Are the Government massaging the death rate.

bear66

Well-known member
35,627 positive tests in Teesside and 32 new cases in North Yorkshire in South Tees hospital district.

294 new positive tests in North / South Tees hospital districts.
 

Billy Horner

Well-known member
Eight further deaths announced by South Tees NHS Trust, taking total to 444.

Twelve further deaths announced by North Tees and Hartlepool NHS Trust, taking total to 432.

South Tees NHS Trust are 12th highest (same as yesterday) in terms of number of deaths in the North East & Yorkshire region (out of 30 NHS Trusts) and the 57th highest (same as yesterday) in the country (out of 228 NHS Trusts in England).

North Tees and Hartlepool NHS Trust are 14th (same as yesterday) in terms of number of deaths in the North East & Yorkshire region and the joint 62nd (from joint 64th yesterday) in the country.
 

Randy

Well-known member
Billy, quick question. I've noticed over these past few months that your daily reports tend to have more deaths reported by North Tees and Hartlepool Trust than South Tees even though North Tees are 14th and South Tees 12th?
Is this because they 'bank' up death details before releasing them because of smaller admin issues or? Just curious.
 

Billy Horner

Well-known member
35,627 positive tests in Teesside and 32 new cases in North Yorkshire in South Tees hospital district.

294 new positive tests in North / South Tees hospital districts.

Latest rates per 100,000 population:

LA
Rate as at 15/01/21​
As at 7 days earlier​
% change​
Darlington
342.7​
477.5​
-28.2%​
Hambleton
334.1​
464.0​
-28.0%​
Hartlepool
518.9​
804.0​
-35.5%​
Middlesbrough
458.2​
605.8​
-24.4%​
R&C
401.0​
481.2​
-16.7%​
Stockton
412.5​
467.7​
-11.8%​
 

Billy Horner

Well-known member
Billy, quick question. I've noticed over these past few months that your daily reports tend to have more deaths reported by North Tees and Hartlepool Trust than South Tees even though North Tees are 14th and South Tees 12th?
Is this because they 'bank' up death details before releasing them because of smaller admin issues or? Just curious.

It's because the total number of deaths includes the whole pandemic since March 2020.

In the 1st wave, South Tees was worse affected than North Tees, with about 110 more deaths. The reverse has been true in the 2nd wave and North Tees has almost caught up now in terms of total deaths.

Don't know a specific reason why that would be, but it is consistent with Hartlepool (in particular) and Stockton local authorities being the highest areas for cases in Tees Valley for much of the 2nd wave so far.
 

Randy

Well-known member
It's because the total number of deaths includes the whole pandemic since March 2020.

In the 1st wave, South Tees was worse affected than North Tees, with about 110 more deaths. The reverse has been true in the 2nd wave and North Tees has almost caught up now in terms of total deaths.

Don't know a specific reason why that would be, but it is consistent with Hartlepool (in particular) and Stockton local authorities being the highest areas for cases in Tees Valley for much of the 2nd wave so far.
Cheers Billy
 

bear66

Well-known member
36,039 positive tests in Teesside and 46 new cases in North Yorkshire in South Tees hospital district.

458 new positive tests in North / South Tees hospital districts.
 

Billy Horner

Well-known member
Seven further deaths announced by South Tees NHS Trust, taking total to 451.

Three further deaths announced by North Tees and Hartlepool NHS Trust, taking total to 435.

South Tees NHS Trust are 12th highest (same as yesterday) in terms of number of deaths in the North East & Yorkshire region (out of 30 NHS Trusts) and the 56th highest (from 57th yesterday) in the country (out of 228 NHS Trusts in England).

North Tees and Hartlepool NHS Trust are 14th (same as yesterday) in terms of number of deaths in the North East & Yorkshire region and the 65th (from joint 62nd yesterday) in the country.
 

Billy Horner

Well-known member
36,039 positive tests in Teesside and 46 new cases in North Yorkshire in South Tees hospital district.

458 new positive tests in North / South Tees hospital districts.

Latest rates per 100,000 population:

LA
Rate as at 16/01/21​
As at 7 days earlier​
% change​
Darlington
354.8​
450.4​
-21.2%​
Hambleton
322.1​
456.3​
-29.4%​
Hartlepool
486.9​
732.4​
-33.5%​
Middlesbrough
490.9​
563.2​
-12.8%​
R&C
402.5​
462.3​
-12.9%​
Stockton
406.4​
447.9​
-9.3%​
 

bear66

Well-known member
36,413 positive tests in Teesside and 37 new cases in North Yorkshire in South Tees hospital district.

411 new positive tests in North / South Tees hospital districts.
 

Billy Horner

Well-known member
Seven further deaths announced by South Tees NHS Trust, taking total to 458.

