Will Hull City make the play offs?

Will Hull City make the playoffs?

  • Yes

    Votes: 4 5.3%

  • No

    Votes: 71 94.7%
  • Total voters
    75
B_G said:
The last 15 play-off winners

2023 - Luton - 3rd - 80 Points
2022 - Nottingham Forest - 4th - 80 Points
2021 - Brentford - 3rd - 87 Points
2020 - Fulham - 4th - 81 Points
2019 - Aston Villa - 5th - 76 Points
2018 - Fulham - 3rd - 81 Points
2017 - Huddersfield - 5th - 81 Points
2016 - Hull - 4th - 83 Points
2015 - Norwich - 3rd - 86 Points
2014 - QPR - 4th - 80 Points
2013 - Crystal Palace - 5th - 72 Points
2012 - West Ham - 3rd - 86 Points
2011 - Swansea - 3rd - 80 Points
2010 - Blackpool - 6th - 70 Points
2009 - Burnley - 5th - 76 Points

3rd Place - 6
4th Place - 4
5th Place - 4
6th Place - 1

Average Points Total - 79.9 (11 play-off winner out of the last 15 achieved a minimum of 80 points). That is the minimum standard we should be aiming for to give us a realistic chance of promotion. A team scraping into 6th hasn't gained promotion for 14 years. 9 out of the last 10 play-off winners achieved 80+ points during the season and 8 out of 10 of them finished in the top 4.
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At last, some sensible analysis. It won't stop somebody posting next year that "there's always a team that comes from nowhere to win the playoffs".

No, there isn't. It's most likely the teams in 3rd and 4th that will be promoted.
 
Soutra said:
At last, some sensible analysis. It won't stop somebody posting next year that "there's always a team that comes from nowhere to win the playoffs".

No, there isn't. It's most likely the teams in 3rd and 4th that will be promoted.
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Ah but you are forgetting that the less frequently it happens the more likely it is to happen next time! 😉
 
For Hull to finish top 6 they need to win @ Plymouth and WBA to lose at home to Preston - its about 8% chance to me. Goal difference is going against them with the other options.

There are no bets available on Betfair for Norwich not to make the top 6 so its at least 99% certain they are there already.
 
Brian Marwood said:
To do so, one of three things needs to happen:

Norwich lose and Hull City win but overturn a goal difference deficit of 7
West Brom Draw and Hull City win but overturn a goal difference deficit of 11
West Brom lose and Hull City win, goal difference is irrelevant
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More chance of Lord Lucan turning up and riding Shergar to victory in next years Derby 🤣
 
Brian Marwood said:
To do so, one of three things needs to happen:

Norwich lose and Hull City win but overturn a goal difference deficit of 7
West Brom Draw and Hull City win but overturn a goal difference deficit of 11
West Brom lose and Hull City win, goal difference is irrelevant
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I think they've - just - left it too late, excellent game v Ipswich..

Though WBA have hit the skids of late & are the, lingering, chance they have IMHO I think WBA will scrape the draw they need & I can't see a goal swing to draw Norwich into it..
 
I could see a Hull win and a West Brom loss. West Brom have lost their last 3, Hull unbeaten in 6.
 
Jonathan said:
I could see a Hull win and a West Brom loss. West Brom have lost their last 3, Hull unbeaten in 6.
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Thats true - West Brom are 20th from the last 6 matches. Clearly something is wrong. However conversely Preston are 23rd in the last 6 matches and lost their last 4.
 
I don’t think they’ll do it, but at the start of the season I told my father in law, who is a big Norwich fan, that I fancied Hull to have a good season and to finish in the play offs. He thought I was bonkers, so I’d love it if Hull swap with Norwich.
 
Rotherham 0 Middlesbrough 2. Preseason friendly. Goals: Silvera, Gilbert.

Rotherham 1 Middlesbrough 0. Championship. Goals: Bramall.

Middlesbrough 1 Rotherham 1. Championship. Goals: Forss, Cafu.
 
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