The 9am figures not disclosed yet?

I said earlier this week that we may see another 1,000 death day on tuesday. I don't think we will now. As sad as this whole episode has been, it is good to see the numbers falling as rapidly as they are.
 
Love that graph Randy. I am waiting with interest to see what happens when we have 400,000 second jabs to do a day to fulfill the 12 week criteria. We seem to be levelling off at 430,000 jabs a day, which is terrific, but if we cannot increase that once more able bodied folks are getting their first needle, the numbers being vaccinated will drop right off.

I say able bodied folk as there will be room to vaccinate 24 hours a day should supply allow it. All us middle age folks can jump in a car at midnight and drive for vaccinations.
 
Laughing said:
Love that graph Randy. I am waiting with interest to see what happens when we have 400,000 second jabs to do a day to fulfill the 12 week criteria. We seem to be levelling off at 430,000 jabs a day, which is terrific, but if we cannot increase that once more able bodied folks are getting their first needle, the numbers being vaccinated will drop right off.

I say able bodied folk as there will be room to vaccinate 24 hours a day should supply allow it. All us middle age folks can jump in a car at midnight and drive for vaccinations.
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The numbers for early/mid-December and even January, were low comparatively, so we might be able to get ahead of the game before that 12 week window elapses.
We've done 15m in 2 month total, whereas at 430k per day recently, that's 13m a month. So in 3 months time, that's 39m doses we could have done 15m second vacs and 24m extra 1st vacs to the next in line, assuming the same rate is maintained (which is a big if).

Like you say though, the next in line should be able to travel to get these done, it's whether we have the supply and whether we've blown through our stock.
 
Hopefully we will be ok keeping this pace up with the Moderna vaccines coming in next couple of months and Astra Zeneca/Pfizer increasing production at about the same time.
 
Nobby_Barnes said:
You've got graph crazy Randy...the sooner we can get you back in that kitchen cooking my blackened salmon the better hahaha
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Got a whole new menu lined up I believe. Haven't even seen it myself yet 😂😂

We've started the takeouts again, Friday and Saturday and Sunday lunches. Felt good to be back in the kitchen on Friday and Saturday not gonna lie.
 
Andy_W said:
The numbers for early/mid-December and even January, were low comparatively, so we might be able to get ahead of the game before that 12 week window elapses.
We've done 15m in 2 month total, whereas at 430k per day recently, that's 13m a month. So in 3 months time, that's 39m doses we could have done 15m second vacs and 24m extra 1st vacs to the next in line, assuming the same rate is maintained (which is a big if).

Like you say though, the next in line should be able to travel to get these done, it's whether we have the supply and whether we've blown through our stock.
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from mid april onwards I would guess we will start to see the bottleneck of people requiring second jabs. It will all come down to supply and the apetite of the government to have longer opening hours.

Hopefully we can crank up again from the 400,000 a day.

My wife and I are due next month at some point and we are mid 50's with no underlying health conditions so we may be the first group that can reasonably be expected to travel out of normal hours.
 
Randy said:
Got a whole new menu lined up I believe. Haven't even seen it myself yet 😂😂

We've started the takeouts again, Friday and Saturday and Sunday lunches. Felt good to be back in the kitchen on Friday and Saturday not gonna lie.
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Hahah Nice one, will have a look ....
 
Laughing said:
from mid april onwards I would guess we will start to see the bottleneck of people requiring second jabs. It will all come down to supply and the apetite of the government to have longer opening hours.

Hopefully we can crank up again from the 400,000 a day.

My wife and I are due next month at some point and we are mid 50's with no underlying health conditions so we may be the first group that can reasonably be expected to travel out of normal hours.
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I’m hoping someone’s done their sums, so we’re not having at risk people due their second, missing out because people are having their first, but I assume it will have been modelled. Bit more complicated with various vaccines, and different degrees of 1st/2nd protection. I imagine they will move to a 50/50 split between 2nds and 1sts, or something similar quite soon, now that they’ve got the 15m headline

There will be a switchover point where there’s more to gain by people not having the second and someone else having their first but I don’t mind waiting if it means those more at risk get better protection.

Good luck with it, hope you get it soon. I’ll be in the group that has to run the lottery of what comes first, covid or vaccine, hopefully it’s the latter. Don’t mind driving to Newcastle to get it, if needs be.
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 10,972 new cases reported in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 13,308
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 5.0% to 13,200 per day, following 4.8% decrease yesterday (and 35th consecutive daily decrease)
• 7-day average for new cases is 28.1% lower than one week ago (from 27.3% lower yesterday) and 45.6% lower than two weeks ago (from 45.5% lower yesterday and 48.9% lower 7 days ago)
• 258 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, down from 621 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test decreases by 2.4% to 672 per day, following 4.1% decrease yesterday (and 21st decrease in the past 22 days)
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 25.5% lower than one week ago (from 26.1% lower yesterday) and 42.8% lower than two weeks ago (from 41.6% lower yesterday and 27.3% lower 7 days ago)
 
bear66 said:
As of 9am on 15 February, 4,047,843 people have tested positive for COVID-19 in the UK.

Positive cases were 9,765.

230 deaths were reported today

121,674 deaths with Covid-19 on the death certificate (up to 29 January)

15,300,151 have had a first dose vaccination. 237,962 first dose vaccinations yesterday.
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Is it sad that I did a fist pump because we dropped below 10k?
 
Doom_On_Horseback said:
Those are really low numbers. I know we're dealing with people here of course, but relatively speaking it's good news.
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They really are, and It really is.

The steepness in the decline in cases (and deaths to follow) is remarkable, compared to the relatively slow decline in the first wave, which also had summer helping it out, and that's with this wave having more infectious strains.

Same case levels as the end of September now, and we're testing over twice as many (although a lot of those will be mass testing).

10k cases used to equal about 200 deaths, but with the vaccines, we may knock that down by 75%, definite clearer skies ahead.
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 9,765 new cases reported in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 10,972
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 4.7% to 12,580 per day, following 5.0% decrease yesterday (and 36th consecutive daily decrease)
• 7-day average for new cases is 29.0% lower than one week ago (from 28.1% lower yesterday) and 47.0% lower than two weeks ago (from 45.6% lower yesterday and 47.5% lower 7 days ago)
• 230 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, down from 258 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test decreases by 2.2% to 657 per day, following 2.4% decrease yesterday (and 22nd decrease in the past 23 days)
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 26.2% lower than one week ago (from 25.5% lower yesterday) and 42.8% lower than two weeks ago (same as yesterday and 28.1% lower 7 days ago)

First day with fewer than 10,000 reported new cases since 2nd October 2020.
 
Andy_W said:
They really are, and It really is.

The steepness in the decline in cases (and deaths to follow) is remarkable, compared to the relatively slow decline in the first wave, which also had summer helping it out, and that's with this wave having more infectious strains.

Same case levels as the end of September now, and we're testing over twice as many (although a lot of those will be mass testing).

10k cases used to equal about 200 deaths, but with the vaccines, we may knock that down by 75%, definite clearer skies ahead.
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It's all relative isn't it. Six months ago we would have had a different view on the figures. Given where we have been, it is comforting to see the numbers dropping so quickly, I agree. Obviously, none of us are celebrating, people are still dying, but we are heading in the right direction.
 
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