Putin to recognise the independence of two breakaway regions in eastern Ukraine

Putin recognises independence of breakaway areas of Ukraine​

The Kremlin says President Putin has decided to recognise the independence of two breakaway areas of Ukraine controlled by Russian-backed separatists.
A Kremlin statement said Putin had told the French and German leaders he intended to sign a decree recognising the Donetsk and Luhansk areas as independent states.
 
It looks like Vlad now has

Btw I listened to those pod casts earlier really good, esp the Brian whitmore one very NPR in its style.
 
It looks like Vlad now has

Btw I listened to those pod casts earlier really good, esp the Brian whitmore one very NPR in its style.

Glad you liked them 👍🏻 They’re both really knowledgeable on Russia, they’re Russian speakers, have extensive contacts and have spent serious time over here which gives them a proper handle on what’s happening away from the bluster, biased opinion and half-interested commentators we often get in our media.
Galeotti used to be the Power Vertical co-host before Whitmore moved from RFE/RL and took the podcast with him, they were great together. Whitmore gets some really great guests, the former president of Estonia, was on a short while ago. Always worth checking them out when Russia us in the news.
 
Had Ukraine fulfilled the terms of the Minsk Protocol it wouldn't have been an option for Putin to recognise the break away republics. They would have had special status within Ukraine as the Protocol defined. The Protocol was signed as part of the agreement to halt the war in 2014.

Last week the Duma voted 351 to 16 to recognise the two regions. Ukraine has repeatedly rejected requests to fulfill the terms of the Protocol (according to Russia anyway).
 
He's gone full on villain, bemoaning any country being able to leave the Soviet Union and delegitimising the existence of Ukraine.
 
I am not a fan of Putin, but who decided to put the Donbas region into a greater Ukraine? - its comprised of mainly Russian speakers, a lot of ethnic Russians and people who have tended to ally with Russia since the mid 18th century - a situation not too disimilar to Ulster loyalists in Ireland who form about 55% of NI population, but probably only about 18% of the whole of Ireland. The Donabas stands out to me as region that neither should be in the Ukraine or Russia.
 
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Had Ukraine fulfilled the terms of the Minsk Protocol it wouldn't have been an option for Putin to recognise the break away republics. They would have had special status within Ukraine as the Protocol defined. The Protocol was signed as part of the agreement to halt the war in 2014.

Last week the Duma voted 351 to 16 to recognise the two regions. Ukraine has repeatedly rejected requests to fulfill the terms of the Protocol (according to Russia anyway).

Minsk-2 is contentious for a number of reasons, but one fundamental issue is that Ukraine wants to reassert security and control over the separatist regions prior to any elections - meaning a Russian withdrawal, Russia wants elections whilst they still control the regions. Also Russia wants controls written in the Ukrainian constitution that would give them serious influence in the regions and therefore Ukraine itself. There are other issues but those alone are enough to make Minsk-2 dead in the water.
 
Baltics next, then Poland.
They can’t touch the Baltic’s as much as they’d like to as unlike Ukraine, all 3 Baltic states Estonia 🇪🇪 Latvia 🇱🇻 and Lithuania 🇱🇹 Are in NATO ( as are Poland 🇵🇱)

And article 5 would kick in

Every participating country agreed that this form of solidarity was at the heart of the Treaty, effectively making Article 5 on collective defence a key component of the Alliance.

Article 5 provides that if a NATO Ally is the victim of an armed attack, each and every other member of the Alliance will consider this act of violence as an armed attack against all members and will take the actions it deems necessary to assist the Ally attacked.

Article 5

“The Parties agree that an armed attack against one or more of them in Europe or North America shall be considered an attack against them all and consequently they agree that, if such an armed attack occurs, each of them, in exercise of the right of individual or collective self-defence recognized by Article 51 of the Charter of the United Nations, will assist the Party or Parties so attacked by taking forthwith, individually and in concert with the other Parties, such action as it deems necessary, including the use of armed force, to restore and maintain the security of the North Atlantic area.
 
I am not a fan of Putin, but who decided to put the Donbas region into the Ukraine? - its comprised of Russian speakers, ethnic Russians and as a people who have always allied with Russia for at least 300 years - situation appears like the Ulster loyalists in Ireland.

It’s a lot more complicated really, there have been different ethnic groups all over through history, mixing, fighting, moving, being forced to move - Tartars, various Slavs, Greeks, Turkic peoples, Caucasus peoples. Stalin deported entire groups like the Crimean Tatars and Volga Germans. There are many reasons for the borders being how they are, and it’s still debated whether Eastern Ukrainians are Russian ethnicity, Russian speakers and/or Ukrainian ethnicity. You could speak to dozens of people and still be none the wiser!
 
Smart move by Putin, totally wrong footing the west. Now what you gonna do Biden, Johnson? Well roughly speaking... absolutely nothing, same as before.

Boris might send another 1000 troops and another carrier group to the Isle of Wight.
 
Stupid questions so forgive me

By recognising the 2 breakaway regions, does that mean VP can move his troops further West?

or is this just putting a buffer zone between him and NATO?
 
Stupid questions so forgive me

By recognising the 2 breakaway regions, does that mean VP can move his troops further West?

or is this just putting a buffer zone between him and NATO?

They recognised the independence of Crimea and then Crimea "voted" to join Russia straight after.

It will be the same plan here.

He gets to portray it as a voluntary union to his domestic audience and try and ignore how the people controlling the disputed territories took control in the first place.
 
Stupid questions so forgive me

By recognising the 2 breakaway regions, does that mean VP can move his troops further West?

or is this just putting a buffer zone between him and NATO?
A bit of both it does end the nato link but.

Yes as now “the invaders” will be sold as the protectors going in to defend their fellow Russians.

It’s now being spun as a moral crusade to protect them
 
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