Bear thats a mortality rate of about 6%. The truth is probably much lower given the number of non-tested people who probably have the virus. It's a frightening time we are living in.
I also published a different story on the same theme. Have not checked the stats today. The analysis said your need to look a rolling 4 day average. Then compare the ratio between one day's average with the next. That gives you a growth factor. We reached a factor of over 4. It is now down below 2 (or was yesterday). So the rate of growth is reducing. Due to the lock down starting to have an impact.I posted this yesterday, but this is the rationale for why we might be approaching the peak and about to turn the corner ...
They're death rate isn't climbing and their infection rate by % is lower than ours. The comment was made in regard to a number of regions beginning to see improvements rather than the overall picture.
The other way of looking at it is
The Chief Medical Officer expects circa 20000 deaths.
The number doubles every 3/4 days - that’s only 20 days before light at the end of the tunnel?