Pretty much has to be Wigan or Charlton for the third spot, seeing as they play each other. If they draw it does neither of them any favours, if one wins, the other one goes down.
We win one/ lose one of cardiff or sheff wed 53 points
Luton beat hull and Blackburn - 51 points
Stoke lose both, 50 points
Birmingham lose to preston and derby 50 points
Huddersfield lose to west brom and draw with milwall 49 points
Wigan beat charlton, lose to fulham and get docked 12 points - 48 points and a positive GD
Charlton lose to Wigan and leeds 47 points
Barnsley's run in is just too hard, can't see them getting more than 46 points
Hull are just too $hyte, and will get beat by Luton and Cardiff - 45 points