The scale of Governement debt is increasing much faster than inflation. My guess is the UK Government will just create more new money, rather than increase taxes by much.
The 3% NHS offer will be what inflation will be soon. Its probably all we really can afford. I appreciate some of the frontline staff have worked very hard and under extra risk during Covid.
There was an interesting debate on Newsnight a couple of nights ago about how we should fund social care. In England and Wales at present quite a bit is self funded say by selling an old persons property and taking all their savings bar £23,250. The quality of social care for the elderly is deemed by experts to be quite low with a lot of front line staff on living wage, home visits quite short etc. Proposals are to make everyone pay National Insurance on their income till they stop working and/or increase national insurance by 1% for everyone. For the last 30 years no Governement has really done anything even though they all promised to do so.