Possibly for security reasons. He may block accounts that he suspects may be Russian bots or other enemy affiliates. I don't generally follow his posts on Bluesky unless he links to them in a private message, as he did this a.m.
The end?
- Thread starter borolad259
- Start date
Possibly for security reasons. He may block accounts that he suspects may be Russian bots or other enemy affiliates. I don't generally follow his posts on Bluesky unless he links to them in a private message, as he did this a.m.
Decent_Left
Well-known member
Might be an English translation issue but if it takes this for them to realise a 3 day SMO is actually a real 4 year shooting war then good. (Also reinforces Gen Sneakys point about no RuSSian AD in Crimea just now)
**** Putin and the Black Sea Fleet
**** Putin and the Black Sea Fleet
Doubt it's that. The only account I follow on BlueSky is the MFC one.
Which I don't follow
Albert_Park
Active member
Do your accounts have profile pics or numbers in the username? Usually no profile pic or numbers can indicate a bot account. So could be, as BoroLad intimates, that they've been interpreted as bot accounts if so.
I assumed it was because i hadn't posted anything apart (I don't really have a lot to say!) had no profile pic and i was following a Few NAFO accounts... so i didn't really have a "History" and was a new account.
Good point. I've added a pic but probably too late
Checkout Bluesky starter packs for people to follow with shared interests. Here's the UTB Starter Pack as an example
Macron called Putin for the first time since the invasion to discuss Iran...
www.theguardian.com
Macron and Putin discuss Iran in first call in three years
Call between French and Russian presidents comes as Tehran says it is ending cooperation with UN nuclear inspectors
www.theguardian.com
Fronts, other stuff and Pride coming before a fall.
"So, first the big news that everyone is talking about, and that is that the US has stopped delivering arms and munitions again to Ukraine. This is less of a problem than people understand.
The US have limited deliveries throughout the entire time Trump has been a president, and to be honest I’m more surprised that they didn’t cut deliveries on his first day in office.
So, is this problematic for Ukraine? Mostly it is not, it will not affect the frontline since we now have alternatives for all of the systems there, and we are able to supply it in large amounts.
The big problem boils down to the Patriot Air Defence Systems, and specifically to the PAC-3 interceptor missile. All other AD is supplied by EU in large enough amounts to make a big impact.
But the PAC-3 is one of only two systems that can intercept ballistic missiles, the other is the SAMP/T and the Aster-30 Interceptor. Problem here is that the ramping up of production takes a lot of time for such and advanced missile.
This means that more Ukrainian civilians will die from ballistic missile strikes. And for now there is not a lot we can do about it until we get more Aster-30s coming out of the pipeline.
So, are there no alternatives or solutions? Well, there is something in the pipeline. It is the IRIS/T SLX Missile, it has passed the testing phase and is now hurried into production. And this one we have more production capacity for.
That being said, it will take until 2026 until we see it in numbers in Ukraine. So, let us talk about the boring solution, but that Ukraine must relearn.
Due to natural war fatigue, and the increase in air defence, Ukrainians in general have become a bit lax on going to shelters when the alarm goes off. It is the only efficient counter measure that we have, and something that should be done more by everyone, and yes I’m also talking about myself here.
Lack of Interceptors
The reality is that the world is incredibly low on interceptor missiles of all typer. It was already bad due to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, but it didn’t help that Israel blew off their entire supply, and a huge portion of what the US had available.
The reality is that Israel was mere days from being pummeled mercilessly without any air defence at all, while Iran had a lot of missiles left in their inventory.
On top of that it does not help that the US has not increased production of Interceptors, or quite frankly anything. The new factories that was talked about a lot during the beginning of the war against Ukraine either didn’t materialize, or did not receive any US contracts and went straight into idle.
This means that the US is now low on all forms of air defence, I would even chuck in the word critical in the sentence.
Israel is out of them, and most EU countries are either low, or very low on interceptors. In fact, the only two nations with full stockpiles are currently China and South Korea.
Let us now talk Russia and Ukraine. Russia is critically low, something we see evidence of in entire regions being devoid of air defence systems. No use of having any there when you have no missiles in them.
