Sky were saying that we need two more points but I don't think so. Someone can correct me if I'm wrong but my reasoning as follows:
It would take 3 teams to overtake us for us to finish 7th. There are only 3 teams that can overhaul us now. They are Blackburn and WBA who have 4 games left and Milwall. However Milwall can only equal our current points total and so they would need a 23 goal swing as well which seems unlikely. The main factor though is that Millwall play Blackburn on the last day of the season and so it is impossible for both of them to overhaul us ergo the lowest we can finish is 6th.
It would take 3 teams to overtake us for us to finish 7th. There are only 3 teams that can overhaul us now. They are Blackburn and WBA who have 4 games left and Milwall. However Milwall can only equal our current points total and so they would need a 23 goal swing as well which seems unlikely. The main factor though is that Millwall play Blackburn on the last day of the season and so it is impossible for both of them to overhaul us ergo the lowest we can finish is 6th.