The 9am figures not disclosed yet?

SmallTown said:
Doesn't look good for the roadmap. The big question is will it lead to another lockdown?
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I think things would have to go disastrously wrong for there to be another national lockdown. They've spent too much political capital on stating that this will be the last one.

I can see the 21st June relaxations either being delayed or, perhaps more likely, modified to maintain social distancing and other such measures.
 
'The big question is will it lead to another lockdown?'

Why would there be? It has been proved the variant doesn't effect the vaccines, and those that have been hospitalised have been people who haven't been vaccinated. By the time June 14th comes around, which is when they expect to make a decision, we'll be looking at around 30 million people (fully vaccinated) and there is even more testing for this new variant. There was a story over 6 weeks ago about whether the country had already reached herd immunity, going by the number of vaccinations, positive cases that led to antibodies, by now you would expect there is herd immunity in the general population. If there is to be a lockdown then it should only apply to those areas where the variant is prevalent, it would be grossly unfair to put the rest of the country into another lockdown, and frankly I can't see the masses putting up with it.
 
mitch_at_merseyside said:
'The big question is will it lead to another lockdown?'

Why would there be? It has been proved the variant doesn't effect the vaccines, and those that have been hospitalised have been people who haven't been vaccinated. By the time June 14th comes around, which is when they expect to make a decision, we'll be looking at around 30 million people (fully vaccinated) and there is even more testing for this new variant. There was a story over 6 weeks ago about whether the country had already reached herd immunity, going by the number of vaccinations, positive cases that led to antibodies, by now you would expect there is herd immunity in the general population. If there is to be a lockdown then it should only apply to those areas where the variant is prevalent, it would be grossly unfair to put the rest of the country into another lockdown, and frankly I can't see the masses putting up with it.
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By definition, if there was herd immunity in the country then the unvaccinated wouldn't still becoming ill and being hospitalised.

Also, it hasn't been 'proved' that the variant isn't vaccine resistant. The lab data would suggest that is the case, but it needs to be backed up with real world data (which will take several weeks) before that can be claimed.
 
mitch_at_merseyside said:
'The big question is will it lead to another lockdown?'

Why would there be? It has been proved the variant doesn't effect the vaccines, and those that have been hospitalised have been people who haven't been vaccinated. By the time June 14th comes around, which is when they expect to make a decision, we'll be looking at around 30 million people (fully vaccinated) and there is even more testing for this new variant. There was a story over 6 weeks ago about whether the country had already reached herd immunity, going by the number of vaccinations, positive cases that led to antibodies, by now you would expect there is herd immunity in the general population. If there is to be a lockdown then it should only apply to those areas where the variant is prevalent, it would be grossly unfair to put the rest of the country into another lockdown, and frankly I can't see the masses putting up with it.
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Because unfortunately lockdowns keep a few happy whilst the majority have to suffer them. If the scum bags lock us down again there will be hell on. You can also say goodbye to your vaccine rollout too.
 
As of 9am on 28 May, 4,477,705 people have tested positive for COVID-19 in the UK.

Positive cases were 4,182 (2,829 on corresponding day last week).

10 deaths were reported today (9 on corresponding day last week).

152,068 deaths with Covid-19 on the death certificate (up to 14 May)

38,871,200 have had a first dose vaccination. 256,517 first dose vaccinations yesterday. 24,478,052 have had a second dose. 434,096 second dose vaccinations today.
 
On a slightly different note Billy or bear or anyone else for that matter know of a good in depth online resource to learn more about logistical regression? I understand the basics but wasn't too know more?


Thanks.
 
Laughing said:
On a slightly different note Billy or bear or anyone else for that matter know of a good in depth online resource to learn more about logistical regression? I see understand the basics but wasn't too know more?


Thanks.
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It's not something I've needed to use in the past.

The basics here

There may be free on-line resources but at a hefty $37 this looks an interesting set of practical tutorials.
 
As of 9am on 29 May, 4,480,495 people have tested positive for COVID-19 in the UK.

Positive cases were 3,398 (2,694 on corresponding day last week).

7 deaths were reported today (6 on corresponding day last week).

152,068 deaths with Covid-19 on the death certificate (up to 14 May)

39,068,346 have had a first dose vaccination. 197,146 first dose vaccinations yesterday. 24,892,416 have had a second dose. 414,364 second dose vaccinations today.
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 3,398 new cases reported in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 4,182
• 7-day average for new cases increases by 3.4% to 3,067 per day, following 7.0% increase yesterday (and 11th consecutive daily increase)
• 7-day average for new cases is 23.3% higher than one week ago (from 24.0% higher yesterday) and 36.2% higher than two weeks ago (from 31.6% higher yesterday and 19.6% higher 7 days ago)
• 7 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, down from 10 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test increases by 1.7% to 8 per day, following 1.8% increase yesterday (and 5th consecutive daily increase)
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 43.9% higher from one week ago (from 38.1% higher yesterday) and 18.1% lower than two weeks ago (from 17.1% lower yesterday and 48.1% lower 7 days ago)
 
As of 9am on 30 May, 4,484,056 people have tested positive for COVID-19 in the UK.

Positive cases were 3,240 (2,235 on corresponding day last week).

6 deaths were reported today (5 on corresponding day last week).

152,068 deaths with Covid-19 on the death certificate (up to 14 May)

39,259,168 have had a first dose vaccination. 183,526 first dose vaccinations yesterday. 25,332,851 have had a second dose. 418,848 second dose vaccinations today.
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 3,240 new cases reported in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 3,398
• 7-day average for new cases increases by 4.7% to 3,211 per day, following 3.4% increase yesterday (and 12th consecutive daily increase)
• 7-day average for new cases is 26.8% higher than one week ago (from 23.3% higher yesterday) and 41.2% higher than two weeks ago (from 36.2% higher yesterday and 20.9% higher 7 days ago)
• 6 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, slightly down from 7 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test increases by 1.7% to 9 per day, same as yesterday (and 6th consecutive daily increase)
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 42.9% higher from one week ago (from 43.9% higher yesterday) and 18.9% lower than two weeks ago (from 18.1% lower yesterday and 37.3% lower 7 days ago)
 
bear66 said:
As of 9am on 30 May, 4,484,056 people have tested positive for COVID-19 in the UK.

Positive cases were 3,240 (2,235 on corresponding day last week).

6 deaths were reported today (5 on corresponding day last week).

152,068 deaths with Covid-19 on the death certificate (up to 14 May)

39,259,168 have had a first dose vaccination. 183,526 first dose vaccinations yesterday. 25,332,851 have had a second dose. 418,848 second dose vaccinations today.
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Loving the vaccination numbers
 
As of 9am on 31 May, 4,487,339 people have tested positive for COVID-19 in the UK.

Positive cases were 3,383 (2,439 on corresponding day last week).

1 deaths were reported today (3 on corresponding day last week).

152,068 deaths with Covid-19 on the death certificate (up to 14 May)

39,379,441 have had a first dose vaccination. 120,243 first dose vaccinations yesterday. 25,537,133 have had a second dose. 204,282 second dose vaccinations today.
 
I have a hunch that the 21st June unlocking will be delayed by 3 weeks. There's lots of chatter about getting all over 50s double-dosed by the same date.
My hunch is based on us always being told that it takes 3 weeks for the vaccine to be fully effective from the date it is administered. So, 21st June + 3 weeks = 12th July 🤔
 
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