We also see it in that Ukraine can mostly hit critical defence factories in Russia without any air defence being activated, same goes for air bases. In most cases all Russia can do is to take it on the chin and groan.
The bulk of what is remaining is now covering St Petersburg, Moscow and Mount Yamantau. And even the big cities are becoming more and more open now as Russia concentrates their final lines of air defence around Mount Yamantau.
This has the added benefit that Ukraine is using air power more and more, as evidenced with a slew of SU-34 attack aircraft having been downed by fighter jets (mostly) and by Ukrainian air defence missiles from a rowing IRIS/T system. I will return in a bit to the Ukrainian air force.
Ukraine is low on air defence interceptors, but good on barreled air defence. But, we are grunting hard, and supplying enough missiles for the Manportable systems like for instance the RBS-70. We are also able to provide missiles for the NASAMS, the IRIS/T and the SAMP/T.
But it is barely enough and takes a lot of grunting on our part. We are even able to deliver PAC-2 interceptors for now for the Patriot batteries. But, my point is that Ukraine is weirdly enough in a better place than Russia is.
The reason for this is that we spent all that money and built the factories, and then ordered stuff, very much unlike the US. And now we are building even more to enable us to buy new arms and munitions with our increased European Defence Budgets.
Frontlines
In Sumy the Punderati are screaming once again about Russia having 50 000 soldier here ready to go in an unstopable offensive. Well, those are the same 50 000 that started the offensive, or well not exactly the same.
No, the big news here is that Russia has been able to replenish their losses and been able to keep the numbers at the same level. This has though been done at the cost of other sections of the frontline.
What they have not been able to replenish is the lost equipment in the Sumy region. If they had been able to do that they would still be able to push hard. Instead Sumy has largerly gone into a stalemate.
Ukraine did for a while push Russia back, but the replenishing of the forces have had the effect that this stopped. So, for now this is at a stalemate due to Russia budgeting a high replenishment rate in meat, and Ukraine being somewhat otherwise occupied.
And now the Punderati is screaming about 30 000 new North Koreans, but that is so far just a rumour picked up by the South Korean intelligence service. The Swedes believe that the number
is correct as such, but that less than 10 000 will be soldiers, and that the rest are workforce for the Russian factories.
I would go with the Swedish version, they have excellent intel in North Korea compared to everyone else for weird diplomatic reasons (having the only Embassy there).
And, it is not sure that these soldiers will end up in Sumy. It is more likely that these will replenish the units in Kursk and Bilhorod and be used defensively, but we shall see what is what in the end.
Russia has claimed for the fifth time that they are now controlling all of Luhansk. This time it is even almost true, but Ukraine is hanging on in a couple of places, so technically it is not true. I would though say that it is not unlikely to happen sometime this summer. But, Luhansk has always been the region that Russia has the hardest grip on, so it would not be a big change.
The Toretsk/Chasiv Yar/Pokrovsk line is mostly stable, with both Ukraine and Russia doing small gains on each other in an alternating manner. The reason for this is that both are occupied otherwise now.
Russia is occupied with Sumy, and Ukraine is occupied halting them there, but mostly with…
The Southern Front
For the first time in the war the Ukrainian air force is performing a concerted strike mission campaign in Zhaporizhzhia and in Southern Kherson, this has now been ongoing for roughly two weeks.
It started as the last of the available Russian air defence fell after concentrated attacks with radar homing hunter missiles took out their radar systems and other drone and missile systems took out the launchers.
From then on Ukrainian fighter rigged aircraft rapidly took control of the sky deep into Russian held territory, and Mig-29 and Mirage-2000 Attack Aircraft started working together with attack mission equipped F-16s.
At peak hours up to 80 percent of the entire Ukrainian air force pummeled Russian positions and strongholds in an attempt to emulate how Europe would fight Russia. Obviously having less airframes means that it takes considerably longer time, but it is still working.
Two weaks in the entire Russian offensive here has been stopped, and even in places started to crumble.
