Coming off a 5 Yr fixed deal on Oct 31.
I'm with Shell who have said my yearly projection is Gas 10190.05 kwh and
Leccy 1844.37 kwh.
They say this is around £1559 a year but that's if I have the same usage.
They have offered me a monthly DD of £134.30 for 12 month
Or a DD of £133.19 for a fixed 14 month.
I have been paying £89 p month for the last 5 years.
I've been reading the Octopus tracker thread but got a bit lost. On top of this Shell have told me they have been taken over by Octopus so could I end up on the tracker anyway?
Should I just take the fixed rate one for 14month?
Any advice would be appreciated as I'm a bit unsure on how to progress.
Thanks.
If you're lost, just go on the Octopus thread and ask questions, it might help others too
@ThatFragranceGuy is the most up to speed on it, I'll eat my hat if what he says is wrong if you give him your usage data.
Tracker will likely win in 9/10 scenarios (over a calendar year), and the other scenario which wins 1/10 would be something like intelligent if you have an EV and do loads of miles, or agile if you can load shift (or just not use much between 4pm and 7pm). I'm on agile electric and tracker gas. What I've alrady saved in around 4-5 months has me about a grand in credit over the price cap.
Teh faster you get on the tracker the better, and it will help build upa war chest. If it's not working out, just switch to a fixed then, the rates will be similar.
Tying people into 1 to 5 year fixed deals is basically a con in the current market, as current prices are far lower that the troublesome times and futures prices are far lower than them too (as in 1/7th of the peak price). It's a trap to pretend like the energy situation is likely to go back to what it was in 2022, which is what energy companies are praying on when offering these caps as some sort of protection, but it's not possible for Russia to cause that mess again. A war with Qatar, Saudi or the USA might, but they're not exactly likely.
This is the gas prices, and the main damage was summer 2022, we're back in times of low variance and nations have been stockpiling for winter, during this time.
Prices won't be going back to summer 22 prices, as we're not going to be having an additonal energy war on top of the one already happening/ happened (which will possibly be closed out around winter anyway). There likely won't be any further cuts to european supply, as russia can't really cut them any further as the pipes have already been cut off. EU countires already will have supply agreements fixed and locked in place, to cover winter.
Russia is making half the money off oil and gas for Q1 2023 to Q1 2022, and that revenue is half of their overall budget. The war will either stop because they get beat, or it will stop because they run out of money etc.