YouGov Poll - 33 Point lead!

Labour need to be taking a bigger slice of that 19%. Also a further 2% drop for Lib Dems so essentially 21% of voters there to try and win. 9% isn't enough.
Coastal towns are traditionally Tory for some reason, maybe a lot of old people retiring to the sea, so these figures look quite strong for Labour.

Whatever the overall opinion polls show unless Sunak works some kind of miracle with the economy then I expect the next election Labour around 42%, Tories around 30% and the rest split amongst Lib Dems, Reform, SNP etc.

As bad as this particular Tory government has been their core vote will stick by them because they are frightened the Lord of the manor will find out and evict them if they vote for somebody else or they fear the socialists will come in and at gunpoint take the rest of what little money they have and give it to the immigrants.
 
Coastal towns are traditionally Tory for some reason, maybe a lot of old people retiring to the sea, so these figures look quite strong for Labour.

Whatever the overall opinion polls show unless Sunak works some kind of miracle with the economy then I expect the next election Labour around 42%, Tories around 30% and the rest split amongst Lib Dems, Reform, SNP etc.

As bad as this particular Tory government has been their core vote will stick by them because they are frightened the Lord of the manor will find out and evict them if they vote for somebody else or they fear the socialists will come in and at gunpoint take the rest of what little money they have and give it to the immigrants.

Oh aye. They're still scared Labour will crash the economy and bankrupt the country so they can't possibly vote for them 🤦‍♂️🤯

Suspect a lot of traditional Tory voters are suffering a lot from cognitive dissonance right now.
 
I think the Stretford and Urmston by-election result was missed from last week

Stretford and Urmston parliamentary by-election, result:

LAB: 69.6% (+9.3)
CON: 15.9% (-11.7)
GRN: 4.3% (+1.6)
LDEM: 3.6% (-2.4)
REF: 3.5% (+3.5)
REU: 1.3% (+1.3)
IND: 1.0% (+1.0)
FA: 0.4% (+0.4)
SDP: 0.4% (+0.4)

Turnout just 25.8% mind.
 
Inflation go up: Covid; Putin; Unions
Inflation come down: Tories

And people will still fall for it.
Cost of living will still be an issue.
The thing with inflation is that it is baked into the economy immediately and if your wages are not increasing by the same amount then you're worse off.

If and when inflation comes back down to 2% - 3% the Tories will be hoping that the general pubic is too thick to notice they've got less money in their pockets.
 
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