If we combine this with the general lack of equipment and the lack of reserves, we are now in a situation where the 2023 offensive towards Tokmak and Melitopol would have had a fair chance of success.
It was idiotic to attempt that without air superiority. And we are seeing this exemplified now. Now the Russians are so weakened that Ukraine can use the Bayraktar TB2s as roving attack platforms over Kherson, something made possible both by the lack of AD, but also due to the lack of Electronic Warfare systems in the region.
For the first time since the breakout offensive from Kharkiv Westwards in 2022, and the liberation of Northern Kherson, Ukraine is in a comfortable spot in a region.
If Ukraine can keep up with the bombing missions due to Russian lack of air defence, and Ukraine receives enough bombs to keep on going, the operative possibility exist for an offensive in Zhaporizhzhia in August or September.
At least unless Russia changes their force deployment policy and move troops from Sumy to Zhaporizhzhia, or a lardy bunch of North Koreans show up with North Korean equipment.
In the land that the Punderati live in there was a lot of cheering 3 days ago. The reason was that 15 truck loads of Chechens had been sent to Zhaporizhzhia. Of course this mighty column of brave Chechens would be able to galantly break through the Ukrainian lines and go all the way to Kyiv. Or some such fantasmagoria.
It truly sounded like that. They have somehow forgotten that a year ago Russia sent dozens of trainsets of equipment, and oodles of large columns of soldiers, before they started towards Pokrovsk. And they still haven’t reached Pokrovsk with all of that.
15 trucks of Chechen soldiers without any heavy equipment is just… Tiktok movies in the making. This is 2 companies with in total 300 soldiers with their personal equipment.
And them being Chechens means that they will not go to the frontline. No, they are brought in to beat up, rape, and kill Russian soldiers until they prefer to go on a meatwave attack. Or in this case stay holding the lines in case Ukraine decides to do something naughty to said frontlines.
How Russia’s most favoured barrier guards could be mistaken for being an attack force is just beyond me, but here we are.
Southern Kherson and the Dniepro River Islands are currently the most dynamic section of the frontline with dozens of daily skirmishes.
In the beginning it was Russia attempting to take over the islands and the even attempted to land forces in Northern Kherson. Now it is Ukraine reasserting control over the island and sending scouting parties.
It is also here that the Bayraktars are most active as they chase after artillery positions and fortified positions in Southern Kherson itself, and they together with manned aircraft are going deeper and deeper by the day. Harder and harder, deeper and deeper.
The Stage
The stage is indeed set, and Russia is cracking in oh so many ways now. And this is why Putin in desperation called and played his final card, Donald Trump.
Putin obviously knows how little the US is helping, but his hope is to overwhelm the remaining Ukrainian air defence so that he can kill ciivilians without impunity in the hope that the Ukrainian peoplle will fold and accept his ridiculous requirements in the peace negotiations.
It will not work, it is to late for that, we have grown our production capacity to much, and Ukraine are now holding more cards than Russia does.
If Ukraine can deliver a large blow to Russia in the next 3 months, Russia’s bargaining chips will be gone. Obviously this will not be enough to make Putin give up the war, I doubt anything would at this point.
But the combined crashing economy, failing harvests and a big loss on top of that might shake things loose inside Russia. It is quite telling that Russia is forming defence lines around Mount Yamantau.
It is not for the final stand of Russia, that is years away, if it will ever happen. No, it is the final defence lines to protect Putin. He knows that a big military loss might mean that forces will come looking for him.
Mistakes
Earlier this week Putin made a huge mistake. He started to arrest Azerbaijani people in Moscow in an attempt to scare them back into the fold. This was a huge strategic mistake. The Azerbaijani just coldly rounded up a bunch of Russians and paraded them about.
And Putin one upped his bluff, and sent aircraft across the Caspian Sea towards Baku. The Azerbaijani just said meh, and went about their anti-Russian protests. Putin should have known that there was not a lot he could do about things.
