It could be a sign that every single opinion poll is completely wrong and that Rishi will increase the Tory majority to over 150 seats, particularly when the benefits of Brexit come through, (as the gammons are now saying they are), and inflation and interest rates come down over the next 12 months just in time for the election. NHS insurance based plan to sell to the cap doffers because you know it’s all failing at the moment and make sure the statistics show that less boats are landing next year.3 additional conservative councillors in Stockton. How does that sit with the polls?
Boundary changes. Strong Labour areas have fewer representative's than at the last election, strong Conservative areas given more, with lines redrawn to allow it.3 additional conservative councillors in Stockton. How does that sit with the polls?
3 additional conservative councillors in Stockton. How does that sit with the polls?
Interesting
You do realise if that poll is correct the Tories vote will drop by 50%
Or assuming the same turnout just under 7 million voters?
The polls say nothing about local by-elections. Thats what they have to say about 3 additional tory councillorsBoundary changes. Strong Labour areas have fewer representative's than at the last election, strong Conservative areas given more, with lines redrawn to allow it.
I completely got your point
And as I said it would mean the Tories vote drops 50% and in voter numbers. That's a drop of 7 million voters. Something we've never seen
And council elections are not reflecting the general election polls
I love it when you post these graphs Easterside- it really picks my spirits up to see the Tories so far behind-
Aye, he's really taken up BoroFur's mantle on this thread.I love it when you post these graphs Easterside- it really picks my spirits up to see the Tories so far behind-
Keep it up please
Some pretty big shoes to fill so I've been toldAye, he's really taken up BoroFur's mantle on this thread.
I have asked a few times about don’t knows as I think most of them will either not vote or vote Tory and affect the results quite a bit…Pardon my ignorance, and it may have been explained earlier in the thread. Are those figures based on the number of votes? Do they normally translate into a similar breakdown of seats?
Also I see it excludes 'do not knows', do we know how significant that figure is?
Thanks.
It depends on the methodology used. Some pollsters use the previous election vote but weight it down by 50%. Some remove them altogether. Those that remove them altogether first ask who they are more likely to vote for to try and remove the don't knows.I have asked a few times about don’t knows as I think most of them will either not vote or vote Tory and affect the results quite a bit…
I saw one poll where the DKs were roughly half the size of those voting Tory
Pardon my ignorance, and it may have been explained earlier in the thread. Are those figures based on the number of votes? Do they normally translate into a similar breakdown of seats?
Also I see it excludes 'do not knows', do we know how significant that figure is?
Thanks.