Billy Horner
Well-known member
https://www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Actual daily deaths are now beginning to be posted online. The current daily death statistics we've been getting are nonsense and not accurate within the week, never mind the day.
Hopefully someone graphs this out since have a clearer picture.
They've been posting them for a couple of weeks now. However, you can't compare them directly with the published UK daily death statistics, as this data only relates to England. From what I've been able to ascertain, none of the other devolved nations publish their data in this format.
The other health warning with this data is that it is subject to change, particularly for the most recent four days. Those numbers tend to be revised upwards (often significantly) over the following days.
Analysis of these data (which I remind people only covers England) basically shows a continuously growing trend, from approx. 100 per day three weeks ago, 2-300 per day two weeks ago, 5-600 per day last week and it touched 700 four days ago. Like I've mentioned, the most recent days then show smaller numbers, but they will be revised upwards in the coming days.
I wouldn't describe the current daily statistics as nonsense. They are an accurate record of the number of deaths which are able to be reported each day, and they also show an increasing trend in line with the NHS England data. As has been mentioned previously on this thread, it is the trend which is by far the most important factor, rather than the absolute accuracy of any individual data.