The end?

Unfortunately for him the territorial realities are likely to change somewhat.
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Apparently some large explosions in occupied Berdyansk with reports of secondary explosions so possible that it was ammunition depots?
This in my opinion could be a pre strikes before an offensive from Ukraine in this direction. This would be a strategically sound place for a counter offensive, If Ukraine can gain access to the Sea Of Azov at this point the destruction of the Kirch bridge would be made easier and also a point where any Russian supply lines to Crimea will be made much more difficult, this would certainly put Crimea in a tricky situation from a supply point of view. Along side further reported attack by the Free Russians(as reported today).
 
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Apparently some large explosions in occupied Berdyansk with reports of secondary explosions so possible that it was ammunition depots?
This in my opinion could be a pre strikes before an offensive from Ukraine in this direction. This would be a strategically sound place for a counter offensive, If Ukraine can gain access to the Sea Of Azov at this point the destruction of the Kirch bridge would be made easier and also a point where any Russian supply lines to Crimea will be made much more difficult, this would certainly put Crimea in a tricky situation from a supply point of view. Along side further reported attack by the Free Russians(as reported today).

Movement down to Mariupol is most likely I think, but maybe a twin pronged assault, taking in Berdyansk as well. That effectively isolates Crimea.
They don't at this stage need to get to the sea of Asov to hit the bridge. They can do it from the air.

Just chatting with my mate. Let's just say that things are going on behind the scenes to deal with Prigozhin.
 
I’m not following this as much as others but I did wonder if part of the offensive will be to retake the Crimea?


Ultimately, the intention is to roll back the borders to pre 2014, so yes, they will re-take Crimea. Crimea is unsustainable for Russia if they lose the land bridge and the corridor along the Asov coast.
 
My mate is, I suspect, secretly hoping that Prigozhin visits Africa soon. At which point he becomes my mate's "problem to solve".
 
My mate is, I suspect, secretly hoping that Prigozhin visits Africa soon. At which point he becomes my mate's "problem to solve".
Up until the past couple of weeks Prigozhin going to claim his mines and riches in Africa seemed quite likely, seems now though he has made enemies closer to home and quite possibly will be sent back to other heavy sections of the front line especially if Russia has to pull troops out to defend the border against the free Russians. The Wagner group and Prigozhin is probably seen as expendable now even more so if he is made the national hero for capturing Bakhmut, I can imagine an accident happening on the front line involving him.
 
Hard to believe, if true.

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My mate is, I suspect, secretly hoping that Prigozhin visits Africa soon. At which point he becomes my mate's "problem to solve".

It’s possibly already in this long thread but without giving too much obvious info away, who is this mate and how much of what you’re posting actual truth or rumour?

It’s fascinating reading this amount of in-depth content..

I’m just hoping the Russian threat of escalation is not realised any time soon 🫣
 
It’s possibly already in this long thread but without giving too much obvious info away, who is this mate and how much of what you’re posting actual truth or rumour?

It’s fascinating reading this amount of in-depth content..

I’m just hoping the Russian threat of escalation is not realised any time soon 🫣

He is a reluctant, called up reservist from Sweden, who is my good friend and colleage in another area of life entirely. He is a former tank commander who helped to train some of the Ukraine's most enterprising and successful tank commanders. As he can't fit in a tank any more, and because he has a brain the size of a planet and is a student of military history and strategy, he was re-incorporated as a military/intelligence analyst (he was already actually doing this). He's that good at this job that he advises key players in the West, strategically. I wish he wasn't that good in all honesty, because it detracts from what we are doingin our own ventures, and he has a tendency to burn 1) candles at both ends 2) out. He isn't always right, but his hit rate is astonishingly high. Sometimes I wish I had his brain, but then again.... maybe not. What you see is what he posts to 5 people ... except I have to redact/edit some parts. He isn't playing to an "audience" for "likes" in the same way as some pundits are.
 
He is a reluctant, called up reservist from Sweden, who is my good friend and colleage in another area of life entirely. He is a former tank commander who helped to train some of the Ukraine's most enterprising and successful tank commanders. As he can't fit in a tank any more, and because he has a brain the size of a planet and is a student of military history and strategy, he was re-incorporated as a military/intelligence analyst (he was already actually doing this). He's that good at this job that he advises key players in the West, strategically. I wish he wasn't that good in all honesty, because it detracts from what we are doingin our own ventures, and he has a tendency to burn 1) candles at both ends 2) out. He isn't always right, but his hit rate is astonishingly high. Sometimes I wish I had his brain, but then again.... maybe not. What you see is what he posts to 5 people ... except I have to redact/edit some parts. He isn't playing to an "audience" for "likes" in the same way as some pundits are.
Fascinating stuff… I take it he’s happy you relaying it to us…
 
How can this fella be the Russian ambassador to the UK making indirect(borderline direct) threats. He is so full of crap he should change his name to Ivor Cesspit!
Expell him, how can he seriously discuss any possible diplomatic solutions to this situation when he is so openly hostile.
 
How can this fella be the Russian ambassador to the UK making indirect(borderline direct) threats. He is so full of crap he should change his name to Ivor Cesspit!
Expell him, how can he seriously discuss any possible diplomatic solutions to this situation when he is so openly hostile.
It also said they 'haven't started to act seriously'
200,000 plus Russian deaths and that's not serious? Why do we even have diplomatic relations with this murderous regime?
 
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