Are the Government massaging the death rate.

Billy Horner

Well-known member
42,054 positive tests in Teesside and 7 new cases in North Yorkshire in South Tees hospital district.

164 new positive tests in North / South Tees hospital districts.

Latest rates per 100,000 population:

LA
Rate as at 13/02/21​
As at 7 days earlier​
% change​
Darlington
194.8​
191.0​
+2.0%​
Hambleton
131.0​
124.5​
+5.2%​
Hartlepool
160.1​
208.2​
-23.1%​
Middlesbrough
307.8​
371.0​
-17.0%​
R&C
199.1​
229.6​
-13.3%​
Stockton
198.6​
266.6​
-25.5%​
 

bear66

Well-known member
42,220 positive tests in Teesside and 11 new cases in North Yorkshire in South Tees hospital district.

177 new positive tests in North / South Tees hospital districts.
 

Billy Horner

Well-known member
Four further deaths announced by South Tees NHS Trust, taking total to 581.

No further deaths announced by North Tees and Hartlepool NHS Trust, total remaining at 510.

South Tees NHS Trust are 9th highest (same as yesterday) in terms of number of deaths in the North East & Yorkshire region (out of 30 NHS Trusts) and the 57th highest (same as yesterday) in the country (out of 226 NHS Trusts in England).

North Tees and Hartlepool NHS Trust are 14th (same as yesterday) in terms of number of deaths in the North East & Yorkshire region and the 71st (from 70th yesterday) in the country.
 

Billy Horner

Well-known member
42,220 positive tests in Teesside and 11 new cases in North Yorkshire in South Tees hospital district.

177 new positive tests in North / South Tees hospital districts.

Latest rates per 100,000 population:

LA
Rate as at 14/02/21​
As at 7 days earlier​
% change​
Darlington
192.9​
203.2​
-5.1%​
Hambleton
109.1​
137.6​
-20.7%​
Hartlepool
152.7​
207.1​
-26.3%​
Middlesbrough
289.4​
382.3​
-24.3%​
R&C
198.3​
215.9​
-8.2%​
Stockton
197.1​
250.9​
-21.4%​

Numbers appear to have fallen off a cliff in Hambleton.
 

Randy

Well-known member
Latest rates per 100,000 population:

LA
Rate as at 14/02/21​
As at 7 days earlier​
% change​
Darlington
192.9​
203.2​
-5.1%​
Hambleton
109.1​
137.6​
-20.7%​
Hartlepool
152.7​
207.1​
-26.3%​
Middlesbrough
289.4​
382.3​
-24.3%​
R&C
198.3​
215.9​
-8.2%​
Stockton
197.1​
250.9​
-21.4%​

Numbers appear to have fallen off a cliff in Hambleton.
What does that indicate as haven't they crept up a little the last couple of days compared to the week before?
 

Billy Horner

Well-known member
What does that indicate as haven't they crept up a little the last couple of days compared to the week before?

Could be a testing issue (fewer tests for some reason), a reporting issue (delayed results) or a genuine fall in cases. Whatever the reason, the 7-day rate fell by 16.7% over the course of 24 hours, which is an enormous change in a day.

The number of positive cases for 13th Feb currently stands at 6 and for the 14th it's currently 3 (those numbers might change slightly but probably not dramatically). The average for the preceding seven days was 19 per day.
 

bear66

Well-known member
Could be a testing issue (fewer tests for some reason), a reporting issue (delayed results) or a genuine fall in cases. Whatever the reason, the 7-day rate fell by 16.7% over the course of 24 hours, which is an enormous change in a day.

The number of positive cases for 13th Feb currently stands at 6 and for the 14th it's currently 3 (those numbers might change slightly but probably not dramatically). The average for the preceding seven days was 19 per day.
Even if the next datapoint was zero, this doesn't sound right.
 

Billy Horner

Well-known member
Even if the next datapoint was zero, this doesn't sound right.

No. I agree.

The provisional numbers for the next two days (which are likely to change a bit) are 8 and 11, which is at least closer to the recent trend. Even so, that would still bring a further 20% fall in the 7-day rate.

Like I say, those provisional numbers will probably increase a bit over the next couple of days, so we'll see.
 

bear66

Well-known member
42,391 positive tests in Teesside and 11 new cases in North Yorkshire in South Tees hospital district.

182 new positive tests in North / South Tees hospital districts.
 

Billy Horner

Well-known member
Two further deaths announced by South Tees NHS Trust, taking total to 583.

One further death announced by North Tees and Hartlepool NHS Trust, taking total to 511.

