THE TRANSFER WINDOW WILL WIN THIS LEAGUE - 88 POINT PREDICTION -2022/23

Chicken runners graph must have us just above 2017/18 season (Monk and Pulis league smashers who finished 5th) on par with last season (our previous manager) still below 2018/19 season (safe hands Tony Pulis had us finish outside of the playoffs in 7th) .. but we are in a steady Karanka-esqe curve that led us to 4th place and a play off final against Norwich. Take our the naughty steps and we might just make it! There’s a long way to go and plenty of ups and downs as with our best season of late, cram in a canny transfer window and cross those fingers and toes!
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@chickenrunner are we above the blue line yet?

2014/15 - Orange Line - Aitor Karanka - 2nd
2017/18 - Grey Line - Garry Monk - 5th
2018/19 - Yellow line - Tony Pulis - 7th
2021/22 - Blue line - Chris Wilder - 7th
 
But this is based on wilder so it’s a moot
point.

No one foresaw this.

And it has nothing to do with any transfers either.
 
If you assume that Carricks first game was match day one, you see us at match day 14 on 34 points, 9 points ahead of Karanka's promoted team and 8 ahead of Pulis's 7th place season!
 
newyddion said:
Four wins in a row on 42 points with 19 games to go, sticking with my pre-season prediction with the adjusted tally from 88 down to 77 how do I have us getting on for our last 20 of the season? Straight out the traps with an incorrect prediction!

Millwall (h) - DRAW
Sunderland (a) - WIN
Watford (h) - LOSS
Blackpool (h) - WIN
Cardiff City (a) - DRAW
Sheffield United (a) - LOSS
QPR (h) - WIN
West Brom (a) - DRAW
Reading (h) - WIN
Swansea City (a) - WIN
Stoke City (h) - DRAW
Preston North End (h) - WIN
Huddersfield Town (a) - WIN
Burnley (h) - LOSS
Bristol City (a) - WIN
Norwich City (h) - LOSS
Hull City (h) - WIN
Luton Town (a) - DRAW
Rotherham United (a) - WIN
Coventry City (h) - WIN

77 points would be an incredible achievement, and full on crazy talk would have me booking a hotel for the playoff final!


Sequence - four wins leaves us only five away from equaling our record
Longest sequence of League wins – 9
in the Second Division, 1973–74

Wins - with nineteen games left we only need to win sixteen to equal our record
Most League wins in a season – 28
in the Third Division, 1986-87
16 wins out of the next 19?

Points - well.. if we’re breaking records might as well win all our remaining games
Most points earned in a season (3 for a win) – 94
in 46 matches, Third Division, 1986-1987
99 points if we win all of our remain games
Click to expand...
two records still available..

WBA(a)
Reading (h)
Swansea (a)
Stoke (h)
------------------------------ longest sequence of wins
Preston (h)
Huddersfield (a)
Burnley (h)
Bristol (a)
Norwich (h)
Hull (h)
Luton (a)
Rotherham (a)
Coventry (h)
----------------------------------96 points in a season

57 points, 13 games left..
20 points leaves us on 77.. 1.5ppg
30 leaves us on 87 points.. 2.3ppg
 
Millwall (h) - DRAW/WIN

Sunderland (a) - WIN/LOSS

Watford (h) - LOSS/WIN

Blackpool (h) - WIN/WIN

Cardiff City (a) - DRAW/WIN

Sheffield United (a) - LOSS/WIN

QPR (h) - WIN/WIN

West Brom (a) - DRAW/LOSS

Reading (h) - WIN/WIN - 60 points



Swansea City (a) - WIN

Stoke City (h) - DRAW

Preston North End (h) - WIN

Huddersfield Town (a) - WIN

——————————————— 70 points

Burnley (h) - LOSS

Bristol City (a) - WIN

Norwich City (h) - LOSS

Hull City (h) - WIN

——————————————— 76 points

Luton Town (a) - DRAW

Rotherham United (a) - WIN

Coventry City (h) - WIN

——————————————— 83 points



86/87 points to make it.. 88 and it’s in the bag, 3,4,5 points.. Burnley and Norwich are massive aren’t they! If we are going to do the impossible.. that’s where we’ll see
 
Looking at Sheffield’s final run..

