Vaccination planning in Andalucía
https://www.lavozdealmeria.com/noti...yores-de-16-anos-estaran-inmunizados-en-julio
Google translation:
89% of those over 16 will be immunized in July
They are the forecasts of the Board, taking into account the forecast of doses to reach the community
The Junta de Andalucía contemplates that 89 percent of the population over 16 years of age have completed their vaccination against Covid-19 during the next month of July, either with two doses of Pfizer, Moderna or AstraZeneca, or with the single dose. of Janssen, according to the forecast of doses that will reach the autonomous community from this month of May.
This is reflected in the plan 'One million per week' that the Ministry of Health and Families presented last Tuesday, May 11, to the Government Council, a mass vaccination strategy designed for the administration of this amount of doses from Monday to Sunday to population groups determined in a "coordinated and safe" way.
As reported by the Board last Tuesday after the Governing Council meeting, this strategy will be developed "immediately" and will extend "as long as necessary", as well as providing for the implementation of up to 545 vaccination points with 911 teams.
The plan details, depending on the forecast of doses of vaccines that will arrive in Andalusia from this month of May, the projection during the next months for the accumulated number of people -and the percentage with respect to the population of 16 years or more , considered as the target population for vaccination - which will have a full schedule until next August 1.
At the end of May Specifically, the Board contemplates that, between the 3rd and 30th of this month of May, a total of 2,236,729 people -which represent 31.8 percent of the population aged 16 years or over in Andalusia - will have the complete vaccination schedule. The figures rise to 4,369,140 people during the month of June - between May 31 and July 4, specifically - which is equivalent to 62.1 percent of the total number of Andalusians aged 16 or over.
And, during the month of July -between July 5 and August 1-, a total of 6,256,836 people -89% of Andalusians aged 16 or over- will have the complete vaccination schedule according to the forecasts that the Ministry of Health and Families includes in the Plan 'One million per week'. Taking into account the total population of Andalusia -including children and adolescents-, it would be 70 percent of the resident population in the autonomous community that would be vaccinated by August 8.
According to the last daily update of the vaccination campaign in Andalusia carried out this past Friday, May 14, the autonomous community had administered a total of 3,680,920 doses of the vaccine against Covid-19 until the day before, and a total of 1,223 .920 Andalusians have the complete vaccination schedule, while 2,519,205 already have at least one dose.
With these figures, 35.7% of those over 16 years of age living in Andalusia were already vaccinated with a dose, a percentage that dropped to 29.8% in relation to the population as a whole, and 17.3% with the complete guideline, 14.5% when compared to the entire population.
Appointments 'at discretion' The Board points out that the achievement of the objective of having more than 70 percent of the population of 16 years or more vaccinated during the month of July "may be favored if the appointment for vaccination in people aged 16 to 40 years is carried out at discretion, without order of age, in order of application through the usual established channels ”.
The department headed by the counselor Jesús Aguirre defends that the implementation of the actions of this mass vaccination plan "will allow the administration of figures between 700,000 and 1,000,000 weekly doses, depending on the variable arrival that may exist" of the vaccine doses .
Thus, the Ministry maintains in its plan that the "large spaces for mass vaccination" included in it, "as well as organizational adaptations, will allow each team of professionals to administer each vaccine to each person in an average time of two-three minutes, although the complete process can take a total of 20-30 minutes from the moment the person arrives until he leaves the place ”.
"Carrying out a simple mathematical calculation, each vaccinating team, at two minutes for each vaccination, for ten hours, can manage to administer up to 300 doses a day," states the Board's plan, which confirms that, "in this way, in in a mass vaccination space with ten posts, up to 3,000 doses a day could be administered, which in a week would be 21,000 doses ”.
Upward forecast If the time for each vaccination "can be shortened to 90 seconds, it would be 4,000 daily doses, and 28,000 weekly doses," according to the plan, which also states that, "according to data provided by the Ministry of Health, the forecast of doses to be received in the coming weeks is on the rise, with a significant increase especially from June ”due to a“ notable increase in the arrival of doses from Pfizer and Janssen ”.
Furthermore, it is likely "that the Board's calculations" will be modified, given that the arrival of new vaccines from June or July, such as Curevac or Novavax, is foreseeable, "according to the plan of the Ministry of Health and Families.
The table with the expected arrival of doses of the different vaccines to Andalusia between the months of May and August that is included in the 'One million per week' plan places Pfizer as the laboratory from which more doses will arrive weekly, with higher figures at 300,000 in the second half of May -about 303,030 a week between the 17th and 30th-, and close to 500,000 from the week of May 31 to June 6 and until the week of June 28 to July 4th.
Specifically, the Board contemplates the arrival of more than 486,000 doses of Pfizer vaccine per week in that period of time between the last day of May and July 4, a figure that is reduced to 320,940 that are contemplated to the week from July 5 to 11 and until August 23 to 29.
Moderna, AstraZeneca and Janssen De Moderna, the forecast of the arrival of doses managed by the Ministry of Health and Families puts at 55,000 those that the autonomous community will receive a week from last May 10 until next June 20, time to From which it is expected that the number of vaccines of this pharmaceutical company that Andalusia will have will increase until, specifically, 59,481 in the week of June 21-27; 63,118 in the one from June 28 to July 4, and 93,608 weekly from July 5 to the end of August.
The number of AstraZeneca vaccines that Andalusia expects to have per week from the second half of May ranges from 178,000 for the remainder of the month, 142,400 from May 31 and throughout the month of June, and 151,300 from the week of July 5 to 11 and until the end of August.
For its part, Janssen is expected to double the arrival of vaccines to Andalusia as of June, going from 58,500 weekly that are expected for the second half of May to 140,400 that are contemplated from May 31 and until the end of June. Starting the week of July 5-11, the expected figure is further increased to 189,000 weekly doses through the end of August.
In this way, in total and counting on those of Pfizer, Moderna, AstraZeneca and Janssen, Andalusia expects to receive almost 600,000 weekly doses in the remainder of May - specifically, 594,530 a week -, more than 823,000 a week to starting May 31 and during the month of June, and almost 755,000 from the week of July 5 to 11 and until the end of August.