Yeah, 2001 was a long time ago
Awful lot has happened in China since then. 2023 China would commit economic suicide by invading Taiwan. They are trying to gain favour with the West, so by doing this .....
I see it like Argentina and the Falklands - sure they want it, yes they feel it is theirs, yes it's tantalisingly close, but the repercussions of actually invading? Not worth it.
Honestly see the Middle East as the flashpoint, and it's who Hamas can drag into their fight with Israel. Do Iran think they are hard enough for a straightener with the West (especially the USA who are itching to have a pop at them).
Unfortunately I think it's a case of "we will see".
Escalation will means many thousands more innocent civilians will die......what a fooking huge bag of bollox. In the name of what? FFS.