Well, who saw this coming?
"Prigozhin the Ukrainian Asset
Washington Post in one of their less bright moments wrote an article claiming a relationship between him and the security forces of Ukraine.
By publishing that article they blew up a 3 month long intelligence operation and probably caused thousands of lives lost on both sides.
The plan was that Wagner would pull out of Bakhmut in a few days, leaving a giant arsed hole in the middle, and he has also given numerous target solutions for Russian military commanders in Donbas.
The reciprocal part would be that he would not be prosecuted by Ukraine, and could do whatever the **** he wished in Russia, or other places.
Basically, he would have become my problem in Africa, and I had plans for that.
All of it is now down the ***** due to americans being unable to ever shut the **** up... and their media being idiots.
To say that I am fuming is an understatement.
Strelkov fired directly from the hip today and named publicly Prigozhin's 3 accomplices in the Presidential staff.
This makes me suspect that this was leaked by the Russians themselves as a part of their internal power struggle.
The 3 named are Kiriyenko, the head of the presidential staff and the billionaires Mikhail and Yury Kovalchuk.
Kiriyenko is the closest associate of Putin (dead or alive) and the Kovalchuks are basically sitting on half of Putin's wealth since they are his personal bankers.
Strelkov openly going for these 3 men is just "out there", this means that FSB is openly going for the direct circle around Putin at this point in time.
Interestingly enough we now know that Strelkov is still on the payrolls of the FSB, paygrade as a general.
What is even more interesting is that his file gives both Strelkov and Girkin as aliases, but his real name is scrubbed out on orders of Bortnikov's predecessor.
In other words, not even FSB know who the heck he really is any longer.
Uncle Luka
The head of the KGB (Belarus never changed the nomenclature) has openly stated that there will be an attempt to destabilize the country in the next few days, and told the Belarusian people to be ready for it.
This could obviously mean several things, but if it was a public uprising they worried about they would send out the special police forces preemtively, this has not happened.
Instead the amount of army personal quadrupled, same with KGB forces.
Paired with the open message to the population seems more like a warning that it is Russia that would create the problem for "all Belarusians".
There has also been a statement of sorts about Lukashenka to the public.
It says that he was rushed from Moscow with massive organ failures and systemic collapse and that he is being treated for this in Belarus.
A note here, the thing on his hand is a standard protective glove used when there is an intravenous line inserted.
Obviously this is not food poisoning or some flu, instead it is something more serious, regardless if it is poisoning with Novichok/Polonium or a disease.
Bakhmut
Russia is now trying to defend and the mass exodus has stopped on the Northern and Southern flanks.
The commander, a two-star general, and four colonels, all responsible for Bakhmut, has been killed in missile attacks by Ukraine.
This pretty much led to Prigozhin becoming the de facto commander for the time being in the Bakhmut area.
He in turn sent reinforcements North and South to act as barrier guards killing any Russian army soldiers trying to abandon post.
Regardless Ukraine is still pushing forward piece by piece, especially on the Northern side.
What is new is that due to Prigozhin sending wagnerites as barrier guards Ukraine was able to break through inside Bakhmut and push Wagner south two roads worth on the southern side.
Amount of Russians
UK Intelligence released a report that is basically shattering for Russia.
They have counted the Russian soldiers in frontline, or frontline ready reserves.
Russia currently has roughly 200 000 soldiers inside of Ukraine, this means that the situation is 1:6 in total, and 1:3 in regards of frontline units and reserves in favour of Ukraine.
Equipment is similar in proportion, or even worse for Russia.
Red Line
Yesterday someone in the Russian command had enough with the talk about red lines and nukes in Russian propaganda.
So, that someone (probably both FSB and Army Command) forced Margarita Simonyan to officially dispute all talk about red lines as the fevered imagination of the propagandists.
The rest toed the line immediately.
The red line exists, it is extremely well known by all parties.
It has been communicated and discussed between all nuclear powers.
Russia has clearly communicated both informally and officially by both Peskov, Putin (previously) and Shoygu.
And that is that Russia will exactly follow their nuclear doctrine as agreed originally between the 5 official nuclear powers.
All 5 of them have ratified the same exact wordings in The Nuclear Power's Protocol.
So, let me translate and quote directly what it states:
The Communist Republics of the Soviet Union will only use nuclear weapons in case of imminent threat to the existence of the Soviet Union".
The interpretation has been clarified by the Russians as follows:
"Until the central power of the Federative Republics of Russian Union is threatened Russia will not use nuclear weapons".
In other words, unless Ukraine tries to take Moscow nothing will happen.
Simonyan was even forced to note that attacks on Russia was not enough to cross a red line, it was quite implicit that even if Ukraine temporarily takes areas of Russia it would not be crossing any red line, refusing to hand them back would though be something else in the end, Helsinki Agreement and all."