I think some people need to accept one thing - Boris is popular

Numbers of voters is unfortunately irrelevant in our system (especially when the other side gets more also), it's more important which voters you win, where they live and what seats you can get. It's a $hit system, but it's been that way for ages, they know the rules, and could probably have changed them long before any of this crap happened.

2010, 258 seats v 306, when Brown got blamed for a worldwide recession you mean, and people were going after Labour for a war the Tories all voted for, so loads ditched Labour thinking they were clever and went and voted Lib Dem (which backfired)
2015, 232 seats v 330, not really much of a change, but the economic recovery was happening, so not easy to beat Tories then, kind of stuck with the devil you know
2017, 262 seats, looks great on paper, but the Tories still got 317, basically gaining in the wrong places, also pretty much a 2 party vote
2019, 202 seats v 365, yes 365! when the Tories were a mess, you can do anything with 202 seats
What was next under JC,150? The trend wasn't up, that's for sure.

You're trying to convince the wrong person, I would vote labour anyway, as I realise it's the best way to get the Tories out. You need to convince those that ditched Corbyn or the Tories that think he was a moron. You can ignore 5 people leaving to go to tories (no matter how irrational they are) and pick up 5 from further left, as the 5 from the further left do not exist (I wish they did), and either way it's still a net loss. So you're either now -5 or -10.

My points gone sailing over your head Andy. You say Corbyn's unpopular within the party. The evidence says that's not the case.
 
What is more important, 1m on the left (that won't EVER vote Tory) or 2m on the right you can steal back from the Tories, for a +4m gain?

Basic maths, it's just numbers, and where you need to get the numbers from.

This is essentially the same as saying Gibbo should join in with the paedo chants and that'll mean Newcastle and Sunderland supporters suddenly want to buy a boro season ticket. :ROFLMAO: 🤦‍♂️
 
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2003/may/21/redbox.labour

Back at Labour conference, Mr Mandelson managed to offend the working class when he dismissed a union campaign to get more MPs elected from a wider range of backgrounds. "It would be a disaster if we thought we could discover some tidy quota system of blue collar, working class, northern, horny-handed, dirty-overalled people to have in our party,"

This is the gadgie who can win back red wall seats is it?

:ROFLMAO: :ROFLMAO: :ROFLMAO:
 
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The voters labour lost to brexit/ the Tories don't want Corbyn back, they showed that in 2019, move on, it's over.
The left might, but if you appease those too much then again, you don't win those on the right.

What is more important, 1m on the left (that won't EVER vote Tory) or 2m on the right you can steal back from the Tories, for a +4m gain?

Basic maths, it's just numbers, and where you need to get the numbers from.

Labour's only hope, is the election landing at a good time, which would mean a $hit brexit. europe caught up on vaccine, and the EU doing well economically. Then in addition to this they need to pull more of the middle ground and maybe also team up with others. Not ideal, but the population has shifted, labour have to shift or they can't win.
Labour will eventually win an election on a battleground which is currently unknown.

Thatcher won 1979 on ‘taming the unions’

Blair won 1997 on ‘things can only get better’

Cameron part won 2010 on ‘get the deficit down’.

Cameron won narrowly 2015 by threatening the SNP would hold the balance of power with Labour and also promising an EU referendum.

Johnson won 2019 on ‘get Brexit done’

Another battleground will emerge next election, Starmer needs to make sure he captures the mood of the marginals.
 
If you want an example of how little the truth matters just look at the comments on Facebook to the posts yesterday from Andy Preston and Anthony High his former deputy.

Many of the respondents have already made up their mind about his guilt (on High's post) and his innocence (on Preston's post) this is despite none of us knowing the full facts.

Politics has become more tribal than ever and it seems to be a case of pick a side and declare blind loyalty to it, whether that person or party is good or bad. Its like supporting a football team where all logic and common sense goes out of the window.
 
If you want an example of how little the truth matters just look at the comments on Facebook to the posts yesterday from Andy Preston and Anthony High his former deputy.

Many of the respondents have already made up their mind about his guilt (on High's post) and his innocence (on Preston's post) this is despite none of us knowing the full facts.

Politics has become more tribal than ever and it seems to be a case of pick a side and declare blind loyalty to it, whether that person or party is good or bad. Its like supporting a football team where all logic and common sense goes out of the window.
Also noticed despite it being 100% independent counsellors, many were blaming labour!
 
My points gone sailing over your head Andy. You say Corbyn's unpopular within the party. The evidence says that's not the case.
They really aren't, or I'm underestimating how little grasp you have of voters numbers.

Being popular within it a party is completely pointless if you're ignoring the people that are outside the party (when there's a hell of a lot more outside, and your actions make people want to leave).

I'm popular in the room I'm in now, 100% popular in fact, there's only one of me in here mind.
 
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This is essentially the same as saying Gibbo should join in with the paedo chants and that'll mean Newcastle and Sunderland supporters suddenly want to buy a boro season ticket. :ROFLMAO: 🤦‍♂️
It's not though, is it?

Those with the paedo chants, whilst funny, are probably not based on reality (a bit like how the left of Labour think there's 14m labour left voters up for grabs), a minority in the party that ahven't got a grasp on reality. Also if you kick out the paedo chanters, they're unlikely to go and turn up at Newcastle, shouting paedo chants at boro.

