The end?

OK... WARNING THIS CONTAINS UPSETTING MENTAL IMAGERY.

Horrors of war.

"Progress & Collapse
For almost 3 days Ukraine managed no progress in key areas as Russia threw in wave after wave of counterattacks in a desperate attempt to stem the tide, or even try to reverse it.
To say that the fighting has been hard would be an understatement.

At Robotyne it was especially bad (for both sides).
The salient is to narrow for Ukrainian reinforcements to be effective, and Russia lacks artillery to take advantage of things and close the salient into a cul-de-sac.

With the previous forces and the 82nd taking up all the real estate the 21st could not get into action as it arrived yesterday morning.
It takes time to move a sledgehammer of that size, especially since it was alread engaging at Polohy.

Instead they got into strikes attempting to rapidly expand the width of the salient, something that Colonel Braindead should have done from day one.

With 47th and Azov storming, defending, restorming, grinding away in Urozhaine the have over 3 days finally come to the Southern Edge again, in other words, they are back where they started 3 days ago.
At the same time the 82nd Airborne has pounded their way around and closed the sack, 3 times over.
Now the town seem to be firmly in Ukrainian hands, I am somewhat sure that it will stay that way now.

It is the same thing that happened at Urozhaine.
Russia know that every village now is extremely important to hold, regardless of how insignificant it is.

Robotyne Verbove direction is where the 21st started to push and quickly made progress against the unprepared Russian units, they rapidly broadened the salient Eastwards.
At Verbove the 21st rapidly took control of the 1st Surovikin Line and ran behind it to Novoprokopivka threatening to take in into a pocket.

At the same time Nesterianka, Verbove (the village, not the defence position), Kopane, Novoprokopivka, Novoprokovka, and Zhereb'yanke.
The latter is currently being stormed by units from my second favourite colonel, note that this is near Kakhovka.
This is to further undercut their ability to leave the Castle.

At the same time horrendous videos started to emerge from a forrest that had been liberated by the 21st.
They found Russians that had been strung up upside down alive and then gutted by their own, probably in an attempt to inspire them to run ahead in meatwaves.
All of the gutted ones are Ztorm soldiers (convicts).

More respectable Russian sources are now openly talking about the frontline collapsing due to the losses incured, and the weight of the Ukrainian assault.
In the last 24 hours Ukraine poured 45 000 shells over the Russians, and they are not about to stop now, if they let up for even a second there will be more meatwave of unstrung Russians.

Even though Ukraine won the battle, do not expect things to go fast now, it is clear that Russia is more than willing to pay any price to delay or stop the Ukrainians.
They will continue to gut Russians to create meatwaves until they run out of meat to propel forward.

As and when Novoprokopivka falls that would be the second Suroviking line.
About 10km south of Novoprokopivka is the third line.

I have heard about one instance, and seen another, where an army has gone this far during a war to force their soldiers forward.
The historical example are the Khmer Rouge (Pol Pot) as Vietnam invaded to stop the madness of Khmer Rouge.
The example I saw was in Congo were Kony had child-soldiers chopped up with machetes and built a body-part pyramid.
This is the level of insanity Russia has come to.

Obviously this speaks volumes about how unwilling the Russian soldiers are to go forward in the meatwaves.
Thankfully many of them are giving up as soon as they see a Ukrainian soldier.

Quietly and behind the scenes Ukraine have asked for help with POV-camps and manning them.
It is expected that Ukraine will take close to 200 000 prisoners of war including those that they already have.
Only the wounded POVs get a ride now, the rest have to walk.
It looks like something from WWII with surrendered Germans walking down roads in endless rows dazed and staggering.
The bizarre part is that Russia flat out refuses to take them back, even if they are wounded."
 
OK... WARNING THIS CONTAINS UPSETTING MENTAL IMAGERY.

Horrors of war.

"Progress & Collapse
For almost 3 days Ukraine managed no progress in key areas as Russia threw in wave after wave of counterattacks in a desperate attempt to stem the tide, or even try to reverse it.
To say that the fighting has been hard would be an understatement.

