How gullible is the "average" person?

Boris Johnson was proven to be a liar many times before the general election.

He was proven to have lied to parliament.

People still believed him. I think you're vastly overestimating the intelligence of your average daily mail reading tory voter.

Even then it was only the figure on the bus that was proven to be incorrect.

The more important implied lie (that was the whole point of what was on the bus) was we were sending money to bloody foreigners for no reason that we could (and would) otherwise be spending on ourselves.

Many brexit voters won't only have believed that, I suspect they'll have been frothing at the mouth and bursting blood vessels about it.
I'm not defending Johnson. I'm saying people that think the bus is the reason anyone voted brexit are being gullible.

Can you honestly stand there and say this 14 year Tory austerity has reduced the national debt which is what they claimed they were going to do?
No. as I said, I am not a Tory. Never was, never will be. I'm not going to pretend that there is only one way to run a country though and I accept that other people have different ways of measuring that than I do.

In which case, why did people repeatedly spout it at the time, clearly some people did think, don't pay 350m a week into the EU = £350m more into the NHS.

If that isn't the case, then clearly the brexit campaign and it's media backers were approaching the biggest economic decision the people in this country has ever faced with utter dishonesty.....which is true.
People spouted it because we did pay a fee to be members of the EU and if we didn't pay a fee we could spend that money on something else. That bit wasn't a lie. The lie on the bus was that £350m was a gross figure and not a net figure.

There was dishonesty everywhere. That's politics, unfortunately. As long as you can get away with not outright lying but bending the truth or omitting something then they will do it. It is scummy and it is why nobody really trusts politicians. However, on the opposite side of the debate we had Cameron and Osborne championing remain who if I am not mistaken are the people to blame for the austerity you mentioned on the previous post and who I wouldn't trust if they told me that the grass was green. The remain lot had plenty of media and business backers as well. All those businesses that benefited from the low wages that unlimited immigration brings for example. There are very few people with the power to influence that do it selflessly so it is hard to trust anyone. I don't think anyone that believes something a politician, business leader, expert etc says is true is necessarily gullible and there are plenty of people that think they are fully switched on that are still easily manipulated including you and me.
 
No. as I said, I am not a Tory. Never was, never will be. I'm not going to pretend that there is only one way to run a country though and I accept that other people have different ways of measuring that than I do.
Nobody is saying otherwise. We are looking at costs and benefits and effects of the last 14 years and how people gullibly bought into something that is proven to have not materialised. You started to discuss economic conservatism as being something only the tories can deliver......but that isn't what they delivered at all, provably so. It's gullible to presume the last 14 years was about economic conservatism, the tory party is not conservative anymore, not economically it's closer to theft via libertarianism .

People spouted it because we did pay a fee to be members of the EU and if we didn't pay a fee we could spend that money on something else. That bit wasn't a lie.
Yes it was, because that payment was buying something with net gains. It didn't create a surplus of £350m which is what the message intended to show, it created a net loss to our economy and the exchequer. so it was a lie.

There was dishonesty everywhere.
That's a weak argument, the impact on the economy was modelled as best-medium-worst case. The right wing media just scoffed at it and then said it was a lie if it didn't meet teh worst case predictions.

However, on the opposite side of the debate we had Cameron and Osborne championing remain who if I am not mistaken are the people to blame for the austerity you mentioned on the previous post and who I wouldn't trust if they told me that the grass was green.
even a broken clock is right twice a day. I'll play the subject matter, not the people on any individual subject. Yes Cameron is an ass, but he wasn't wrong saying remain was a good strategic direction.

The remain lot had plenty of media and business backers as well.
Selling something as negative is easier, selling change is easier. It always has been. It was pure demonisation and fanaticism. It's easy to fantasise about the benefits of something not been done before, the remain campaign was keep the status quo, we know the benefit it brings, but that isn't sexy.
 
I'm not defending Johnson. I'm saying people that think the bus is the reason anyone voted brexit are being gullible.
I didn't say you were defending Johnson. In fact not sure how you've reached that conclusion.

The point is things can be proven to be lies and people will still believe them regardless.

The accuracy of the figure on the bus was never the point. You'd have to be pretty gullible to think it was.
 