The Newcastle and Sunderland fans were 1: not Boro fans a few years back, 2: not from the boro area and 3: not new fans who hadn't yet picked a side.
 
They really aren't, or I'm underestimating how little grasp you have of voters numbers.

Being popular within it a party is completely pointless if you're ignoring the people that are outside the party (there's more outside).

I'm popular in the room I'm in now, 100% popular in fact, there's only one of me in here mind.

Andy. You claimed Corbyn was unpopular within the party. I refuted that. I gave you 3 examples that show you are wrong.

I didn't claim the number of voters you get was more important than winning seats.

I didn't claim that being popular within the party is more important than being popular outside of it.

This is why I'm saying the points gone over your head. Either back up your claim Corbyns unpopular within the party or accept you may possibly be wrong on that point. Stop trying to shift on to other arguments I haven't made.
 
a minority in the party that ahven't got a grasp on reality.

2020 Labour leadership election Starmer promises Corbyn policies + competence and gets 56% of the vote. Long Bailey promises Corbyn policies and gets 28% of the vote. 84% between them. The left isn't a minority within the party, it is the party.

Those with the paedo chants, whilst funny, are probably not based on reality
Also if you kick out the paedo chanters, they're unlikely to go and turn up at Newcastle, shouting paedo chants at boro.

Wtf are you on about? :ROFLMAO: Are you not a boro supporter or something? I feel like you have no clue of the context of what I'm describing there.
 
Labour will eventually win an election on a battleground which is currently unknown.

Thatcher won 1979 on ‘taming the unions’

Blair won 1997 on ‘things can only get better’

Cameron part won 2010 on ‘get the deficit down’.

Cameron won narrowly 2015 by threatening the SNP would hold the balance of power with Labour and also promising an EU referendum.

Johnson won 2019 on ‘get Brexit done’

Another battleground will emerge next election, Starmer needs to make sure he captures the mood of the marginals.
Definitely, the tories are sailing high on something that likely isn't even going to be a positive (Brexit), even by the Tories own forecasts, and a massive vaccine boost (which is great), but it will be short-lived as the EU are catching up.

It's all about what comes in the future and the timing of the election I suppose.

I can't see many still hailing a Brexit success in 3 years, and largely think brexiteers will be a lot less vocal and tory/ Boris positive, especially when Austerity hits, and they will no longer be championing a vaccine which probably by then is mostly forgotten about (the deaths won't be though).

There's plenty of pitfalls along the way for the Tories and Boris, I don't even think Labour have to do that much really, just not be seen to be against the tories for no reason (in the eyes of Tory voters). Effectively they've got all the tools for a long fall, it's just whether the public will be awake enough to notice it.

I actually hope they don't fail, as it will be better for the economy, but I don't think it's likely, not at all.
 
Andy. You claimed Corbyn was unpopular within the party. I refuted that. I gave you 3 examples that show you are wrong.

I didn't claim the number of voters you get was more important than winning seats.

I didn't claim that being popular within the party is more important than being popular outside of it.

This is why I'm saying the points gone over your head. Either back up your claim Corbyns unpopular within the party or accept you may possibly be wrong on that point. Stop trying to shift on to other arguments I haven't made.
No, I wrote "and that was against Corbyn, who himself wasn't exactly popular with Labour voters," which included the labour voters which had voted labour and then left (effectively labours typical catchment area, or people who voted labour before JC came in). Loads left after 2017 for example (when JC was there), so he lost popularity with labour voters as they legged it before the 2019 vote.

Gaining popularity in your party each election is pointless, if after each election more leave and go bat for the other team, which I've mentioned a few times.

I couldn't care less how popular he is in the party, or how many of the members like him, or if membership increases. All that matters is winning seats and getting more seats than the other clowns.
 
2020 Labour leadership election Starmer promises Corbyn policies + competence and gets 56% of the vote. Long Bailey promises Corbyn policies and gets 28% of the vote. 84% between them. The left isn't a minority within the party, it is the party.


Wtf are you on about? :ROFLMAO: Are you not a boro supporter or something? I feel like you have no clue of the context of what I'm describing there.
People see Corbyn as more left, than Starmer, and see Corbyn as weak and incompetent. Starmer's only had a year and it's been a weird one, not exactly time to be going radical on policies, and nobody would have been listening anyway (as there's bigger things in the news).

No idea, you started the paedo talk, so I was assuming it was something AJ related (who last played for the macams), not really a relevant subject anyway, so lets leave that.
 
No idea, you started the paedo talk, so I was assuming it was something AJ related (who last played for the macams), not really a relevant subject anyway, so lets leave that.

I'm just gonna leave the whole thing with you Andy. Don't really trust you're a genuine boro fan now. Best wishes whoever you are. (y)
 
I'm just gonna leave the whole thing with you Andy. Don't really trust you're a genuine boro fan now. Best wishes whoever you are. (y)
:ROFLMAO: What, because I never understood your fascination with paedos? I'd rather leave that to you, thanks.

Same to you, UTB (y)
 
They can be spun, but it should only convince the gullible, the problem is there is a lot of them.

If people were honest, had a better grasp on numbers, saw the bigger picture, saw reality etc, then they would see straight through that list, 50% won't though, basically because they don't want to.
Is not because they don't want to its because it doesn't interest them until it directly impacts them.
 
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