we're getting reliable data.
Andy_W
Well-known member
My guestimate is we're somewhere around 4000 cases per day on the old system, but it's so hard to gauge now, with a big circumstance change and a massive flipping of where the majority of the testing is coming from. It's like a completely different data set now, and we just have to get used to it the way it is.
It's crazy though, end of December PCR outnumbered lateral flow by 10:1, now it's 1:6.5 against
Can only assume real-time infection rates are still rapidly reducing, as the school testing will catch so many more which were previously missed and cases were reducing in November, despite schools being open. Albeit it's probably easier reducing a higher rate, than keeping a very low rate, low.
I like that heat map, but they really need to adjust the scale on it, to make it easier to read.
Corcaigh_the_Cat
Well-known member
TES is the Times Education Supplement.Preliminary data on the school testing, from 4-10 March, 4.5m additional lateral flow tests, 2796 positives, so roughly adding on about 550 a day "positives" to the daily figures (weekdays), during that time, which would have likely otherwise been missed, some could even be false positive and some could have been missed etc. So that's accounting for about 10% of the current cases, and no doubt has led to some parents and the like going for PCR's (more likely to show positive also).
I've never heard of the site where the info came from, just saw it on twitter:
New Magazine Experience
But imagine it came from here, which I've not had time to read:
tes.com is their website I do believe.
bear66
Well-known member
As of 9am on 18 March, 4,280,882 people have tested positive for COVID-19 in the UK.
Positive cases were 6,303.
95 deaths were reported today
146,487 deaths with Covid-19 on the death certificate (up to 5 March)
25,735,472 have had a first dose vaccination. 462,246 first dose vaccinations yesterday. 1,879,054 have had a second dose. 119,609 second dose vaccinations today.
Positive cases were 6,303.
95 deaths were reported today
146,487 deaths with Covid-19 on the death certificate (up to 5 March)
25,735,472 have had a first dose vaccination. 462,246 first dose vaccinations yesterday. 1,879,054 have had a second dose. 119,609 second dose vaccinations today.
Low_Key
Well-known member
Just to add the comparison with same day last week, from the BBC:
A further 95 people have died within 28 days of a positive Covid test and 6,303 more cases of the virus have been confirmed, according to the UK government's latest daily figures.
Those figures compare with 181 deaths and 6,753 cases reported last Thursday (11 March).
A further 95 people have died within 28 days of a positive Covid test and 6,303 more cases of the virus have been confirmed, according to the UK government's latest daily figures.
Those figures compare with 181 deaths and 6,753 cases reported last Thursday (11 March).
Billy Horner
Well-known member
Today's headline analysis:
• 6,303 new cases reported in 24-hour period, up from yesterday's 5,758
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 1.1% to 5,601 per day, following 0.4% decrease yesterday (and 64th decrease in the past 68 days)
• 7-day average for new cases is 2.8% lower than one week ago (from 1.2% lower yesterday) and 16.2% lower than two weeks ago (from 21.0% lower yesterday and 43.5% lower 7 days ago)
• 95 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, down from 141 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test decreases by 10.2% to 108 per day, following 5.5% decrease yesterday (and 53rd decrease in the past 54 days)
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 33.7% lower than one week ago (from 29.9% lower yesterday) and 57.5% lower than two weeks ago (from 54.7% lower yesterday and 57.4% lower 7 days ago)
First non-weekend reported deaths below 100 since 10th October 2020.
• 6,303 new cases reported in 24-hour period, up from yesterday's 5,758
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 1.1% to 5,601 per day, following 0.4% decrease yesterday (and 64th decrease in the past 68 days)
• 7-day average for new cases is 2.8% lower than one week ago (from 1.2% lower yesterday) and 16.2% lower than two weeks ago (from 21.0% lower yesterday and 43.5% lower 7 days ago)
• 95 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, down from 141 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test decreases by 10.2% to 108 per day, following 5.5% decrease yesterday (and 53rd decrease in the past 54 days)
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 33.7% lower than one week ago (from 29.9% lower yesterday) and 57.5% lower than two weeks ago (from 54.7% lower yesterday and 57.4% lower 7 days ago)
First non-weekend reported deaths below 100 since 10th October 2020.
