SmallTown
Well-known member
Good sign: The Tories will be talking about the low turnout of course but even their usual spin can't disguise how much of a turnaround this one was
Good sign: The Tories will be talking about the low turnout of course but even their usual spin can't disguise how much of a turnaround this one was
Yes. Let's go Reform party!!
Eh? Reform will destroy what's left of the torys if they can take a 5% chunk of their vote. Reform is just a protest vote like UKIP and the Brexit party. Little more than a fart in a lift.
I think you are right but the SNP may loose votes standing on a single policy of independence.One prediction above, has the Outer Hebrides going to Labour - they only got 28% last time out there and SNP got 45%
My self I think the 45% for SNP is fixed in Scotland and Scotland wil make it difficult for Labour to win an overall Majority in the UK. In the Blair years Scotland was a Labour Stronghold. There are 59 seats in Scotland. All the redwall seat were Labour in the Blair years, I can see over 50% coming back to Labour, but not all of them.
UKIP obviously were effectively a one policy party, Reform can't be that and that's where they will hopefully find trouble gaining any real support above 10%, and hopefully single figure % which will be an optic to keep them as a minority fringe party. at the next election Enough to fragment the Tory vote, but not enough to gain any heavy traction, because this is effectively how the Nazi's started, as a reformist party to bring down the old parties.It's all about taking the Tories further to the Right. They saw how the strategy worked with UKIP. They know Labour will have a mess to sort and won't be in power for ever regardless.
You'd think they would be happy with how far to the Right they have pushed the Tories already, but no these people are never satisfied, nor reflective on how their ideology leads to terrible things.
Brexit was the key to complete deregulation. Or so they thought.UKIP might have been all about Brexit, but Brexit was merely a gateway to many right wing policies and I think most Conservatives knew this.