No further deaths announced by North Tees and Hartlepool NHS Trust, total remaining at 435.

South Tees NHS Trust are 12th highest (same as yesterday) in terms of number of deaths in the North East & Yorkshire region (out of 30 NHS Trusts) and the 57th highest (from 56th yesterday) in the country (out of 228 NHS Trusts in England).

North Tees and Hartlepool NHS Trust are 14th (same as yesterday) in terms of number of deaths in the North East & Yorkshire region and the 67th (from 65th yesterday) in the country.

South Tees NHS Trust suffers its 200th death of the second wave.
 

Billy Horner

Well-known member
36,413 positive tests in Teesside and 37 new cases in North Yorkshire in South Tees hospital district.

411 new positive tests in North / South Tees hospital districts.

Latest rates per 100,000 population:

LA
Rate as at 17/01/21​
As at 7 days earlier​
% change​
Darlington
355.8​
410.1​
-13.2%​
Hambleton
311.2​
418.1​
-25.6%​
Hartlepool
458.0​
678.0​
-32.5%​
Middlesbrough
488.0​
520.6​
-6.3%​
R&C
417.0​
414.9​
+0.5%
Stockton
399.8​
428.2​
-6.6%​

Strong evidence of a plateauing in the infection rates in Middlesbrough, R&C and Stockton.
 

Randy

Well-known member
Latest rates per 100,000 population:

LA
Rate as at 17/01/21​
As at 7 days earlier​
% change​
Darlington
355.8​
410.1​
-13.2%​
Hambleton
311.2​
418.1​
-25.6%​
Hartlepool
458.0​
678.0​
-32.5%​
Middlesbrough
488.0​
520.6​
-6.3%​
R&C
417.0​
414.9​
+0.5%
Stockton
399.8​
428.2​
-6.6%​

Strong evidence of a plateauing in the infection rates in Middlesbrough, R&C and Stockton.
What's causing that then?
 

Billy Horner

Well-known member
What's causing that then?

Dunno! The national rate has fallen by more than 20% in the same period, so they're a bit of an outlier.

That said, the national rate is basically the average of all the local rates and they won't all be identical. It could just be that those three areas are at one end of the range and there will be other areas (that we aren't monitoring on here) at the other end of the range.
 

bear66

Well-known member
36,753 positive tests in Teesside and 44 new cases in North Yorkshire in South Tees hospital district.

384 new positive tests in North / South Tees hospital districts.
 

Billy Horner

Well-known member
Seven further deaths announced by South Tees NHS Trust, taking total to 465.

Twelve further deaths announced by North Tees and Hartlepool NHS Trust, taking total to 447.

South Tees NHS Trust are 12th highest (same as yesterday) in terms of number of deaths in the North East & Yorkshire region (out of 30 NHS Trusts) and the 57th highest (same as yesterday) in the country (out of 228 NHS Trusts in England).

North Tees and Hartlepool NHS Trust are 14th (same as yesterday) in terms of number of deaths in the North East & Yorkshire region and the joint 66th (from 67th yesterday) in the country.

North Tees NHS Trust suffers its 300th death of the second wave.
 

r00fie1

Well-known member
https://thewordmedia.org/tories-and-ons-caned-for-misuse-of-statistics-on-covid-threat-for-schools/
EducationNewsPeople

Tories and ONS caned for misuse of statistics on schools’ Covid threat 22 January 2021

Tories and ONS caned for misuse of statistics on schools’ Covid threat

Watchdog criticises lack of clarity and context

The UK Statistics Authority’s (UKSA) has written to the Office for National Statistics (ONS) suggesting risks associated with different occupations lacked clarity and context to be used properly.
It also wrapped ONS over the knuckles for failing to respond properly to concerns raised about its analysis on schools – which was ‘misinterpreted’ by the Tories to falsely claim schools were safe:

Teachers and other school staff have now been shown to have suffered far higher infection rates than the general population.
For months the Tories claimed there was no greater risk.
Deaths will certainly have occurred as a result of the misrepresented data, among school staff, pupils, their families and in the wider population, as schools drove the second and third waves of the pandemic higher.
The Tories have not published data on deaths among school staff since June, when nearly 200 had died.
 

Billy Horner

Well-known member
36,753 positive tests in Teesside and 44 new cases in North Yorkshire in South Tees hospital district.

384 new positive tests in North / South Tees hospital districts.

Latest rates per 100,000 population:

LA
Rate as at 18/01/21​
As at 7 days earlier​
% change​
Darlington
348.3​
402.6​
-13.5%​
Hambleton
295.9​
381.0​
-22.3%​
Hartlepool
430.3​
614.9​
-30.0%​
Middlesbrough
501.5​
471.7​
+6.3%
R&C
408.3​
406.9​
+0.3%
Stockton
376.5​
423.1​
-11.0%
 
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