Andy_W
Well-known member
Cheers, never really looked into it, just wanted to be clear that I'd not checked it out, in case it was some unreliable site.
Andy_W
Well-known member
Cases reduced when schools were open during the November lockdown, and we have much lower infection rates and much more testing now, so I don't think there was any reason to expect a spike, other than the possible variant change maybe offsetting some of that.
The massive problem is relying on the numbers in a basic way, as the dataset has been completely flipped due to the change in PCR/ LFT ratios, and we have no basis for comparison anymore, not for a couple of weeks anyway. With lower numbers they are easier to be manipulated by a small number of cases.
There's some good info in here, all the graphs still pointing down and we're below the deaths baseline now, so no longer in excess:
bear66
Well-known member
As of 9am on 19 March, 4,285,684 people have tested positive for COVID-19 in the UK.
Positive cases were 4,802.
101 deaths were reported today
146,487 deaths with Covid-19 on the death certificate (up to 5 March)
26,263,732 have had a first dose vaccination. 528,260 first dose vaccinations yesterday. 2,011,070 have had a second dose. 132,016 second dose vaccinations today.
Positive cases were 4,802.
101 deaths were reported today
146,487 deaths with Covid-19 on the death certificate (up to 5 March)
26,263,732 have had a first dose vaccination. 528,260 first dose vaccinations yesterday. 2,011,070 have had a second dose. 132,016 second dose vaccinations today.
Andy_W
Well-known member
This is good, the lowest yet this year, that's not based on weekend data and even better considering the amount of testing now being carried out.
This weekday (high test numbers) cases figure is the third lowest including all the weekends too, which have a lot less testing, it's a great sign that cases are still reducing.
Billy Horner
Well-known member
Today's headline analysis:
• 4,802 new cases reported in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 6,303
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 4.6% to 5,343 per day, following 1.1% decrease yesterday (and 65th decrease in the past 69 days)
• 7-day average for new cases is 2.8% lower than one week ago (from 2.8% lower yesterday) and 15.4% lower than two weeks ago (from 16.2% lower yesterday and 39.6% lower 7 days ago)
• 101 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, up from 95 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test decreases by 9.8% to 98 per day, following 10.2% decrease yesterday (and 54th decrease in the past 55 days)
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 36.8% lower than one week ago (from 33.7% lower yesterday) and 59.1% lower than two weeks ago (from 57.5% lower yesterday and 56.6% lower 7 days ago)
7-day average for new deaths falls below 100 for the first time since 14th October 2020.
• 4,802 new cases reported in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 6,303
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 4.6% to 5,343 per day, following 1.1% decrease yesterday (and 65th decrease in the past 69 days)
• 7-day average for new cases is 2.8% lower than one week ago (from 2.8% lower yesterday) and 15.4% lower than two weeks ago (from 16.2% lower yesterday and 39.6% lower 7 days ago)
• 101 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, up from 95 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test decreases by 9.8% to 98 per day, following 10.2% decrease yesterday (and 54th decrease in the past 55 days)
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 36.8% lower than one week ago (from 33.7% lower yesterday) and 59.1% lower than two weeks ago (from 57.5% lower yesterday and 56.6% lower 7 days ago)
7-day average for new deaths falls below 100 for the first time since 14th October 2020.
bear66
Well-known member
As of 9am on 20 March, 4,291,271 people have tested positive for COVID-19 in the UK.
Positive cases were 5,587.
96 deaths were reported today
146,487 deaths with Covid-19 on the death certificate (up to 5 March)
26,853,407 have had a first dose vaccination. 589,675 first dose vaccinations yesterday. 2,132,551 have had a second dose. 121,481 second dose vaccinations today.
Positive cases were 5,587.
96 deaths were reported today
146,487 deaths with Covid-19 on the death certificate (up to 5 March)
26,853,407 have had a first dose vaccination. 589,675 first dose vaccinations yesterday. 2,132,551 have had a second dose. 121,481 second dose vaccinations today.