What people have been coerced into what?The indoctrination continues. Baffling how easily people have been coerced in to this.
I read something similar to this about the latest variants of covid, suggesting that about 85% of folks would either have to be vaccinated or have immunity based on a previous infection, so I think SAGE may have got thier numbers wrong, or it is an older opinion, or, and I dread to consider this, it's spin.It's related to the Ro. If the Kent variant is 70% more transmissible than the previous variant, it could have an Ro of 9. With that level of contagiousness, herd immunity could require 90% of the population with antibodies. Measles, with an Ro of 12-18, requires 95% for herd immunity.
It's not really a prediction though is it? It's a scenario, based on a number of different variables. As the author says, it would only end up being true if all the different values turn out to be what is posited.There has been a very interesting prediction from a member of the independent SAGE.
Herd immunity threshold by May 16th.
Crucially, these variables are themselves time-dependent and depend upon mitigating responses, modelled as the (prevalence-dependent) probability of moving from low to high contact rate locations.
Potato potato tomato tomato.It's not really a prediction though is it? It's a scenario, based on a number of different variables. As the author says, it would only end up being true if all the different values turn out to be what is posited.
Then, as he further points out:
In the end it's just a model and as the old statistical aphorism goes, "All models are wrong, but some are useful."
Not really. A model is not a prediction and it's a mis-characterisation to say that it is.Potato potato tomato tomato.
Models have put us into a near year long lockdown. Designed by a man who,Not really. A model is not a prediction and it's a mis-characterisation to say that it is.
If I could give an analogy, it's like the difference between saying, "The Boro are going to get into the play-offs,” (a prediction) and saying, "If we go on a really good run of form, if we avoid any injuries or suspensions and if all the teams above us start losing games, then we might get into the play-offs," (a scenario that may or may not come true, depending on a number of variables).
This is literally the qualification you'd expect for someone doing statistical modelling in biological sciences.Bachelor of Arts degree in Physics
I'm fairly sure all the sensible people are adamant that herd immunity is virtually impossible for this type of virus without a vaccine (possibly due to the Ro number mentioned above by @bear66 ).From what I've read the 80% figure been bandied about for herd immunity was with no vaccination program.
That's the whole point and people are not even seeing it.Good to see you are still lurking @Evil this place has turned since you've last posted. It's not pretty.
That's the whole point and people are not even seeing it.
Divided population is an easier one to control.
I'm shocked at how easily people have been scared by a virus that kills barely anyone, how easily people are being fooled by statistics that you can pick apart very quickly and how just 11 months ago, the conspiracy theory nut jobs were talking about vaccine passports and ID's - were labelled nut jobs, but now funnily enough - they were correct. However its absolutely fine to have vaccine passports.
Madness.
I'll just pop this here:
The CDC have been caught out for over reporting Covid deaths by 1600% - Why?
In December - Pfizer jab is 94% effective! Now you've got to have 3rd jab. Why?
Governments WORLDWIDE (not all governments are taking part btw) are all inept? Really? All responding the same way, really? Why?
No small limited company support, in any country? Why?
Belarus PM, African heads of states amongst others saying they were offered bribes to control their population by the IMF. Why? Who funds the IMF?
Why does Dr Fauci have massive shares in the Wuhan lab? Also why does Bill Gates have massive shares in Imperial College, Wuhan lab and coincidentally - Pfizer? Wasn't his Dad a eugenics fan? What about Boris' dad? Didn't he write a book on eugenics, also didn't he write a book on a virus depopulating the planet?
The vaccines, they state that they can't promise that they don't cause infertility in both men and women.
Why are doctors being deplatformed and censored? Actual Doctors and Scientists. Why would they deplatform them? Seems odd to me. People who care for people.
How easy is it to corrupt?
People need to open their eyes a bit more before its too late.
Look up "The Great Reset" and Agenda 2030 or 201 as it was previously known. Then analyse it properly.
I like your definition of modelling Artie, not sure I agree with it, but it is concise and easy to underrstand.Modelling is the science of making inferences about the things we cant see based on the evidence of the things we can see
I struggle with the view that a covid passport is discriminatory in settings such as pubs who already have the right to refuse entry: I need to show proof of age, so I dont mind having to show proof of vaccination
And therein lies the point: choice.I like your definition of modelling Artie, not sure I agree with it, but it is concise and easy to underrstand.
On the subject of vaccination certificates for entry to venues. I would refuse to go to a venue that discriminated against people who wouldn't or couldn't be vaccinated. We each can make up our own minds and choose accordingly. I am not sure a venue could make the distinction legally, but assuming they can, it is up to each business to make that decision, and for the general public to decide whether they want to attend that particular venue.
There is a big difference between people who can’t have the vaccine and people who won’t have the vaccine, what are the main reasons for people not being able to receive the vaccine, excuse my ignorance on this one. Also the choice lies with the people who won’t take the vaccine but with that choice may come restrictive consequences, that’s just the way it is.I like your definition of modelling Artie, not sure I agree with it, but it is concise and easy to underrstand.
On the subject of vaccination certificates for entry to venues. I would refuse to go to a venue that discriminated against people who wouldn't or couldn't be vaccinated. We each can make up our own minds and choose accordingly. I am not sure a venue could make the distinction legally, but assuming they can, it is up to each business to make that decision, and for the general public to decide whether they want to attend that particular venue.
There isn't as big a difference as you may think between those who won't and those who can't.There is a big difference between people who can’t have the vaccine and people who won’t have the vaccine, what are the main reasons for people not being able to receive the vaccine, excuse my ignorance on this one. Also the choice lies with the people who won’t take the vaccine but with that choice may come restrictive consequences, that’s just the way it is.
The religious objection is just a tabloid headline. There are hardly any religions that prohibit vaccination, and I doubt there are more than a few hundred people from those religions in the UK.There isn't as big a difference as you may think between those who won't and those who can't.
Let me give you an example. Someones religious beliefs forbid vaccination, is that a choice they have made or is it forced on them. That's rhetoric, by the way.
Someone who refuses vaccination because they believe they are being controlled by the government, is that a choice or a mental health issue. Again rhetoric.
Because there are not really any good reasons not to be vaccinated, the choice not to do so isn't, as most would have you believe, a choice at all. It comes from someones belief system. Not a good belief system, in my opinion, but a belief system never the less.
It doesn't matter if there is only 1 person effected by this, the point is valid. And no other issue addressed in your post.The religious objection is just a tabloid headline. There are hardly any religions that prohibit vaccination, and I doubt there are more than a few hundred people from those religions in the UK.