I agree there will be goals today and lots of themAlways have a sore scrolling thumb after opening these threads
I’m going for 4-3 today, can’t call who to, though.
Whats that jonny 2 goalies? I like it a 2-3-1-1-4 formation.As expected really:
-----------------Lumley-----------------
-----------------Bamba-----------------
Tav----- Howson----McNair-----------
----------------Payero------------------
-----------------Crooks-----------------
-- Everyone else------------------------
Nah, Bamba's holding together the defence there by being the only defender. 1-1-3-2-4, let's have it.Whats that jonny 2 goalies? I like it a 2-3-1-1-4 formation.
More questions rather than answers! Which competition(s) does this data apply to and when? Have you tried running the same calculations for no covid/ covid (behind closed doors)? If so, does it show much of a change?Any statisticians explain the following to me?
I was doing some corrrelation calculations on football data this morning. I worked out the correlation between the following stats against a binary field 0/1 where 0 is more than 2.5 goals and 1 is less than 2.5 goals, and this is a confirmed result.
The correlations shown below are home and away for :
The total average number of goals scored AND conceded (first 2 rows)
The percentage of games for a team that ended with more than 2.5 goals ( rows 3 and 4)
The average number of goals scored AND conceded by half time (rows 5 and 6)
Correlation Data More than 2.5 goals
Total Away Goals -0.07435564126
Total Home Goals -0.1153610731
Home %<3 Goals -0.1101564373
Away %<3 Goals -0.06329618731
Home half time goals -0.09131360568
Away half time goals -0.05349443279
Here is my question. Why is the correlation always stronger for the home team, and not just a bit, but a lot? I suspected before doing the work that the home team is likely to dictate the type of game played so have a slightly stronger correlation but not the differences I am seeing. I would be interested to hear football fans thoughts on why this would be the case.
The data was run over 4,500 games across the major european leagues.
Ah interesting. The data starts from december last year and I never even considered closed door games. Nice catch.More questions rather than answers! Which competition(s) does this data apply to and when? Have you tried running the same calculations for no covid/ covid (behind closed doors)? If so, does it show much of a change?
I like it even betterr, we can't defend anyway so why pretend, or, play to your strengths.Nah, Bamba's holding together the defence there by being the only defender. 1-1-3-2-4, let's have it.
Amazing! It's like having Kevin Keegan in charge.
Vindaloo Football.....we're gonna score one more than you
Works for me!Vindaloo Football.....we're gonna score one more than you