spanishman
Well-known member
I feel sad for you. We are all in this together. We have felt your pain earlier. We continue to do so.
The 9am figures not disclosed yet?
- Thread starter bear66
- Start date
Billy Horner
Well-known member
Thanks spanishman. I am filled with pessimism today and can't help thinking what a difference it would have made had we acted even one week earlier.
Like you say, we are all in this together. Countries like Spain have, and continue to, endure this appalling crisis. We will get through this, but we will have all paid a terrible price.
Like you say, we are all in this together. Countries like Spain have, and continue to, endure this appalling crisis. We will get through this, but we will have all paid a terrible price.
spanishman
Well-known member
Last edited:
bear66
Well-known member
Amen
bear66
Well-known member
As of 9am on 11 April, 334,974 tests have concluded across the UK, with 18,091 tests carried out on 10 April.
269,598 people have been tested, of whom 78,991 tested positive.
As of 5pm on 10 April, of those hospitalised in the UK who tested positive for coronavirus, 9,875 have died.
269,598 people have been tested, of whom 78,991 tested positive.
As of 5pm on 10 April, of those hospitalised in the UK who tested positive for coronavirus, 9,875 have died.
Billy Horner
Well-known member
Today's headline analysis:
• Number of new infections in 24-hour period grows by 5,234 up slightly from 5,195 increase yesterday
• Rate of growth in 4-day average for new infections increases by 8.6%, from 8.1% increase yesterday and the third consecutive day of growth
• 917 new deaths in 24-hour period, down slightly from 980 yesterday
• 4-day average for new deaths grows by 3.7%, down from 17.8% growth yesterday (and the first fall in growth rate in six days)
• We continue to track further above Italy on a days since 20th death basis. We have followed broadly the same trajectory for the past 27 days and have been tracking above Italy for the past 10 days.
• We are now approximately 13 days behind Italy’s numbers (same as yesterday and from 13.5 days behind two days ago)
• Number of new infections in 24-hour period grows by 5,234 up slightly from 5,195 increase yesterday
• Rate of growth in 4-day average for new infections increases by 8.6%, from 8.1% increase yesterday and the third consecutive day of growth
• 917 new deaths in 24-hour period, down slightly from 980 yesterday
• 4-day average for new deaths grows by 3.7%, down from 17.8% growth yesterday (and the first fall in growth rate in six days)
• We continue to track further above Italy on a days since 20th death basis. We have followed broadly the same trajectory for the past 27 days and have been tracking above Italy for the past 10 days.
• We are now approximately 13 days behind Italy’s numbers (same as yesterday and from 13.5 days behind two days ago)
Italy have recorded 4,694 new cases which is bad news, shows it is not dropping off as expected, and that's the highest number since April 4th. You'd expect it be around 2,500 at this point with a clear decline. Unfortunately this suggests the lockdown measures are not being as impactful as we would have hoped and I imagine we are in for at least another 6 weeks of it here as a minimum.
bear66
Well-known member
As of 9am on 12 April, 352,974 tests have concluded, with 18,000 tests carried out on 11 April.
282,279 people have been tested, of whom 84,279 tested positive.
As of 5pm on 11 April, of those hospitalised in the UK who tested positive for coronavirus, 10,621 have died.
Just under 7% increase in new infections.
282,279 people have been tested, of whom 84,279 tested positive.
As of 5pm on 11 April, of those hospitalised in the UK who tested positive for coronavirus, 10,621 have died.
Just under 7% increase in new infections.
Billy Horner
Well-known member
Today's headline analysis:
• 5,288 new infections in 24-hour period, almost identical to yesterday's 5,234
• UK passes 10,000 reported hospital deaths (10,612), the fifth country in the world to do so
• 4-day average for new infections decreases by 1.0%, following an 8.1% increase yesterday and three consecutive days of growth
• 737 new deaths reported in 24-hour period, down from 917 yesterday
• 4-day average for new deaths decreases by 5.4%, down from 3.7% increase yesterday and the second consecutive fall in growth rate
• We continue to track above Italy on a days since 20th death basis. We have followed broadly the same trajectory for the past 28 days and have been tracking above Italy for the past 11 days.
• We remain approximately 13 days behind Italy’s numbers (same as yesterday and from 13.5 days behind three days ago)
• 5,288 new infections in 24-hour period, almost identical to yesterday's 5,234
• UK passes 10,000 reported hospital deaths (10,612), the fifth country in the world to do so
• 4-day average for new infections decreases by 1.0%, following an 8.1% increase yesterday and three consecutive days of growth
• 737 new deaths reported in 24-hour period, down from 917 yesterday
• 4-day average for new deaths decreases by 5.4%, down from 3.7% increase yesterday and the second consecutive fall in growth rate
• We continue to track above Italy on a days since 20th death basis. We have followed broadly the same trajectory for the past 28 days and have been tracking above Italy for the past 11 days.