In reality he exploded since he has grown tired of everyone from Santa Clause to Cassimir Huygens have broken contact with Moscow. There was not a heck of lot he could do with Jomert being a burr in his bunghole, but Azerbaijan is smaller, so he threatened them instead as a warning to all of the other states.
It backfired obviously. He just do not have the resources, and everyone knows it. So instead he probably made a couple of other post-Soviet nations consider breaking away from their idiot former cousins to the North.
The next mistake was more of comic relief. Moldova has cut gas from being sent into Transnistria, totally ruining their economy. That has made the Transpeople quite irate with their so called government.
So the Transgovernment called Putin and asked for him to help them restore gas, and to kindly send troops to make certain that there would not be a Transmaidan in Transnistria.
And Putin in a fever haze promised to send 10 000 new Russian soldiers to Transnistria. The Punderati literally shat themselves with this news, while everyone else was down on the floor laughing our collective arses off.
Unless Russia has developped transporter technology and can beam those soldiers in, it would be a very massive undertaking on their side.
They would first have to take control over the Northern Black Sea both in sea and air. Then they would have to reinvade Snake Island, and then defeat the Air Defences in both Eastern Moldova, and the Ukrainian one from Odesa Down South, and then somehow batter their way through the air forces of Moldova, Ukraine and the EU air unit inside of Moldova.
All that Putin managed was to look incredibly stupid and ill informed about the strength of his air force. It hammered home to all post-Soviet states that Russia is now all words and no actions are possible.
The Transnistrians? Well, they have started to leave their hellhole of a mobster-nation. Soon only the secret police, mobsters, and the Russian soldiers will remain in there. Transnistria will fall come deep winter, that is now a foregone conclusion.
And then Orbanus made a mistake. He claimed that “gayism” is something forced on Hungary by EU elites, and he banned the Pride Festival in Hungary. This was then in record speed dealt with by the EU Court of Human Rights, and Hungary was found to have broken the law.
Orbanus doubled down and said that everyone would be arrested, and that he would use cameras with face recognition software. The Court stated that this was also a violation of Human Rights.
Orbanus then nailed his own coffin as he went into a rant about him rather dying than surrendering to the homoelite of the European Union.
First of all, he grosly over-rated his own popularity in Hungary. And then what he never ever would have bet on happened. EU had humour, and decided to deliver exactly what he had been talking about.
Roughly 1 000 EU parliamentarians, commissioners, other EU politicians, government politicians of other membestates, and oodles of diplomats and ambassadors decided to deliver some EU Homoelite Propaganda in person.
And then some 80 000 of the most elite gay and trans people that EU could offer showed up in Sofia for the Pride Parade. And then the 280 000 strong Parades happened across all of Hungary.
Nobody has seen Orbanus since the largest backfire in Hungarian history happened to him. The Hungarian police just said sod it and went home instead of facing the enormity of what they where facing.
To all points and purposes Orbanus is now a spent force in Hungarian politics. And now everyone recognizes that his loss in the upcoming elections is almost certainly a done deal.
It all sort of started as a joke in the Swedish parliament. 4 years ago the leader of the Sverigedemokraterna (nazi party) moaned about the risk that EU posed, and that Sweden would receive 10 000 gay Hungarians due to EU.
Now the other parties suggested that Sweden should send 10 000 gay Swedes to the pride parade there as a jibe to the Sverigedemokraterna. And a lardy bunch of Swedish gay and trans people said to themselves, “Cool!” and when they said that they would go other European LGBTQI+ organisations also started to organise trips.
And then the EU Parliament said “Cool!” and organized their trips… and from then on it was a rainbow coloured snowball.
And now I’m sitting here thinking; Give them what they fear. If they paint up boogeypeople, let us give them just that. We won in Hungary due to being who and what Europe is at the core. Free love for all, and Democracy, Egality, Justice and Liberty.
They see it as weakness and fear it, but in reality it is our superpower. What can be better than to win with love? I just wish I had been there to see it live.
While I mull how we can use beautiful love in the face of our enemies, me and TG had a chat over dinner. We will from now on carry the Prideflag on our uniforms. We are after all the Guardians of the right for people to express their love, and as such we should signal just that.
