Urgent review into how PHE death figures

@Alvez_48
Is this the "told you so" moment some of us have been saying for weeks and weeks?

Could well be, not that I trust this government at all but it's impossible now to get an accurate picture of anything.

In my opinion we've clearly over inflated the numbers in an effort to justify the decades of NHS mishandling, Draconian bills and government policy. Now they want to open up so they will likely want to claim the numbers are higher than they are.

The fact is they enabled this kind of statistical shenanigans when they pushed ridiculous measures like letting care home owners declare deaths as covid with no medical training and no coroner.
 
From what I have read it has added about 22 deaths a day to the figures and made the downward trend in deaths seem a lot slower than it should have been.
 
What makes you think this?

Bear seems to be one of the more level headed posters. Seems to be one of the few who fact-checks his posts

I like bear but there is 0 fact in the claim that we're under reporting figures, that sir is opinion.

Unfortunately it's almost impossible to try to figure out because of the changes in policy in reporting specifically covid deaths.

You now have this PHE debacle on top of that.

In normal circumstances you'd look at excess deaths but even that's no good because we turned off the NHS and fear made people stay away from A and E.

There were 8,000 'excess' deaths from October to December not one single post about it anywhere. We now have approximately 60,000 for 2020 and all of them according to some (bear included) are covid deaths.

That's why I state categorically in my first post that it is 'im my opinion'.
 
What makes you think this?

Bear seems to be one of the more level headed posters. Seems to be one of the few who fact-checks his posts
In the week to 3 July the daily figures are were 717 deaths. The ONS report plus Scotland, Ireland and Wales came to 536 deaths. The deaths reported aren't over the same time frame as not all deaths that have occurred will be registered in that week and daily figures will be primarily the previous three days but not all, but it does suggest that the ONS is correcting the figures. The people who brought this to light believe that this method may have led to 1000 deaths being overreported, mainly in recent weeks, but the ONS has picked up much higher levels of underreporting since March.
 
I like bear but there is 0 fact in the claim that we're under reporting figures, that sir is opinion.

Unfortunately it's almost impossible to try to figure out because of the changes in policy in reporting specifically covid deaths.

You now have this PHE debacle on top of that.

In normal circumstances you'd look at excess deaths but even that's no good because we turned off the NHS and fear made people stay away from A and E.

There were 8,000 'excess' deaths from October to December not one single post about it anywhere. We now have approximately 60,000 for 2020 and all of them according to some (bear included) are covid deaths.

That's why I state categorically in my first post that it is 'im my opinion'.
Curious that your explanation includes the phrase “in your opinion “ and state it’s “impossible to figure out” yet when querying bears post you used an absolute term that he was wrong? How can you prove whether he is right or wrong if you think it’s impossible?
 
Read the tweets from the guys at Oxford who found this out.

Basically put, PHE figures say the fatality rate for the virus is currently 100%.
 
They are saying that at least in the short term the covid death figures are unlikely to change. But they are reviewing them, due to as pointed out that in england above once people test any death is counted as covid even if it almost certainly not related, such as a car accident. The other thing they are going to review is the serious long term health effects of covid, such as lung, kidney and heart damage which will certainly contribute to early deaths. We won't know these for years or even decades. I feel the best figure to use at the moment to tell us how deadly covid has been is to use the average excess deaths.
 
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