The 9am figures not disclosed yet?

Jostler said:
Not Good at all. Only one week out of lockdown too. Are the students that are being tested separated into a separate pot does anyone know?
Click to expand...
My understanding is that if a lateral test comes up positive, a PCR test will follow and the results of that will be included. It must be around now that those will be appearing. London seems to be where the biggest rise is.
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 20,964 new cases reported in 24-hour period, up from yesterday's 16,578
• 7-day average for new cases increases by 5.7% to 16,236 per day, following 0.4% increase yesterday (and 4th increase in the past 5 days)
• 7-day average for new cases is 12.7% higher than one week ago (from 3.9% higher yesterday) and 6.3% lower than two weeks ago (from 15.1% lower yesterday and 38.1% lower 7 days ago)
• 516 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, down from 533 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test increases by 3.5% to 427 per day, following 3.8% decrease yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 3.2% lower than one week ago (from 9.0% lower yesterday) and 8.3% lower than two weeks ago (from 11.6% lower yesterday and 8.4% higher 7 days ago)
 
Oh dear positive tests are on the climb again. Are they climbing because of more testing? Alvez said as a percentage of toytal tests they were still rising, is that the case?
 
Laughing said:
Oh dear positive tests are on the climb again. Are they climbing because of more testing? Alvez said as a percentage of toytal tests they were still rising, is that the case?
Click to expand...
If they are, that's a sign we're in a mess. It's difficult to know what number of tests means while communities are being tested (universities etc.) Now schools are being tested in the south east. Hospitalisations are the best measure of how things are progressing and they're beginning to increase again.
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 21,672 new cases reported in 24-hour period, up from yesterday's 20,964
• 7-day average for new cases increases by 4.7% to 17,004 per day, following 5.7% increase yesterday (and 5th increase in the past 6 days)
• 7-day average for new cases is 17.7% higher than one week ago (from 12.7% higher yesterday) and 1.7% higher than two weeks ago (from 6.3% lower yesterday and 35.2% lower 7 days ago)
• 434 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, down from 516 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test decreases by 2.7% to 415 per day, following 3.5% increase yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 5.3% lower than one week ago (from 3.2% lower yesterday) and 11.1% lower than two weeks ago (from 8.3% lower yesterday and 2.9% higher 7 days ago)
 
Comparing Wave 2 with Wave 1:

Highest number of positive tests (7-day average) as a proportion of all tests processed (7-day average) since 12th May (1 day earlier than last week).
Highest 7-day average for hospital admissions since 28th April (2 days earlier than last week).
Highest number of people in hospital since 22nd April (2 days earlier than last week).
Highest number of people on ventilation since 15th May (same day as last week).
Highest 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test since 12th May (1 day later than last week).
First instance of four consecutive days with 420 or more new deaths announced since 8th May (same as last week's comparison with 410 or more deaths on four consecutive days).

Across the board slowing (even slight reversal) of progress against all indicators.
 
Laughing said:
Not asking you to explain Billy, just an observation. I have no idea what your last post means.
Click to expand...

No problem. I probably should have explained better.

For several weeks I've been comparing the numbers (every Friday) during this 2nd wave of the virus with the dates when we were at the same point during the first wave. I've done that across a range of indicators covering positive test rates, hospital data and deaths.

Basically, if those numbers correlate with a date that was earlier than last week's comparison, that moves us closer to the peak of the 1st wave (i.e. bad). If the comparison results in a later date, however, then that moves us closer to the situation during the summer (i.e. good).

Since the latest lockdown, we had begun to see later and later dates each week, meaning that the situation was improving. This week, though, that progress appears to have stalled and perhaps even started moving in the wrong direction again.
 
Got it Billy thanks. Statistics should be easy, but lots of it away from mean and average start to get very complicated and my maths is generally very good.
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 21,502 new cases reported in 24-hour period, slightly down from yesterday's 21,672
• 7-day average for new cases increases by 5.0% to 17,855 per day, following 4.7% increase yesterday (and 6th increase in the past 7 days)
• 7-day average for new cases is 24.0% higher than one week ago (from 17.7% higher yesterday) and 10.5% higher than two weeks ago (from 1.7% higher yesterday and 32.4% lower 7 days ago)
• 519 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, up from 434 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test increases by 4.2% to 433 per day, following 2.7% decrease yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 1.4% higher than one week ago (from 5.3% lower yesterday) and 11.1% lower than two weeks ago (from 11.1% lower yesterday and 4.4% higher 7 days ago)
 
Billy Horner said:
Today's headline analysis:

• 21,502 new cases reported in 24-hour period, slightly down from yesterday's 21,672
• 7-day average for new cases increases by 5.0% to 17,855 per day, following 4.7% increase yesterday (and 6th increase in the past 7 days)
• 7-day average for new cases is 24.0% higher than one week ago (from 17.7% higher yesterday) and 10.5% higher than two weeks ago (from 1.7% higher yesterday and 32.4% lower 7 days ago)
• 519 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, up from 434 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test increases by 4.2% to 433 per day, following 2.7% decrease yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 1.4% higher than one week ago (from 5.3% lower yesterday) and 11.1% lower than two weeks ago (from 11.1% lower yesterday and 4.4% higher 7 days ago)
Click to expand...
Going up...
 
Have we had any kind of feedback yet as to how many vaccinations have been carried out this past 5 days? I’ve not seen it anywhere so far
 
@bear66 , @Billy Horner I have a stats question, completely unrelated to covid. Is there a mathematical formula for, for example, a team scores on average 0.85 goals in the first 45 minutes of games. What is the formula to work out the percentage chance of the team scoring in the first half, all other things being equal, of course?

I looked this up but couldn't phrase the search terms to give me meaningful results, I know nothing of statistics, but can calculate a fast fourier transform or do calculus. I feel dumb.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top