I think love is the answer to how EU will not become like previous superpowers. If love is at the core of what we are, it is hard to walk into a bad mindset as we lovingly scheme and plot for world domination.
And, love is the greatest power there is."
"So, first the big news that everyone is talking about, and that is that the US has stopped delivering arms and munitions again to Ukraine. This is less of a problem than people understand.
The US have limited deliveries throughout the entire time Trump has been a president, and to be honest I’m more surprised that they didn’t cut deliveries on his first day in office.
So, is this problematic for Ukraine? Mostly it is not, it will not affect the frontline since we now have alternatives for all of the systems there, and we are able to supply it in large amounts.
The big problem boils down to the Patriot Air Defence Systems, and specifically to the PAC-3 interceptor missile. All other AD is supplied by EU in large enough amounts to make a big impact.
But the PAC-3 is one of only two systems that can intercept ballistic missiles, the other is the SAMP/T and the Aster-30 Interceptor. Problem here is that the ramping up of production takes a lot of time for such and advanced missile.
This means that more Ukrainian civilians will die from ballistic missile strikes. And for now there is not a lot we can do about it until we get more Aster-30s coming out of the pipeline.
So, are there no alternatives or solutions? Well, there is something in the pipeline. It is the IRIS/T SLX Missile, it has passed the testing phase and is now hurried into production. And this one we have more production capacity for.
That being said, it will take until 2026 until we see it in numbers in Ukraine. So, let us talk about the boring solution, but that Ukraine must relearn.
Due to natural war fatigue, and the increase in air defence, Ukrainians in general have become a bit lax on going to shelters when the alarm goes off. It is the only efficient counter measure that we have, and something that should be done more by everyone, and yes I’m also talking about myself here.
Lack of Interceptors
The reality is that the world is incredibly low on interceptor missiles of all typer. It was already bad due to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, but it didn’t help that Israel blew off their entire supply, and a huge portion of what the US had available.
The reality is that Israel was mere days from being pummeled mercilessly without any air defence at all, while Iran had a lot of missiles left in their inventory.
On top of that it does not help that the US has not increased production of Interceptors, or quite frankly anything. The new factories that was talked about a lot during the beginning of the war against Ukraine either didn’t materialize, or did not receive any US contracts and went straight into idle.
This means that the US is now low on all forms of air defence, I would even chuck in the word critical in the sentence.
Israel is out of them, and most EU countries are either low, or very low on interceptors. In fact, the only two nations with full stockpiles are currently China and South Korea.
Let us now talk Russia and Ukraine. Russia is critically low, something we see evidence of in entire regions being devoid of air defence systems. No use of having any there when you have no missiles in them.
We also see it in that Ukraine can mostly hit critical defence factories in Russia without any air defence being activated, same goes for air bases. In most cases all Russia can do is to take it on the chin and groan.
The bulk of what is remaining is now covering St Petersburg, Moscow and Mount Yamantau. And even the big cities are becoming more and more open now as Russia concentrates their final lines of air defence around Mount Yamantau.
This has the added benefit that Ukraine is using air power more and more, as evidenced with a slew of SU-34 attack aircraft having been downed by fighter jets (mostly) and by Ukrainian air defence missiles from a rowing IRIS/T system. I will return in a bit to the Ukrainian air force.
Ukraine is low on air defence interceptors, but good on barreled air defence. But, we are grunting hard, and supplying enough missiles for the Manportable systems like for instance the RBS-70. We are also able to provide missiles for the NASAMS, the IRIS/T and the SAMP/T.
But it is barely enough and takes a lot of grunting on our part. We are even able to deliver PAC-2 interceptors for now for the Patriot batteries. But, my point is that Ukraine is weirdly enough in a better place than Russia is.
The reason for this is that we spent all that money and built the factories, and then ordered stuff, very much unlike the US. And now we are building even more to enable us to buy new arms and munitions with our increased European Defence Budgets.
Frontlines
In Sumy the Punderati are screaming once again about Russia having 50 000 soldier here ready to go in an unstopable offensive. Well, those are the same 50 000 that started the offensive, or well not exactly the same.