Assuming that all 48% of remainers were as adamant that remain was the right choice as yourself is wrong. As was assuming all 52% of brexiteers were gullible racists.

I don't think anyone has suggested all Brexiteers were gullible racists.

Some were racist, but not gullible
Others were gullible but not racist.
Others were neither. Some businesses did ok out of Brexit; their owners may just have voted on self interest.

As for the bus, the leave campaign must have believed it would make a difference or they wouldn't have handed the world a stick to beat them with.

I don't think it was putting it on a bus which made a difference; it was circulating that message in a variety of media during their campaign.
 
I have seen a number of financial scandals since 1988 where the general public and a number of financial professionals have fallen for mis selling.

Endowment mortgages - in the late 1980s - 93% mortgages were endowment in 1988 I researched them and decided they were expensive and quite high risk, but people bought them in their millions. ow no one buys one - people were gullible in the past to trust what they were told.

In the 1990 and 2000s - PPI - it was obvious to me it was expensive and some people did not need it, but most bought it with their loans and mortgages.

2010 to now - Car finance plans - most are expensive and most people are obtaining cars on them now.

Cryptocurrencies - 2016 to now - likely to be a speculative bubble , but young people in particular are piling in, OK some have made a lot of money, but it can't continue.

The EU Referendum vote for many people (in my opinion) was an emotional vote an anti-Governments vote often borne out from anger and frustration.
 
I don't think anyone has suggested all Brexiteers were gullible racists.

Some were racist, but not gullible
Others were gullible but not racist.
Others were neither. Some businesses did ok out of Brexit; their owners may just have voted on self interest.

As for the bus, the leave campaign must have believed it would make a difference or they wouldn't have handed the world a stick to beat them with.

I don't think it was putting it on a bus which made a difference; it was circulating that message in a variety of media during their campaign.
£350m vs £250m makes very little difference to most people's perception - they both fall into the category of 'a large number'. Leave could have achieved the same impact without exaggeration. here's a reasonable subreddit on why:

Eli5 Why are we so terrible at comprehending large numbers?

 
FH

"Others were neither. Some businesses did ok out of Brexit; their owners may just have voted on self interest."

Some individuals have also benefitted not just businesses - I saw an advert for UK lorry drivers on Wednesday by Culina - the pay was £51,000 a year. Those that have benefitted may keep a low profile.
 
FH

"Others were neither. Some businesses did ok out of Brexit; their owners may just have voted on self interest."

Some individuals have also benefitted not just businesses - I saw an advert for UK lorry drivers on Wednesday by Culina - the pay was £51,000 a year. Those that have benefitted may keep a low profile.
Barely over halfway towards a decent salary then (apparently).
 
 
Without wanting to invoke ire or discontent (or start another thread), can we see any positives as a result of Brexit?

Honest question. Not being facetious
 
A majority voted for Brexit; many of them believed in "project fear".
This is perhaps a pedantic rather than a substantive point, but project fear was pretty much invariably used as a reference by Brexiteers to the catastrophising of Remainers. It may be open to debate how many of those catastrophes came about. But it is self evident that almost no Brexiteers believed in them.
 
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£350m vs £250m makes very little difference to most people's perception - they both fall into the category of 'a large number'. Leave could have achieved the same impact without exaggeration. here's a reasonable subreddit on why:

Eli5 Why are we so terrible at comprehending large numbers?

Also as you saw in the Channel 4 documentary which may be fiction, but on this point ran true, why not use the bigger number if it makes the political point better?

We do the same in football for players salaries. We quote gross salaries, not net, and we quote weekly numbers not annual, because we think that makes footballers sound more outrageously well-paid. They are paid net, not gross and they are almost certainly not paid in folding stuff once a week. But we still do what we do. Is it misleading? Probably. Is it technically incorrect? No.
 
The EU Referendum vote for many people (in my opinion) was an emotional vote an anti-Governments vote often borne out from anger and frustration.
An anti-government vote, brought about by about 80% of the current sitting government
 
I don't believe that. Grifters are going to grift with whatever resources they have.

I think it's more about the very old saying (Twain I think) about lies getting half way round the world before truth gets its boots on.

The one thing that the internet has done has allowed like minded idiots to gather together more easily.
The internet has certainly tooled them up to spread their grifting certainly.
 
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