——————————————— 67 points
Luton (h) WIN
Sunderland (a) LOSE
Norwich (a) LOSE
Wigan (h) WIN
——————————————— 73 points
Burnley (a) LOSE
Cardiff (h) WIN
Bristol (h) WIN
Huddersfield (a) DRAW
——————————————— 80 points
West Brom (h) WIN
Preston (h) WIN
Birmingham (a) DRAW
——————————————— 87 points

It’s a big ask, we probably need two losses in the next four game from them getting into the business end of the season.

Blackburn before the Norwich game is handy, and you’d say a FA Cup semi final instead of the Huddersfield game would be nice.. but then if they beat Blackburn.. then you would have expected them to do well against Luton and Sunderland.. by the time the re arranged Huddersfield game comes round they might be home free. Three losses and two draws.. or four losses (86 points)


Luton (h) WIN
Sunderland (a) WIN
Quarter
Norwich (a) LOSE
Wigan (h) WIN
——————————————— 76 points
Burnley (a) LOSE
Cardiff (h) WIN
Bristol (h) WIN
Semi
——————————————— 82 points
West Brom (h)
Preston (h)
Huddersfield (a)
Birmingham (a)

I can’t see two draws and a loss in those final four games and certainly not 3 loses.
We need to see two loses from the next four games. I don’t think we can make up a seven point gap over the last games..
 
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newyddion said:
Millwall (h) - DRAW/WIN

Sunderland (a) - WIN/LOSS

Watford (h) - LOSS/WIN

Blackpool (h) - WIN/WIN

Cardiff City (a) - DRAW/WIN

Sheffield United (a) - LOSS/WIN

QPR (h) - WIN/WIN

West Brom (a) - DRAW/LOSS

Reading (h) - WIN/WIN - 60 points



Swansea City (a) - WIN

Stoke City (h) - DRAW

Preston North End (h) - WIN

Huddersfield Town (a) - WIN

——————————————— 70 points

Burnley (h) - LOSS

Bristol City (a) - WIN

Norwich City (h) - LOSS

Hull City (h) - WIN

——————————————— 76 points

Luton Town (a) - DRAW

Rotherham United (a) - WIN

Coventry City (h) - WIN

——————————————— 83 points



86/87 points to make it.. 88 and it’s in the bag, 3,4,5 points.. Burnley and Norwich are massive aren’t they! If we are going to do the impossible.. that’s where we’ll see
Click to expand...

68 points after Bristol..

Norwich City (h) - LOSS

Hull City (h) - WIN

Luton Town (a) - LOSS

Rotherham United (a) - WIN

Coventry City (h) - WIN

77 points is more sensible.
 
This thread implies that it was the transfer window that changed it.

That’s rubbish as without carrick none of this happens.
 
Jedi boro said:
This thread implies that it was the transfer window that changed it.

That’s rubbish as without carrick none of this happens.
Click to expand...
Pre season prediction which predicts the January transfer window would decide our fate..

Archer, Ramsey & Barlaser will probably be the difference.
 
Jedi boro said:
But that’s my point it didn’t

Getting shot of wilder did that
Click to expand...
Well it helped. No one can say Archer and Ramsey weren't cracking signings and they've certainly done their bit towards our current total. Barlaser a lot less so, but he hasn't had much of a crack of the whip really.

But no. they were far from the main reason this season has been so hatstand. Wilder being binned and turning up at the club with a revolving door on the manger's office instead and Super Michael Carrick's appointment obviously is. With the most notable mentions afterwards going to a certain Mr Akpom & Giles.
Neither of whom were signed in the January window.
 
Ipad1977 said:
Well it helped. No one can say Archer and Ramsey weren't cracking signings and they've certainly done their bit towards our current total. Barlaser a lot less so, but he hasn't had much of a crack of the whip really.

But no. they were far from the main reason this season has been so hatstand. Wilder being binned and turning up at the club with a revolving door on the manger's office instead and Super Michael Carrick's appointment obviously is. With the most notable mentions afterwards going to a certain Mr Akpom & Giles.
Neither of whom were signed in the January window.
Click to expand...
Jedi didn’t read the thread.. it was a pre season prediction.
 
Ipad1977 said:
Surely he has and is just calling the prediction out? Not that anyone could have accurately predicted this season mind you.
Click to expand...
I love archer and Ramsey but I’d argue we’d still had those results without them as they are good but we were doing well without them.

My point is that I’d say carrick has done all this largely without any real big transfers.
 
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