How do we all think this will play out?
Assuming that the top 4 groups have been vaccinated there should start to be a fairly significant change in the number of deaths recorded. I think its something like 95% of deaths occur in the top 4 groups?. (Sorry if that is inaccurate).
At that point hospitalisations should come crashing down (ICU). The only large number left will be infection rates.
Between April and October is the area that seems to be a bit grey at the minute. Possibility of infection is high but chances of serious illness is low.
I would think that the sensible approach will be to revert back to how we were after the first lockdown. 1 meter rule, masks mandatory but everywhere is open with certain guidelines (like what the hospitality industry spend thousands on the first time).
Then come October, except in a scenario of a new variant, the numbers should become insignificant. There will be a large number of people who have refused the vaccine so infection rates will stay around for a while but its not something i would expect to stop a return to normality.
Assuming that the top 4 groups have been vaccinated there should start to be a fairly significant change in the number of deaths recorded. I think its something like 95% of deaths occur in the top 4 groups?. (Sorry if that is inaccurate).
At that point hospitalisations should come crashing down (ICU). The only large number left will be infection rates.
Between April and October is the area that seems to be a bit grey at the minute. Possibility of infection is high but chances of serious illness is low.
I would think that the sensible approach will be to revert back to how we were after the first lockdown. 1 meter rule, masks mandatory but everywhere is open with certain guidelines (like what the hospitality industry spend thousands on the first time).
Then come October, except in a scenario of a new variant, the numbers should become insignificant. There will be a large number of people who have refused the vaccine so infection rates will stay around for a while but its not something i would expect to stop a return to normality.