At Robotyne it was especially bad (for both sides).
The salient is to narrow for Ukrainian reinforcements to be effective, and Russia lacks artillery to take advantage of things and close the salient into a cul-de-sac.

With the previous forces and the 82nd taking up all the real estate the 21st could not get into action as it arrived yesterday morning.
It takes time to move a sledgehammer of that size, especially since it was alread engaging at Polohy.

Instead they got into strikes attempting to rapidly expand the width of the salient, something that Colonel Braindead should have done from day one.

With 47th and Azov storming, defending, restorming, grinding away in Urozhaine the have over 3 days finally come to the Southern Edge again, in other words, they are back where they started 3 days ago.
At the same time the 82nd Airborne has pounded their way around and closed the sack, 3 times over.
Now the town seem to be firmly in Ukrainian hands, I am somewhat sure that it will stay that way now.

It is the same thing that happened at Urozhaine.
Russia know that every village now is extremely important to hold, regardless of how insignificant it is.

Robotyne Verbove direction is where the 21st started to push and quickly made progress against the unprepared Russian units, they rapidly broadened the salient Eastwards.
At Verbove the 21st rapidly took control of the 1st Surovikin Line and ran behind it to Novoprokopivka threatening to take in into a pocket.

At the same time Nesterianka, Verbove (the village, not the defence position), Kopane, Novoprokopivka, Novoprokovka, and Zhereb'yanke.
The latter is currently being stormed by units from my second favourite colonel, note that this is near Kakhovka.
This is to further undercut their ability to leave the Castle.

At the same time horrendous videos started to emerge from a forrest that had been liberated by the 21st.
They found Russians that had been strung up upside down alive and then gutted by their own, probably in an attempt to inspire them to run ahead in meatwaves.
All of the gutted ones are Ztorm soldiers (convicts).

More respectable Russian sources are now openly talking about the frontline collapsing due to the losses incured, and the weight of the Ukrainian assault.
In the last 24 hours Ukraine poured 45 000 shells over the Russians, and they are not about to stop now, if they let up for even a second there will be more meatwave of unstrung Russians.

Even though Ukraine won the battle, do not expect things to go fast now, it is clear that Russia is more than willing to pay any price to delay or stop the Ukrainians.
They will continue to gut Russians to create meatwaves until they run out of meat to propel forward.

As and when Novoprokopivka falls that would be the second Suroviking line.
About 10km south of Novoprokopivka is the third line.

I have heard about one instance, and seen another, where an army has gone this far during a war to force their soldiers forward.
The historical example are the Khmer Rouge (Pol Pot) as Vietnam invaded to stop the madness of Khmer Rouge.
The example I saw was in Congo were Kony had child-soldiers chopped up with machetes and built a body-part pyramid.
This is the level of insanity Russia has come to.

Obviously this speaks volumes about how unwilling the Russian soldiers are to go forward in the meatwaves.
Thankfully many of them are giving up as soon as they see a Ukrainian soldier.

Quietly and behind the scenes Ukraine have asked for help with POV-camps and manning them.
It is expected that Ukraine will take close to 200 000 prisoners of war including those that they already have.
Only the wounded POVs get a ride now, the rest have to walk.
It looks like something from WWII with surrendered Germans walking down roads in endless rows dazed and staggering.
The bizarre part is that Russia flat out refuses to take them back, even if they are wounded."
Jesus. Heartbreaking stuff really.
 
Maybe a solution. Posted in response to the idea that the airfield attack could have come from a certain blue and yellow nordic nation.

"It was not us that launched the drone.
It is though interesting that the Russians are claiming so hard that it was a short range quad-copter that impacted the airbase.
I think it is psychological on their part and that they really do not know what hit them.
They had the same problem processing that Ukraine could send drones 500km to Moscow, doing the same initial "close launched drone"-dance.

I do not think that they wish to admit that Ukraine now can tap out to 650km and that they have to withdraw their aircraft even further away.

It is also noticeable that Russia has shuttered the dual use airports in Moscow, the ones that are used by both civilian/military, or civilian/government combos.
The other purely civilian are closed down half of the time as they carpet close Moscow airspace due to drone panic attacks.

