We get, say, 7 points from the next 7 games (e.g. 2 wins ,1 draw, 4 losses) and we're on 15 points after 13 games. Seems not unlikely right now. That is five points behind where we were last season after 13 games despite our worst ever start in the second tier. At that point, really serious questions get asked about Carrick's position. Even if we go along at our current rate, say 10 points from our next 7 games (3 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses) that still puts us 2 points behind the same time last season and struggling to reach the playoffs.

We need 14 points from the next 7 games just to reach comfortable playoff form. That's 4 wins, 2 draws and only 1 loss. It's going to take a significant turnaround to do that.

Barring an absolute disaster or Carrick walking, there's no way the club is ending the Carrick era before we've mathematically missed the play-offs but I'm pretty sure we're already making contingencies.

That said, if we go into the January window losing touch with the play-offs then I see ELL going and possibly Hackney as well. If that happens, all bets are off.