Birmingham or Charlton?

What permutation of results gets to that?
If Charlton lose, they stay on 46 points, 4 behind us.

Charlton play Wigan next, who are 5 points behind us. A draw or Charlton win means Wigan can't catch us, a Wigan win means Charlton can't catch us.

Hull play Luton, both on 45 points, whatever the outcome, at least one of them can't catch us.

Barnsley would already be to far too away to catch us.

2 of the other 4 could catch us, but it would then mean the other 2 couldn't, so we'd be safe.
This assumes Wigan's point deduction stands.
 
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Can’t see the three teams in the regelation places now get a enough points to overtake us now. If Charlton lose imo that will be another team who can’t overtake us so Birmingham
 
Birmingham look to be in free fall at the moment.

A lot of off the field problems too.

They're probably luck they're on 49 points, otherwise I'd fancy them for the drop with their current form.
 
1) If Wigan get docked 12 points to 45 they can only get to 51 but one of those games is v Charlton so if Charlton lose tonight (46 points), Charlton get only get to 52 points but with playing Wigan, one of those two cannot reach our 50.

2) If Barnsley (43 points) lose to Leeds they can only get to 49 points.

3) Luton and Hull (both 45 points) can only get to 51 but as they play each other one of those two cannot reach our 50 points! (y)
 
Birmingham look to be in free fall at the moment.

A lot of off the field problems too.

They're probably luck they're on 49 points, otherwise I'd fancy them for the drop with their current form.

I've got a mate who's a Luton fan. I said to him this morning that Luton need to catch Birmingham. (Birmingham have lost four on the bounce, and drew twice before that. No wins since restart).
 
Luton & Hull draw in their fixture and job is done without us having to kick a ball. Our next two games are tough but I think we'll get something out of one of them, a point will do. (y)
 
Interesting to see the odds on the betfair exchange.

Roughly, they're
Barnsley 1/10
Hull 1/3
Luton 4/5
Wigan 6/4
Charlton 2/1

Birmingham - no odds available.
 
Mathematically there are still all sorts of permutations that mean we could still go down

However that would require 4 or 5 teams doing what they haven't done all season - winning several games on the bounce and against tough opposition who themselves have things to play for.

Its likely one or maybe even 2 teams will do that. But 4-5 teams all doing that? I just done see it happening. The confluence of results required for us to go down just looks far too remote - especially given some of the teams play each other.

In short, I think we are safe on 50 points
 
1) If Wigan get docked 12 points to 45 they can only get to 51 but one of those games is v Charlton so if Charlton lose tonight (46 points), Charlton get only get to 52 points but with playing Wigan, one of those two cannot reach our 50.

2) If Barnsley (43 points) lose to Leeds they can only get to 49 points.

3) Luton and Hull (both 45 points) can only get to 51 but as they play each other one of those two cannot reach our 50 points! (y)
It is mind blowing isn't it, so many permatations, but we' re safe
 
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