The 9am figures not disclosed yet?

Today's headline analysis:

• 560 new cases reported in 24-hour period, up from yesterday's 445
• 7-day average for new cases increases by 0.5% to 638 per day, following 1.1% increase yesterday (and 9th increase in the past 12 days)
• 7-day average for new cases is 9.2% higher than one week ago (from 6.3% higher yesterday) and 16.8% higher than two weeks ago (from 10.5% higher yesterday and 34.5% lower 7 days ago)
• 79 new deaths in all settings reported in 24-hour period, down from 110 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths in all settings decreases by 1.3% to 64 per day, following 5.8% decrease yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths in all settings is 16.6% lower than one week ago (from 21.5% lower yesterday) and 27.0% lower than two weeks ago (from 31.6% lower yesterday and 35.0% lower 7 days ago)
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 769 new cases reported in 24-hour period, up from yesterday's 560
• 7-day average for new cases increases by 2.8% to 656 per day, following 0.5% increase yesterday (and 7th consecutive daily increase)
• 7-day average for new cases is 12.3% higher than one week ago (from 9.2% higher yesterday) and 18.1% higher than two weeks ago (from 16.8% higher yesterday and 28.3% lower 7 days ago)
• 53 new deaths in all settings reported in 24-hour period, down from 79 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths in all settings decreases by 2.9% to 62 per day, following 1.3% decrease yesterday (and 3rd consecutive daily decrease)
• 7-day average for new deaths in all settings is 16.1% lower than one week ago (from 16.6% lower yesterday) and 28.6% lower than two weeks ago (from 27.0% lower yesterday and 32.4% lower 7 days ago)
 
New cases have been increasing steadily for a while now. I hope this doesn't translate to a rise in deaths over the next month.
 
If I read that correctly Lefty the national team are reaching 61% of 61% of 78% of possibly infected folks. That is 30% of people are contacted.

Let me give you my reasoning, as it may be very wrong.

78% of people who tested positive are contacted.
Of that 78% 61% gave contacts, so 39% gave no contacts, I assumed they refused, but had been in contact with people
Of that number only 61% were reached.

It doesn't paint a picture of success for me.

We need an anonymous app.
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 768 new cases reported in 24-hour period, virtually unchanged from yesterday's 769
• 7-day average for new cases increases by 1.8% to 668 per day, following 2.8% increase yesterday (and 8th consecutive daily increase)
• 7-day average for new cases is 9.6% higher than one week ago (from 12.3% higher yesterday) and 21.2% higher than two weeks ago (from 18.1% higher yesterday and 18.7% lower 7 days ago)
• 123 new deaths in all settings reported in 24-hour period, up from 53 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths in all settings increases by 2.1% to 63 per day, following 2.9% decrease yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths in all settings is 24.0% lower than one week ago (from 16.1% lower yesterday) and 14.6% lower than two weeks ago (from 28.6% lower yesterday and 18.8% lower 7 days ago)
 
Laughing said:
If I read that correctly Lefty the national team are reaching 61% of 61% of 78% of possibly infected folks. That is 30% of people are contacted.

Let me give you my reasoning, as it may be very wrong.

78% of people who tested positive are contacted.
Of that 78% 61% gave contacts, so 39% gave no contacts, I assumed they refused, but had been in contact with people
Of that number only 61% were reached.

It doesn't paint a picture of success for me.

We need an anonymous app.
Click to expand...

Actually, it's even worse than that. Those stats only relate to the people we know have contracted Covid due to a positive test.

Currently, approx. 670 people per day are testing positive. The ONS estimates that 2,800 people per day are becoming newly infected, so we're only finding 24% of them in the first place.

So that means the Track and Trace teams are reaching 61% of 61% of 78% of 24%. That means that approx. 7% of possible contacts are being successfully traced and contacted.

We need a massively expanded and comprehensive testing system before things like an app would make any noticeable difference.
 
Billy Horner said:
Actually, it's even worse than that. Those stats only relate to the people we know have contracted Covid due to a positive test.

Currently, approx. 670 people per day are testing positive. The ONS estimates that 2,800 people per day are becoming newly infected, so we're only finding 24% of them in the first place.

So that means the Track and Trace teams are reaching 61% of 61% of 78% of 24%. That means that approx. 7% of possible contacts are being successfully traced and contacted.

We need a massively expanded and comprehensive testing system before things like an app would make any noticeable difference.
Click to expand...
We also need to be able to trust Dominic Cummings, I mean the government, with our data. After they refused to answer my data integrity questions, and they won’t comply with GDPR I’d be nervous about using the system
 
SmallTown said:
We also need to be able to trust Dominic Cummings, I mean the government, with our data. After they refused to answer my data integrity questions, and they won’t comply with GDPR I’d be nervous about using the system
Click to expand...
If we were to use a third party API like Ireland. I think there's cost 700,000, there would be no problem with data security around privacy. The only reason to develop your own is to harvest data
 
RandySavage said:
England currently has less people on ventilation than Germany. 92 to 119.
Click to expand...

You just have to ask how accurate the testing is. Or how deadly the virus now is. Or are we just protecting the vulnerable really well

The pubs opened 3 weeks ago now. The increased positives tests have come off the back off this but this is not resulting in people on ventilators.

Only data I haven’t seen to make me feel more comfortable about the current situation is actual hospital admissions
 
GazC_MFC said:
You just have to ask how accurate the testing is. Or how deadly the virus now is. Or are we just protecting the vulnerable really well

The pubs opened 3 weeks ago now. The increased positives tests have come off the back off this but this is not resulting in people on ventilators.

Only data I haven’t seen to make me feel more comfortable about the current situation is actual hospital admissions
Click to expand...
Deaths are staying high though. Probably due to a badly managed and confusing lockdown
 
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