Starmer calls for nationwide lockdown in next 24 hrs

The point that skews the gap is the initial support for lockdown, the bounce is clear.

Maybe a combination of things. I'm not sure the initial support for lockdown would necessarily play out as support for the tories and against Labour. Corbyn wasn't speaking out against the first lockdown or anything like that.

The trajectory changes almost exactly at the point Labour's leadership contest ends (first weekend in April 2020), and the publically despised, lame-duck, terrorist supporting, Czech-Slovakian spy, Corbyn is replaced with Forensic Sir Starmer so I think it's fair to say that's at least part of what turned the polling around.

Anyway my point yesterday was that the gap between the parties (as the graph shows) grew quite a bit after the general election and Corbyn announcing he was stepping down, and before the end of the internal leadership election.
 
I think there is generally good support for a government governing in extreme times. The public, at least initially, cut them a lot of slack. Did that play a part in the support.

At any time in a year there will be some bounces for both parties, I would assume brexit would have given the tories a bounce in the polls once a deal was agreed. I fully expect that bounce to reverse when the reality of the deal bites.

This time last year there was a lot going on, both in the world, the UK and politically. It would be difficult to seperate those I suspect.
 
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