The 9am figures not disclosed yet?

As of 9am on 6 September, 7,018,927 people have tested positive for COVID-19 in the UK.

Positive cases were 41,192 (26,476 on corresponding day last week).

45 deaths were reported today (48 on corresponding day last week).

156,119 deaths with Covid-19 on the death certificate (up to 20 August).

48,270,113 have had a first dose vaccination. 21,795 first dose vaccinations yesterday. 43,455,083 have had a second dose. 73,193 second dose vaccinations today
Be interesting to see if this (and last week) is school LFD's and later PCR's, and additional household PCR's finding cases which would have gone under the radar, if it's the impact of festival/ BH weekend or if it's just accelerating anyway.

I think (hope) we're still turning a corner, downward, albeit the festivals and school reopenings will give us a bump, which we're seeing now, I just hope it's temporary. Prior to the BH weekend and Schools, we were levelling off and dropping, in England especially. And Scotland seem to have peaked for all age groups already, after their recent rise.

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Today's headline analysis:

• 41,192 new cases reported in 24-hour period, up from yesterday's 37,011
• 7-day average for new cases increases by 5.9% to 37,698 per day, following 1.6% increase yesterday (and 28th increase in the past 32 days)
• 7-day average for new cases is 12.2% higher than one week ago (from 3.6% higher yesterday) and 14.3% higher than two weeks ago (from 9.6% higher yesterday and 15.5% higher 7 days ago)
• 45 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, down from 68 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test decreases by 0.4% to 112.7 per day, following 0.9% increase yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 2.0% lower than one week ago (from 0.6% lower yesterday) and 12.6% higher than two weeks ago (from 15.3% higher yesterday and 29.0% higher 7 days ago)
 
That's a sizeable jump in cases there and probably set to rise more given schools went back today.

Do either of you guys have links to transmittability after vaccination? I ask because I was looking today at the government website on covid and it said something like... It is likely it is more difficult to transmit the virus once vaccinated. I would have assumed we would know this by now.
 
Be interesting to see if this (and last week) is school LFD's and later PCR's, and additional household PCR's finding cases which would have gone under the radar, if it's the impact of festival/ BH weekend or if it's just accelerating anyway.

Plus the impact of compulsory testing ppl before and after foreign holidays which had a boost in second half of august
 
That's a sizeable jump in cases there and probably set to rise more given schools went back today.

Do either of you guys have links to transmittability after vaccination? I ask because I was looking today at the government website on covid and it said something like... It is likely it is more difficult to transmit the virus once vaccinated. I would have assumed we would know this by now.
Don't forget it was bank holiday last Monday.
 
I think it's a semi-artificial rise, basically down to bad timing and the perfect storm of probably the most typically active weekend socially in summer (which knocks on a week later), combined with schools being back, and a mass ramp-up of testing of the most susceptible, which will pick up more cases, but should also prevent some future transmission, as more would be picked up than typical.

Very hard to say though, but maybe underneath this boost, naturally we would have still been running around level or even dropping. Don't think there's any great cause of alarm yet, but it does need to be kept an eye on. There was a decent-sized increase of tube/ public transport users this week, which will no doubt continue. I'm hoping for a spike and then a sharp drop, like after the Euro's/ end of July.

Be interesting to see the results of the weekly random monitoring on Friday, but this in itself is on a two-week delay.
 
Media priming the country for semi lockdown in October.
Makes sense to prepare, and not need it, than to need it and not prepare.

I doubt it will be needed, but wouldn't bank on that until we've had another couple of weeks of data.
 
Makes sense to prepare, and not need it, than to need it and not prepare.

I doubt it will be needed, but wouldn't bank on that until we've had another couple of weeks of data.
It's already coming, media wouldn't have been briefed otherwise.
 
As of 9am on 7 September, 7,056,106 people have tested positive for COVID-19 in the UK.

Positive cases were 37,489 (32,181 on corresponding day last week).

209 deaths were reported today (50 on corresponding day last week).

156,888 deaths with Covid-19 on the death certificate (up to 27 August).

48,292,811 have had a first dose vaccination. 22,698 first dose vaccinations yesterday. 43,535,098 have had a second dose. 80,015 second dose vaccinations today
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 37,489 new cases reported in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 41,192
• 7-day average for new cases increases by 2.0% to 38,456 per day, following 5.9% increase yesterday (and 29th increase in the past 33 days)
• 7-day average for new cases is 13.9% higher than one week ago (from 12.2% higher yesterday) and 14.6% higher than two weeks ago (from 14.3% higher yesterday and 14.2% higher 7 days ago)
• 207 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, up from 45 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test increases by 20.2% to 135.4 per day, following 0.4% decrease yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 39.2% higher than one week ago (from 2.0% lower yesterday) and 34.5% higher than two weeks ago (from 12.6% higher yesterday and 5.1% higher 7 days ago)

Bank holiday effect in the dramatic week-on-week increase in new deaths. Expect both that and the 7-day average to come down somewhat over the next few days.
 
Why are our cases still so high and who is dying???

I'm not wanting to start another cos the tories are crap thing and cos Boris doesn't have a clue but when you look around Europe it seems their cases are low and decreasing. Do France, Spain, Greece etc have more restrictions in place than us.

Just asking out of genuine curiosity?
 
It's already coming, media wouldn't have been briefed otherwise.
They might not have been briefed, it's probably just one of 10 scenarios.

Anyone looking at a linear graph, without thinking in too much detail would think there's a problem coming, but this may not be a reality if we're just in a localised spike, which is hard to tell. It may not even be a localised spike, it might just be another wave, which could peak before then.

If it was needed, October half term is a good time for a circuit breaker, just like it was in 2020, but they didn't do it, and there was more reason too then.

Being prepared for a few scenarios is fine.
 
Why are our cases still so high and who is dying???

I'm not wanting to start another cos the tories are crap thing and cos Boris doesn't have a clue but when you look around Europe it seems their cases are low and decreasing. Do France, Spain, Greece etc have more restrictions in place than us.

Just asking out of genuine curiosity?
We had a larger longer base of high cases, have been fully open for two months and before that had an extra month of underestimated massive indoor mixing during the Euro's, up to the final.

Europe is largely open, but they still have some light restrictions like masks in restaurants and on public transport etc. We don't have any basic restrictions as our government are pandering to the far right and the fools that keep them in power.

Europe's also vaccinating more younger folk, and their vaccine numbers are good enough to contain their level of virus, it seems like we will need higher vax/ previous infection numbers to contain our activity/ lack of protective measures.

They may also be helped by some seasonality, we've had below-average weather for a month or so, even for England, and compared to the EU it's terrible. Probably more working indoors, with no ventilation etc as it's been relatively cold.

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