No, the big news here is that Russia has been able to replenish their losses and been able to keep the numbers at the same level. This has though been done at the cost of other sections of the frontline.
What they have not been able to replenish is the lost equipment in the Sumy region. If they had been able to do that they would still be able to push hard. Instead Sumy has largerly gone into a stalemate.
Ukraine did for a while push Russia back, but the replenishing of the forces have had the effect that this stopped. So, for now this is at a stalemate due to Russia budgeting a high replenishment rate in meat, and Ukraine being somewhat otherwise occupied.
And now the Punderati is screaming about 30 000 new North Koreans, but that is so far just a rumour picked up by the South Korean intelligence service. The Swedes believe that the number
is correct as such, but that less than 10 000 will be soldiers, and that the rest are workforce for the Russian factories.
I would go with the Swedish version, they have excellent intel in North Korea compared to everyone else for weird diplomatic reasons (having the only Embassy there).
And, it is not sure that these soldiers will end up in Sumy. It is more likely that these will replenish the units in Kursk and Bilhorod and be used defensively, but we shall see what is what in the end.
Russia has claimed for the fifth time that they are now controlling all of Luhansk. This time it is even almost true, but Ukraine is hanging on in a couple of places, so technically it is not true. I would though say that it is not unlikely to happen sometime this summer. But, Luhansk has always been the region that Russia has the hardest grip on, so it would not be a big change.
The Toretsk/Chasiv Yar/Pokrovsk line is mostly stable, with both Ukraine and Russia doing small gains on each other in an alternating manner. The reason for this is that both are occupied otherwise now.
Russia is occupied with Sumy, and Ukraine is occupied halting them there, but mostly with…
The Southern Front
For the first time in the war the Ukrainian air force is performing a concerted strike mission campaign in Zhaporizhzhia and in Southern Kherson, this has now been ongoing for roughly two weeks.
It started as the last of the available Russian air defence fell after concentrated attacks with radar homing hunter missiles took out their radar systems and other drone and missile systems took out the launchers.
From then on Ukrainian fighter rigged aircraft rapidly took control of the sky deep into Russian held territory, and Mig-29 and Mirage-2000 Attack Aircraft started working together with attack mission equipped F-16s.
At peak hours up to 80 percent of the entire Ukrainian air force pummeled Russian positions and strongholds in an attempt to emulate how Europe would fight Russia. Obviously having less airframes means that it takes considerably longer time, but it is still working.
Two weaks in the entire Russian offensive here has been stopped, and even in places started to crumble.
If we combine this with the general lack of equipment and the lack of reserves, we are now in a situation where the 2023 offensive towards Tokmak and Melitopol would have had a fair chance of success.
It was idiotic to attempt that without air superiority. And we are seeing this exemplified now. Now the Russians are so weakened that Ukraine can use the Bayraktar TB2s as roving attack platforms over Kherson, something made possible both by the lack of AD, but also due to the lack of Electronic Warfare systems in the region.
For the first time since the breakout offensive from Kharkiv Westwards in 2022, and the liberation of Northern Kherson, Ukraine is in a comfortable spot in a region.
If Ukraine can keep up with the bombing missions due to Russian lack of air defence, and Ukraine receives enough bombs to keep on going, the operative possibility exist for an offensive in Zhaporizhzhia in August or September.
At least unless Russia changes their force deployment policy and move troops from Sumy to Zhaporizhzhia, or a lardy bunch of North Koreans show up with North Korean equipment.
In the land that the Punderati live in there was a lot of cheering 3 days ago. The reason was that 15 truck loads of Chechens had been sent to Zhaporizhzhia. Of course this mighty column of brave Chechens would be able to galantly break through the Ukrainian lines and go all the way to Kyiv. Or some such fantasmagoria.
It truly sounded like that. They have somehow forgotten that a year ago Russia sent dozens of trainsets of equipment, and oodles of large columns of soldiers, before they started towards Pokrovsk. And they still haven’t reached Pokrovsk with all of that.