Earlier today I half-joked that to Russia a drone over Moscow matters more than 100 000 lives on the frontline.
It is though closer to the truth than is probably comfortable to the Russians.

As the saying goes, in Russia only Moscow counts, and in Moscow only the Government counts, and Putin is the Government.
A drone can theoretically kill Putin, or members of the government.
Dead soldiers do not matter to them, but a drone is real threat to them.
Highly cynical, but seems to be true.

That is why they react so weirdly to all droney things.

This all gave me an idea.
We can give or sell as many weapons as we wish to Ukraine, it does only kill Russian soldiers.
If we help them build 10 000 cheap arsed longrange drones and Russia be affected more than if all Russias soldiers are killed.
At least that is partially correct.
They have no defence and no responce against them, what are they gonna do?
Breakout the nukes due to a bit of cardboard and styrofoam with a moded-motor attached?

10 000 drones is just 100 million Euro, cheap as victories go."
 
“ The United States embassy in Belarus issued a warning on Monday and urged its nationals to leave Belarus "immediately."

U.S. citizens in Belarus should depart immediately. Consider departing via the remaining border crossings with Lithuania and Latvia, or by plane. U.S. citizens are not permitted to enter Poland overland from Belarus. Do not travel to Russia or to Ukraine.

"Do not travel to Belarus due to Belarusian authorities' continued facilitation of Russia's unprovoked attack on Ukraine, the buildup of Russian military forces in Belarus, the arbitrary enforcement of local laws, the potential of civil unrest, the risk of detention, and the Embassy's limited ability to assist US citizens residing in or traveling to Belarus," the embassy stressed.

Kicking off?
 
“ The United States embassy in Belarus issued a warning on Monday and urged its nationals to leave Belarus "immediately."

U.S. citizens in Belarus should depart immediately. Consider departing via the remaining border crossings with Lithuania and Latvia, or by plane. U.S. citizens are not permitted to enter Poland overland from Belarus. Do not travel to Russia or to Ukraine.

"Do not travel to Belarus due to Belarusian authorities' continued facilitation of Russia's unprovoked attack on Ukraine, the buildup of Russian military forces in Belarus, the arbitrary enforcement of local laws, the potential of civil unrest, the risk of detention, and the Embassy's limited ability to assist US citizens residing in or traveling to Belarus," the embassy stressed.

Kicking off?
Where does it say that?
 
Tik Tokmak

"Yesterday Ukraine took out the command center of Tokmak Sector, video of it is in the link below.
This probably added to the confusion since there is currently nobody giving orders.
Som units are withdrawing, some are surrendering, some are fighting.

Tokmak is now under direct firecontrol by the main Ukrainian 82nd, 47th and 21st Brigades and they are pouring everything they have over Tokmak and the few remaining strongholds between them and Tokmak.
Advance Units are performing surveillance and fire-control for Ukrainian artillery, while at the same time performing distraction attacks on the fortifications North of the City.

The Russian POVs are almost all drunk or stoned and few units are able to resist the advancing units.
The confusion is total.
There are unprocessed POVs, fighting Russian units, fleeing Russian units in the middle of the advancing Brigades.
Behind them are the Kraken and another infantry brigade trying to mop up the remnants.

The big takeaway from my talk to my bloodthirsty favourite colonel is that they have punched a hole in the third Surovikin line and that they are pouring through to push home a rapid victory against the disorganised Russians.

Let me repeat, when Tokmak falls Ukraine has achieved their main objective for the offensive, taking the highpoint along the ridge, and cut the railroad.
From there on it is downhill and one third of the Russian army is cut off from Russia.
This is now within reach, but...
The battle for Tokmak when it starts in earnest will be incredibly hard and take weeks most likely.
That is why they are trying to arrive before they have time to get ready.

Propaganda Change
In the last few weeks Russian propaganda has started to change.
More and more they are openly talking about how hard it is in Ukraine for the Russian troops.
It is believed to be the start of preparation of the Russian public for large upcoming losses and the need to start negotiations.

