In fairness I don’t think it’s any surprise that little adds up in terms of either words or actions from the government and it’s advisors.
What have SAGE actually got correct?In fairness I don’t think it’s any surprise that little adds up in terms of either words or actions from the government and it’s advisors.
They’ve called most things wrong since the virus appeared in the UK haven’t they and they took the easy way out by locking everything down.
The way they are going on just now would suggest they don’t have that much confidence in the vaccine for some reason, they seem to be turning back to testing.
I thought they would do that, so they don't have the bad press of a return to three-figure days.I think those 'catch-up' deaths @Alvez_48 alluded to earlier in the week are actually spreading across a number of days rather than one big hit on Tuesday/Wednesday just gone.
That does pre-suppose the alert level is anything more than a countdown for the snouts in the trough BoroFur.I'm surprised the UK's coronavirus alert level remains at four.
Level four relates to transmission being high or rising exponentially which it isn't really.
A very smug friend of mine tweeted this. One who lives in Folkestone and Hythe. I'm surprised they aren't trying to get early release!
Billy, I'm thinking the 7 day average value on Friday 2nd April (Good Friday) is the one we don't want to see exceeded in the coming week or so.Today's headline analysis:
• 2,584 new cases reported in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 3,150
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 4.2% to 2,709 per day, following 1.3% decrease yesterday (and 15th consecutive daily decrease)
• 7-day average for new cases is 32.1% lower than one week ago (from 32.2% lower yesterday) and 51.3% lower than two weeks ago (from 50.3% lower yesterday and 25.5% lower 7 days ago)
• 40 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, down from 60 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test increases by 13.4% to 36 per day, following 3.7% increase yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 0.4% higher than one week ago (from 25.6% lower yesterday) and 43.7% lower than two weeks ago (from 54.2% lower yesterday and 61.6% lower 7 days ago)
I wouldn't be overly concerned about increases in the 7-day average for deaths. Still working through the impact of the double bank holiday weekend.
Were next phase targets made public?So progress against Government Phase 1 targets is as follows:-
Phase 1 - 1st dose
Target 32m by 15th April
Achieved 32.121m by 10th April
Phase 1 - 2nd dose
Target 15m by 10th May
Achieved 7.466m by 10th April
Daily rate required to achieve 15m = 251k
Daily average of actual 2nd doses over the last 7 days = 297k
On target
Just that by 31st July all of those in the 18-49 age range would be offered 1st dose vaccinations.Were next phase targets made public?