15 trucks of Chechen soldiers without any heavy equipment is just… Tiktok movies in the making. This is 2 companies with in total 300 soldiers with their personal equipment.
And them being Chechens means that they will not go to the frontline. No, they are brought in to beat up, rape, and kill Russian soldiers until they prefer to go on a meatwave attack. Or in this case stay holding the lines in case Ukraine decides to do something naughty to said frontlines.
How Russia’s most favoured barrier guards could be mistaken for being an attack force is just beyond me, but here we are.
Southern Kherson and the Dniepro River Islands are currently the most dynamic section of the frontline with dozens of daily skirmishes.
In the beginning it was Russia attempting to take over the islands and the even attempted to land forces in Northern Kherson. Now it is Ukraine reasserting control over the island and sending scouting parties.
It is also here that the Bayraktars are most active as they chase after artillery positions and fortified positions in Southern Kherson itself, and they together with manned aircraft are going deeper and deeper by the day. Harder and harder, deeper and deeper.
The Stage
The stage is indeed set, and Russia is cracking in oh so many ways now. And this is why Putin in desperation called and played his final card, Donald Trump.
Putin obviously knows how little the US is helping, but his hope is to overwhelm the remaining Ukrainian air defence so that he can kill ciivilians without impunity in the hope that the Ukrainian peoplle will fold and accept his ridiculous requirements in the peace negotiations.
It will not work, it is to late for that, we have grown our production capacity to much, and Ukraine are now holding more cards than Russia does.
If Ukraine can deliver a large blow to Russia in the next 3 months, Russia’s bargaining chips will be gone. Obviously this will not be enough to make Putin give up the war, I doubt anything would at this point.
But the combined crashing economy, failing harvests and a big loss on top of that might shake things loose inside Russia. It is quite telling that Russia is forming defence lines around Mount Yamantau.
It is not for the final stand of Russia, that is years away, if it will ever happen. No, it is the final defence lines to protect Putin. He knows that a big military loss might mean that forces will come looking for him.
Mistakes
Earlier this week Putin made a huge mistake. He started to arrest Azerbaijani people in Moscow in an attempt to scare them back into the fold. This was a huge strategic mistake. The Azerbaijani just coldly rounded up a bunch of Russians and paraded them about.
And Putin one upped his bluff, and sent aircraft across the Caspian Sea towards Baku. The Azerbaijani just said meh, and went about their anti-Russian protests. Putin should have known that there was not a lot he could do about things.
In reality he exploded since he has grown tired of everyone from Santa Clause to Cassimir Huygens have broken contact with Moscow. There was not a heck of lot he could do with Jomert being a burr in his bunghole, but Azerbaijan is smaller, so he threatened them instead as a warning to all of the other states.
It backfired obviously. He just do not have the resources, and everyone knows it. So instead he probably made a couple of other post-Soviet nations consider breaking away from their idiot former cousins to the North.
The next mistake was more of comic relief. Moldova has cut gas from being sent into Transnistria, totally ruining their economy. That has made the Transpeople quite irate with their so called government.
So the Transgovernment called Putin and asked for him to help them restore gas, and to kindly send troops to make certain that there would not be a Transmaidan in Transnistria.
And Putin in a fever haze promised to send 10 000 new Russian soldiers to Transnistria. The Punderati literally shat themselves with this news, while everyone else was down on the floor laughing our collective arses off.
Unless Russia has developped transporter technology and can beam those soldiers in, it would be a very massive undertaking on their side.
They would first have to take control over the Northern Black Sea both in sea and air. Then they would have to reinvade Snake Island, and then defeat the Air Defences in both Eastern Moldova, and the Ukrainian one from Odesa Down South, and then somehow batter their way through the air forces of Moldova, Ukraine and the EU air unit inside of Moldova.
All that Putin managed was to look incredibly stupid and ill informed about the strength of his air force. It hammered home to all post-Soviet states that Russia is now all words and no actions are possible.
The Transnistrians? Well, they have started to leave their hellhole of a mobster-nation. Soon only the secret police, mobsters, and the Russian soldiers will remain in there. Transnistria will fall come deep winter, that is now a foregone conclusion.
