Midnight to Six Man
Well-known member
Back in 1974 the British judges gave Waterloo by ABBA , nil points.
A lot of work being done by the word roughly in both those examples though. The difference between a million and a billion may be 'roughly' a billion, but it isn't a billion exactly. A very big number is roughly the same as the very big number minus a very small number is obvious but in the example is only surprising if you don't appreciate the difference in size between a million and a billion beforehand.Yeah I generally disagree with the principle. Think back to the post a million is roughly a billion away from a billion. It's the difference in scale.
No need for offence to be taken by either of us, interesting conversation.
Heard this one before.The Monty Hall problem is beautiful:
Here’s the game: Do you stick with door A (original guess) or switch to the unopened door? Does it matter?
- There are 3 doors, behind which are two goats and a car.
- You pick a door (call it door A). You’re hoping for the car of course.
- Monty Hall, the game show host, examines the other doors (B & C) and opens one with a goat. (If both doors have goats, he picks randomly.)
Surprisingly, the odds aren’t 50-50. If you switch doors you’ll win 2/3 of the time!
Rabbits can't vomit
Polish the tableThat is corrrect, there may be others
The IPA (International Phonetic Alphabet) is a universally-accepted method of showing exactly how words are pronounced in every language in the world.Still not buying this, and as I said earlier, my fact so I am judge Judy and executioner on this one. I pronounce em the same.
You may pronounce them August and augoost, but then you would just be a posh b****d.
think you had a woosh moment. My posts around August were not meant to be taken seriously that's why I put the judge Judy comment in.The IPA (International Phonetic Alphabet) is a universally-accepted method of showing exactly how words are pronounced in every language in the world.
The IPA spelling of the two uses of the word show that the first vowel sound in both, is exactly the same.
I have no idea what the spelling "augoost" is supposed to represent but it doesn't look anything like how I pronounce the word (nor how it's supposed to be pronounced).
The main difference between the two uses of the word is actually the stress rather than the vowel sounds (as again, the IPA clearly shows). Regular English spellings of words do not show where the stress is but the IPA does.
When the word is used for the month of the year, the stress is on the first syllable, for the other meaning it's on the second syllable.
Because the artificial act of opening the door to an already known empty room effectively transfers all of the probability to the second unpicked door. If the order of events was slightly different it would be clearer, but effectively the choice the contestant gets is "stick with your current door or pick both of the other two".I was aware of this and have even simulated it to prove. However I still don't underrstand why. Your common sense tells you it should still remain a 1 in 3 chance.
I do understand that you have a bit more information than you had at the begining, and thats what reduces the odds, but, the host could always open one of the two remaining doors. So do you really have more information. You knew when you selected, in your example door A that either B or C would contain a goat, so do you have more information. You now know that, lets say door C has a goat. Previously you knew that B or C had a goat 100%, but not which one.
Thats why I ran the simulation and it is the case that if you swap choices, you win 2/3rds of the time. If you don't you win 1/3rd of the time.