HolgateCorner
Well-known member
The most worrying thing in that report is the statement ‘but Russia is not normal in any way, sort or form.’There have been a lot of updates, but not many that I could post. This, I can.
"Things are picking up pace again in many places around Ukraine.
So, let us debone those now that I can talk about it.
Kursk
The drone bombardment continued for the third day in a row.
Powerplants, civilian administration, and the military airfield was hit.
The City of Kursk and parts of the Oblast is now in darkness.
Previously the airfield was hit, first day was against the airplanes, second day was the fuel depot, and yesterday the barracks and officers quarters was targeted.
Russian sources are filled with condolences for officers and pilots that died.
During this period there was also intense border attacks and raids performed by the Free Russia Corps.
To inspire his fellow Kurskians the mayor of Kursk cancelled the "Kursk Day" and the fireworks show.
Que the Sad Kursk Noises.
Luhansk
Here Ukraine performed deep strikes at ammunition depots and command centers in the rear of Luhansk towards the Russian border.
This area was previously only reachable by Stormshadow missiles, but those are to pricey to use for lesser targets like this.
But, now the GLSDBs have arrived and the entire deep rear of Donbas is open for strikes.
Bakhmut
Ukraine sent in a heavy Brigade to reinforce south of Bakhmut to sustain the pace of the advance into the rear, and to force Russia to send in additional units.
Mar'inka
The 2nd Battalion of the 21st together with a company of tanks from the 2nd Tank Army Group met the Russians head on at Mari'nka and beat them back into the town border.
Almost a full kilometer of ground was gained and is now being demined.
In the Pavlivka direction we have increased the amount of shelling substantially.
Tokmak Axis
48 hours ago Oleksandr launched the artillery he had amassed near both Novoprokopivka and Verbove and started to methodically crush anything in the villages, behind the rolling wave of fire came infantry and heavy equipment clattering.
For weeks he had been bringing in reinforcements to take advantage of the not so small fact that Russia is not willing to reinforce enough to hold the line against a big push due to the "Putin Order".
This meant that the time was ripe to start collapsing the frontlines.
The goal is to rapidly take the villages and push down towards both Tokmak and Ocheretuvate in two weeks from now.
This is the big offensive that was announced a week ago by Zelenzkyy.
In support of this offensive we are also going to make a push to lock down as much force as we can on our part of the frontline, the same goes for Bakhmut and around Avdivka north of Donetsk City.
Conclusion
I am certain that either Russia will have the frontline broken, or at least be pushed back significantly, unless Russia moves significant forces from Luhansk.
If they do the latter something interesting will happen of course.
Note that this happened on the back of Ukraine receiving a significant new resource in form of the GLSDB.
Due to this Ukraine can strike deep in the rear and demolish stores and units on their entire travel to reinforce making the relief troops exhausted and degraded upon arrival.
Those extra 90km of a GLSDB compared to the GMLRS will make a huge difference in Russian manouvre space and in Russian logistics.
This will excarbate the Russian shell hunger further.
Shells
And this reminded me.
Ukraine blew up the factory producing explosives for their remaining shell production plant.
This meant that the factory did not receive any brisant charge high explosived to fill the shells.
Any normal person would at that point either stop producing shell casings, or continue production and store the casings for a rainy day or for when explosives production can resume.
But, Russia is not normal in any way, sort, or form.
They continued producing the shells, albeit empty.
They then delivered them with detonators and all to the frontline units.
There are many videos now of artillerymen complaining mightily on said empty shells.
I bet there is a new superyacht being ordered for the money that someone in Russia pocketed due to this scheme.
Some people wrote that the Russians should continue firing the empty shells since they would kill someone if they hit that someone.
Problem is that the shells are more prone to deform without the internal support, and could more easily get logged in the barrels.
On top of that the ballance is gone for the shell so it would tumble in the air, and the precission would just be utterly gone.
Only in Russia..."
Hard to deal with an entity like that.