South Tees NHS Trust are 9th highest (same as yesterday) in terms of number of deaths in the North East & Yorkshire region (out of 30 NHS Trusts) and the 57th highest (same as yesterday) in the country (out of 226 NHS Trusts in England).

North Tees and Hartlepool NHS Trust are 14th (same as yesterday) in terms of number of deaths in the North East & Yorkshire region and the 71st (same as yesterday) in the country.
 

Billy Horner

Well-known member
42,391 positive tests in Teesside and 11 new cases in North Yorkshire in South Tees hospital district.

182 new positive tests in North / South Tees hospital districts.

Latest rates per 100,000 population:

LA
Rate as at 15/02/21​
As at 7 days earlier​
% change​
Darlington
181.7​
210.6​
-13.7%​
Hambleton
83.0​
155.0​
-46.5%​
Hartlepool
170.8​
181.5​
-5.9%​
Middlesbrough
295.8​
358.9​
-17.6%​
R&C
199.7​
199.8​
-0.1%​
Stockton
191.0​
238.7​
-20.0%​
 

bear66

Well-known member
42,542 positive tests in Teesside and 7 new cases in North Yorkshire in South Tees hospital district.

158 new positive tests in North / South Tees hospital districts.
 

Billy Horner

Well-known member
No further deaths announced by South Tees NHS Trust, total remaining at 583.

No further deaths announced by North Tees and Hartlepool NHS Trust, total remaining at 511.

South Tees NHS Trust are 9th highest (same as yesterday) in terms of number of deaths in the North East & Yorkshire region (out of 30 NHS Trusts) and the 57th highest (same as yesterday) in the country (out of 226 NHS Trusts in England).

North Tees and Hartlepool NHS Trust are 14th (same as yesterday) in terms of number of deaths in the North East & Yorkshire region and the 71st (same as yesterday) in the country.
 

Billy Horner

Well-known member
42,542 positive tests in Teesside and 7 new cases in North Yorkshire in South Tees hospital district.

158 new positive tests in North / South Tees hospital districts.

Latest rates per 100,000 population:

LA
Rate as at 16/02/21​
As at 7 days earlier​
% change​
Darlington
178.9​
205.0​
-12.7%​
Hambleton
84.1​
158.3​
-46.9%​
Hartlepool
183.7​
182.5​
+0.7%​
Middlesbrough
317.0​
333.4​
-4.9%​
R&C
198.4​
188.8​
+5.1%​
Stockton
202.7​
225.0​
-9.9%​
 

Randy

Well-known member
No. I agree.

The provisional numbers for the next two days (which are likely to change a bit) are 8 and 11, which is at least closer to the recent trend. Even so, that would still bring a further 20% fall in the 7-day rate.

Like I say, those provisional numbers will probably increase a bit over the next couple of days, so we'll see.
Are we seeing a reverse or has it genuinely fallen off a cliff?
 

bear66

Well-known member
42,615 positive tests in Teesside and 9 new cases in North Yorkshire in South Tees hospital district.

82 new positive tests in North / South Tees hospital districts.
 

Billy Horner

Well-known member
No further deaths announced by South Tees NHS Trust, total remaining at 583.

One further death announced by North Tees and Hartlepool NHS Trust, taking total to 512.

South Tees NHS Trust are 9th highest (same as yesterday) in terms of number of deaths in the North East & Yorkshire region (out of 30 NHS Trusts) and the 57th highest (same as yesterday) in the country (out of 226 NHS Trusts in England).

North Tees and Hartlepool NHS Trust are 14th (same as yesterday) in terms of number of deaths in the North East & Yorkshire region and the 71st (same as yesterday) in the country.
 

Billy Horner

Well-known member
42,615 positive tests in Teesside and 9 new cases in North Yorkshire in South Tees hospital district.

82 new positive tests in North / South Tees hospital districts.

Latest rates per 100,000 population:

LA
Rate as at 17/02/21​
As at 7 days earlier​
% change​
Darlington
180.7​
198.5​
-9.0%​
Hambleton
87.4​
145.2​
-39.8%​
Hartlepool
176.1​
180.5​
-2.4%​
Middlesbrough
296.5​
324.5​
-8.5%​
R&C
183.0​
186.6​
-1.9%​
Stockton
201.2​
210.3​
-4.3%​
 

bear66

Well-known member
42,773 positive tests in Teesside and 11 new cases in North Yorkshire in South Tees hospital district.

169 new positive tests in North / South Tees hospital districts.
 
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