Russia is now openly begging for a ceasefire, with Ukraine flat out refusing.
If you are winning you have nothing to win on a ceasefire.
Obviously Russia is hoping for a pause so that they can prepare and then restart the war later when they are better prepared.
Ukraine are 100 percent correct in saying no.
If they take the entire Southern Landbridge and Crimea, then it might be time to negotiate for Russia leaving Donbas, reparation, war crimes tribunals... the works, but not before that.

Basically, if Ukraine pushes on it is just a question of time before Russia has to give up.
Time is now on Ukraines side, from now on Ukraine will just grow stronger by 2 brigades per month, and more and more of the large contracts will start to be fulfilled."

 
I drove a girl from Krakow to Kyiv yesterday and the stories she told me were mind boggling. She is coming back for a few weeks to see her husband who she hasn't seen since she left and she saw all the tanks coming down her streets.. they blew up her apartment. She left, like most with a backpack and her dog. Leaving her new army husband behind. No tears just anger but not rage. Amazing to had the time to listen to it 1st hand and not via he news, as in the 1st few days.

Felt strange to think I was going to Kyiv but here I am, alas only till later today as I only volunteer to drive vehicles stuff and people, so back out to Krakow in a few hours.
 
I drove a girl from Krakow to Kyiv yesterday and the stories she told me were mind boggling. She is coming back for a few weeks to see her husband who she hasn't seen since she left and she saw all the tanks coming down her streets.. they blew up her apartment. She left, like most with a backpack and her dog. Leaving her new army husband behind. No tears just anger but not rage. Amazing to had the time to listen to it 1st hand and not via he news, as in the 1st few days.

Felt strange to think I was going to Kyiv but here I am, alas only till later today as I only volunteer to drive vehicles stuff and people, so back out to Krakow in a few hours.
Fair play to you. Wishing you a safe journey back to krakow
 
Some bits from today..

"Food & Fuel
Food in the occupied Oblasts of Crimea, Kherson and Zhaporizhzhia is now at critical levels, this has led to an order to all restaurants, food stores and hotels to prepare an inventory of what they have before tomorrow morning in preparation of food rationing.
This was expected.

Due to lack of fuel production capacity issues, euphemism for "holy **** someone has blown up our refineries", about half of Russias regions now lack diesel and petrol/gasoline.
This also affects civilian flights with more and more flights being cancelled due to lack of jet-fuel.

I am a bit surprised at how fast this problem is spreading.
In a couple of weeks Russia will grind to a screeching halt due to lack of transportation.
Russia is in for a spectacularly horrible winter without fuel, and without fuel there will be no transports of vital things like food...

Russians with two working braincells are moderately impressed with this for natural reasons.
Interestingly enough there is now a fullblown conspiracy theory making the rounds in Russia.
The conspiracy is that Putin has sold all the oil to China, and that is why there is no car-fuel left.

Seems like Russians do not understand that this is an impossibility, and that cars do not run on crude oil.
Nor do it seems like they understand the need for refineries.
And those who know better are even less impressed with the state of things since they understand that it will at best take more than a year to get production back up and running, and that it can only happen if Russia is allowed to import new equipment...

I here urge everyone to ponder at how many steps your coffe/tea ends up in a vehicle requiring fuel...
You see what I am getting at here.
Russia is fooked.

Old Swedish Village
We have now handed over the bridgehead to the Ukrainians, we will see if they decide to use it.
Turns out that Russia has artillery-sonderkommando's specialised in killing civilians, it is their only purpose.
Obviously this is a war crime.

I asked the major (that was captured) what reason he had for firing upon the village and the Babushkas.
His answer said everything, and I had to go take a walk to not kill him with my bare hands.
"They should have known better than to have children."

I could feel some sort of sympathy or professional respect for the others we have fished up or grabbed, but this one... Nope.
The major and the captain are now with the State Prosecutors Office being prepared for trial on war crimes charges.
Evil, you never get used to meeting it incarnate.
Those who say that evil does not exist have just been fortunate in not meeting truly evil people.

Frontline
I am avoiding it for today due to the situation being under heavy fog of war.
Not even the Ukrainians truly know what is happening right now.
All I know is that Russia is counter-attacking towards Robotyne with whatever units they can find.
 
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