53 points - Now Safe?

Best odds I can find this morning for Boro:

100/1 promotion
25/1 make the playoffs
500/1 to be relegated.

Odds aren't probabilities remember: the probability of those events happening is always smaller, that's how bookies make money.

I think 100/1 for promotion is particularly tight if we're 25/1 to make the playoffs. That assumes everyone in the playoffs has an equal chance.
 
Win on Saturday and like it or not we're in the mix during the international break.
Though we'd probably need to win 7 of the final 8.
The games against Southampton, Ipswich, Leeds & Hull make it unlikely. But not impossible.
I would rather have Norwich final nine fixtures, on paper only two tricky games.

Norwich games to play.. Stoke, Plymouth, Leicester, Ipswich, Sheff Wed, Preston, Bristol City, Swansea, Birmingham

We've no chance, 5pts behind Norwich, effectively 6 pts with the goal difference. so we need to find 7pts more.
We are the form team in the league.
Typical Boro.
Depends when your taking the form table from? Cardiff have won their last 4 games.

Over the last 10 games we are 13th in the form guide.


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