• We remain approximately 13 days behind Italy’s numbers (same as yesterday and from 13.5 days behind three days ago)
Billy Horner
Well-known member
Note on the above - this is the third consecutive weekend when the deaths reported on the Sunday were lower than those reported the previous day. It has been well reported that there may be administrative reasons for this, which also tend to result in lower numbers published on a Monday.
Therefore, we need to be cognisant of this issue and factor it into our analysis. Also, with this being Easter weekend, it may be that this effect is seen for a couple of extra days.
Therefore, we need to be cognisant of this issue and factor it into our analysis. Also, with this being Easter weekend, it may be that this effect is seen for a couple of extra days.
bear66
Well-known member
Tuesday for all Covid-19 deaths up to 3 April and Wednesday for weekend hospital figures to catch up.
Laughing
Well-known member
What I can say randySavage is it isn't accurate so it's probably not worth taking any notice of. UK deaths per million is 156, according to the graph Uk is showing about 125 per million. Despite the heading I suspect it is from a while ago, or just plain old innacurate.
bear66
Well-known member
The graph relies on reported figures from each country. These are not up to date on the day they're released (a figure of only 15% of the figure for that day was quoted on the last two days- the test were anything up to two weeks ago) and, for the UK, will not include any community or care home deaths.
Last edited:
bear66
Well-known member
As of 9am on 13 April, 367,667 tests have concluded, with 14,506 tests carried out on 12 April.
290,720 people have been tested, of whom 88,621 tested positive.
As of 5pm on 12 April, of those hospitalised in the UK who tested positive for coronavirus, 11,329 have died.
Number of tests lower with less than 13k people tested. Less than 5% increase in positive tests, which would be nice if it continues to fall.
290,720 people have been tested, of whom 88,621 tested positive.
As of 5pm on 12 April, of those hospitalised in the UK who tested positive for coronavirus, 11,329 have died.
Number of tests lower with less than 13k people tested. Less than 5% increase in positive tests, which would be nice if it continues to fall.
Billy Horner
Well-known member
Today's headline analysis:
• 4,342 new infections in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 5,288
• 4-day average for new infections remains unchanged, following a 1.0% decrease yesterday
• 717 new deaths reported in 24-hour period, slightly lower than 737 yesterday
• 4-day average for new deaths decreases by 4.7%, following 5.4% decrease yesterday
• We continue to track above Italy on a days since 20th death basis. We have followed broadly the same trajectory for the past 29 days and have been tracking above Italy for the past 12 days.
• We remain approximately 13 days behind Italy’s numbers (same as yesterday and from 13.5 days behind four days ago)
• 4,342 new infections in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 5,288
• 4-day average for new infections remains unchanged, following a 1.0% decrease yesterday
• 717 new deaths reported in 24-hour period, slightly lower than 737 yesterday
• 4-day average for new deaths decreases by 4.7%, following 5.4% decrease yesterday
• We continue to track above Italy on a days since 20th death basis. We have followed broadly the same trajectory for the past 29 days and have been tracking above Italy for the past 12 days.
• We remain approximately 13 days behind Italy’s numbers (same as yesterday and from 13.5 days behind four days ago)
Randy
Well-known member
Daft question , but what's the point in daily death figures if they are reported like they are on sky news
http://news.sky.com/story/coronavir...lish-hospitals-taking-total-to-10261-11972586
It says in this article more than half way down
Of these latest deaths, 118 occured on 12th April whilst 537 took place between 1st April and 11th April. The remaining 12 deaths happened last month going back as far as 26th March.
So I would read that as only 118 people dying of or with covid-19 yesterday which brings me to ask what's the point in releasing daily death figures when they are not in fact all from the previous day?
http://news.sky.com/story/coronavir...lish-hospitals-taking-total-to-10261-11972586
It says in this article more than half way down
Of these latest deaths, 118 occured on 12th April whilst 537 took place between 1st April and 11th April. The remaining 12 deaths happened last month going back as far as 26th March.
So I would read that as only 118 people dying of or with covid-19 yesterday which brings me to ask what's the point in releasing daily death figures when they are not in fact all from the previous day?
BoroBosco
Well-known member
Randy if you want to see how the daily deaths are counted have a look here https://www.cebm.net/covid-19/covid-19-death-data-in-england-update-1th-april/
newusername
Well-known member
Although it is a drop in new people tested, only 8.5k compared to an avg 12.5k a day over the last week, that is a noticeable drop in postives from an avg 5.5k a day over the last week.
In an earlier post you mention that recorded deaths fall over a weekend, there hasn't been a similar drop in positive tests in previous weekends so this drop could be cause for optimism.
From 15th March the increase in deaths were tracking the increase in positives from c.14 days earlier. However from the 28th March the gap between deaths & positives increased from -2 to 1800 now. Those positives two weeks ago are before the expansion of testing, only 6,999 new people tested that day, so again there are definite signs of a levelling.