Coronavirus good news thread

Some fantastic pictures coming out of Italy, Spain and France today.
One from Italy of a grandparent hugging her granddaughter told a thousand words.

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bear66 said:
There have been 1.2 million tests carried out on people presenting themselves with symptoms. Only 186,000 were found to have the virus.
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Just out of interest, do you know if the positive test rate has changed with the increase in number of tests compared to say the first 100,000 or 50,000 tests?
 
HolgateCorner said:
Just out of interest, do you know if the positive test rate has changed with the increase in number of tests compared to say the first 100,000 or 50,000 tests?
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Since the pillar 2 tests started, the proportion has dropped significantly. This is probably key workers families seeing whether their coughs and sniffles are Covid-19 or not, to get key workers back to work as soon as possible.

Pillar 1 had about 25% positives and pillar 2 about 10%.
 
bear66 said:
Since the pillar 2 tests started, the proportion has dropped significantly. This is probably key workers families seeing whether their coughs and sniffles are Covid-19 or not, to get key workers back to work as soon as possible.
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I can‘t decide what that statistic means in the sense that it could mean up to 15% of the population have had/got the virus or the sample is so specific that it means only a very small percentage of the population have been affected.
 
HolgateCorner said:
I can‘t decide what that statistic means in the sense that it could mean up to 15% of the population have had/got the virus or the sample is so specific that it means only a very small percentage of the population have been affected.
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These are all tests of people with symptoms or relatives of people with symptoms.

Research from Germany today came up with about 2.2% of people who have had the virus (based on antibody tests). About 0.4% were asymptomatic.

If we have the same death rate as Germany, we could have up to 10% of people who have had the virus. This number could well be less as there were large numbers of younger people who came back from Italy to Germany with the virus, and they may have a lower death rate.

There will be antibody testing in the UK to come up with a better estimate of this figure, but we seem to be some way off from doing this research at the moment.
 
bear66 said:
These are all tests of people with symptoms or relatives of people with symptoms.

Research from Germany today came up with about 2.2% of people who have had the virus (based on antibody tests). About 0.4% were asymptomatic.

If we have the same death rate as Germany, we could have up to 10% of people who have had the virus. This number could well be less as there were large numbers of younger people who came back from Italy to Germany with the virus, and they may have a lower death rate.

There will be antibody testing in the UK to come up with a better estimate of this figure, but we seem to be some way off from doing this research at the moment.
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Thanks for that.
 
Stay there, Britain is pretty much the worst place to be at the moment :)

Seriously though, glad a: you survived and b: you're on your way back
 
HolgateCorner said:
I can‘t decide what that statistic means in the sense that it could mean up to 15% of the population have had/got the virus or the sample is so specific that it means only a very small percentage of the population have been affected.
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Vallance has just given estimates of antibody levels:
Vallance says there might be 10% antibody positivity in London. And in other places it might be 3 or 4%, he says. But he says the work on this is still ongoing.

He does not think it is higher than in the mid teens anywhere.

He says that means there is nowhere were a large proportion of people might be immune.
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RandySavage said:
Beat me to it. This is humongous news if more examples are found.
Also tallies with those experts who have said the virus could actually just run out of its own steam.
Yeah **** you Corona
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This would be amazing. Admittedly a group of a single sample has no weight scientifically but it does shows it's possible that it could mutate out of potency.
 
WHO has given advice on carrying out Challenge trials for a vaccine. This is where people are given a dose of the virus. This is normally only done where there is a 'cure' if things go wrong. It is a way of getting a viable vaccine quicker though, but at some risk.

Healthy individuals would be chosen with approximately 1 in 3000 chance of dying but an opportunity to save thousands, if not far more. Any takers?

Link
 
bear66 said:
WHO has given advice on carrying out Challenge trials for a vaccine. This is where people are given a dose of the virus. This is normally only done where there is a 'cure' if things go wrong. It is a way of getting a viable vaccine quicker though, but at some risk.

Healthy individuals would be chosen with approximately 1 in 3000 chance of dying but an opportunity to save thousands, if not far more. Any takers?

Link
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Depends on how much they pay me?
 
bear66 said:
WHO has given advice on carrying out Challenge trials for a vaccine. This is where people are given a dose of the virus. This is normally only done where there is a 'cure' if things go wrong. It is a way of getting a viable vaccine quicker though, but at some risk.

Healthy individuals would be chosen with approximately 1 in 3000 chance of dying but an opportunity to save thousands, if not far more. Any takers?

Link
Click to expand...

Can you suggest/recommend people? If so, I can think of some possibles
 
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