And then Orbanus made a mistake. He claimed that “gayism” is something forced on Hungary by EU elites, and he banned the Pride Festival in Hungary. This was then in record speed dealt with by the EU Court of Human Rights, and Hungary was found to have broken the law.
Orbanus doubled down and said that everyone would be arrested, and that he would use cameras with face recognition software. The Court stated that this was also a violation of Human Rights.
Orbanus then nailed his own coffin as he went into a rant about him rather dying than surrendering to the homoelite of the European Union.
First of all, he grosly over-rated his own popularity in Hungary. And then what he never ever would have bet on happened. EU had humour, and decided to deliver exactly what he had been talking about.
Roughly 1 000 EU parliamentarians, commissioners, other EU politicians, government politicians of other membestates, and oodles of diplomats and ambassadors decided to deliver some EU Homoelite Propaganda in person.
And then some 80 000 of the most elite gay and trans people that EU could offer showed up in Sofia for the Pride Parade. And then the 280 000 strong Parades happened across all of Hungary.
Nobody has seen Orbanus since the largest backfire in Hungarian history happened to him. The Hungarian police just said sod it and went home instead of facing the enormity of what they where facing.
To all points and purposes Orbanus is now a spent force in Hungarian politics. And now everyone recognizes that his loss in the upcoming elections is almost certainly a done deal.
It all sort of started as a joke in the Swedish parliament. 4 years ago the leader of the Sverigedemokraterna (nazi party) moaned about the risk that EU posed, and that Sweden would receive 10 000 gay Hungarians due to EU.
Now the other parties suggested that Sweden should send 10 000 gay Swedes to the pride parade there as a jibe to the Sverigedemokraterna. And a lardy bunch of Swedish gay and trans people said to themselves, “Cool!” and when they said that they would go other European LGBTQI+ organisations also started to organise trips.
And then the EU Parliament said “Cool!” and organized their trips… and from then on it was a rainbow coloured snowball.
And now I’m sitting here thinking; Give them what they fear. If they paint up boogeypeople, let us give them just that. We won in Hungary due to being who and what Europe is at the core. Free love for all, and Democracy, Egality, Justice and Liberty.
They see it as weakness and fear it, but in reality it is our superpower. What can be better than to win with love? I just wish I had been there to see it live.
While I mull how we can use beautiful love in the face of our enemies, me and TG had a chat over dinner. We will from now on carry the Prideflag on our uniforms. We are after all the Guardians of the right for people to express their love, and as such we should signal just that.
I think love is the answer to how EU will not become like previous superpowers. If love is at the core of what we are, it is hard to walk into a bad mindset as we lovingly scheme and plot for world domination.
And, love is the greatest power there is."
Decent_Left
Well-known member
Courtesy of Kate from Kharkiv
Things that get me raging
Things that cheer me
bsky.app
**** Putin
Things that get me raging
Things that cheer me
Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social)
Woow what a boom! Hot in Khartsyzk, Russia. 💥🤌 Ammunition depot hit.
bsky.app
**** Putin
Jonny_Rondos_Disco_pants
Well-known member
just been talking about the Azerbaijani situation. The Zangezur corridor, shooting down the airliner, schools in Armenia and Azerbaijan not teaching in Russian etc.
It’s building.
It’s building.
A channel to subscribe to ... the aim is to get him to 75k subscribers in the first week I believe.
Decent_Left
Well-known member
Even better
MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social)
☠️☠️ The liquidation of Major General Gudkov's friend, an officer of the Russian Navy, Narim Shykhaliev, was also confirmed.
bsky.app
Plus another dozen or so, decent Himars action.
BobUpnDown
Well-known member
Go on the Denmark 
www.politico.eu
Denmark pushes to suspend Hungary’s EU voting rights
Danish European Affairs Minister Marie Bjerre says Copenhagen will ramp up Article 7 proceedings against Budapest.
www.politico.eu
Dirtyderekbracken
Well-known member
Hmmm
