The 9am figures not disclosed yet?

There were 67 deaths on 23 March.
Thanks Bear.. .and oh dear, I didn't realize the death numbers were so small before the first lockdown. I would hope the app being released will help reduce numbers of infected that are out and about.
 
We are heading into this rise with a huge amount of social distancing going on compared with March so, hopefully, things will take off slower than March.
Ye I just think cases are rising quick and deaths are pretty much guaranteed to rise over the next 3 weeks

then I believe the new measures don’t do enough and we’ll continue to see a rise unless something changes

full lockdown at some point in the next month
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 6,634 new cases reported in 24-hour period, up from yesterday's 6,178
• 7-day average for new cases increases by 10.3% to 4,964 per day, following 7.5% increase yesterday (and 32nd increase in the past 34 days)
• 7-day average for new cases is 48.0% higher than one week ago (from 37.0% higher yesterday) and 96.0% higher than two weeks ago (from 90.5% higher yesterday and 133.8% higher 7 days ago)
• 40 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, up from 37 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test increases by 10.7% to 28 per day, following 10.6% increase yesterday (and 11th increase in the past 12 days)
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 103.1% higher than one week ago (from 97.8% higher yesterday) and 143.2% higher than two weeks ago (from 122.5% higher yesterday and 94.0% higher 7 days ago)
 
Gaz, I would expect the government to wait, rightly or wrongly and see how the current restrictions play out. In truth it may be too late already to contain a second spike of the same proportions as the first. Bear, Billy do you know what the mortality figures were like when we first locked down in March?

We’re about 3 days away from that. We’re supposed to be 5-6 weeks behind France/Spain. I think we’ll overtake them in 2

I'm certainly not disagreeing that we're facing a very serious situation and the coming weeks/months are likely to be extremely difficult. However, we need to keep where we are (currently) in perspective.

On the day we went into full lockdown, 23rd March, the UK announced 967 new infections and 76 new deaths. That compares with the announcement of 6,634 new infections and 40 deaths in the last 24 hours. So, on the face of it a similar, if not worse, situation.

However, back in March we weren't testing anywhere near enough people and the virus was growing exponentially. The number of confirmed new cases was doubling every 3/4 days. New deaths were doubling slightly more rapidly than that. The positive rate per test processed was around 10%.

As of today, the number of confirmed new cases is doubling every 14/15 days. New deaths are currently doubling every 7 days. The positive rate per test processed is about 2% (and doubling approx. every 12 days).

So, the good news is that we're not yet at the point where we were in March, we have a better (if imperfect) testing system in place and we have a lot more data available now, which is enabling us to more accurately track our current position and likely trajectory. The fact of the matter is that we were in a much worse situation back in February and early March than anybody realised at the time.

However, the bad news is that, towards the end of March, we were coming towards the end of the upwards path and nearing the point where things began to gradually improve. This time, unfortunately, we probably have months of pain ahead of us.
 
All true Billy, I think my worry is that the government will have a real reluctance to shut down again, I suspect first time around there was a suspicion that a quick sharp shutdown would solve the problem. With no shut down we will probably take a long time to reach the peak but I expect to see rising figures for a large part of the winter months.

I accept that the infection rate is much lower based on+ve test results v the amount of testing. We were on our way in to spring first time around, now we are on our way into winter.
 
We’re about 3 days away from that. We’re supposed to be 5-6 weeks behind France/Spain. I think we’ll overtake them in 2
Have France and Spain gone into full lockdown nationwide?
Has any country gone into a full lockdown again after the first one?

If people think some folk ignored the first one if they announced another one there will be even more people ignoring it.

Full lockdown doesn't do anything but move the spread of the virus further along the calender. So when does that stop happening? When a 50/50 chance of success vaccine comes along? When the virus magically goes away?
 
Have France and Spain gone into full lockdown nationwide?
Has any country gone into a full lockdown again after the first one?

If people think some folk ignored the first one if they announced another one there will be even more people ignoring it.

Full lockdown doesn't do anything but move the spread of the virus further along the calender. So when does that stop happening? When a 50/50 chance of success vaccine comes along? When the virus magically goes away?
I’m not advocating a full lockdown. I can see where this government will cos they don’t have a handle on it
 
The problem is the government have had 6 months to plan for winter and they seem to have done nothing other than increase the availability for testing. We should have had a pandemic plan that managed itself, we should have

Proper measures at ports for ingress into the country, temperatures, testing and isolation.
Better estimated the volume of testing that would have been required, then added 50% to it and achieved that.
The mobile app should have been up and running months ago
Economic packages all worked out in the event of commercial restrictions
Trigger points for legislation introduction and what that legislation might be
Well thought out legislation that could have been published months ago and debated and amended long before it needed to be enforced, rule of 6, simple but moronic would be one example.
Engage the public in the steps required, ad campaigns, easily understood metrics for the public
Availability of GPS tracking devices for those that cannot use the app
Policing guidelines for enforcement
Plans to use the best people for the jobs that are required not the biggest donors.
How do we protect care homes and the elderly

I could go on, in the absence of all the above the government are left with half assed measures or full lockdown.
 
As of 9am on 25 September, 423,237 people have tested positive for COVID-19 in the UK.

Positive cases (pillars 1, 2 and 4) were 6,874. Information on which pillar has been discontinued.

34 deaths were reported today. No figures for Scotland included today.
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 6,873 new cases reported in 24-hour period, up from yesterday's 6,634
• 7-day average for new cases increases by 7.3% to 5,329 per day, following 10.3% increase yesterday (and 33rd increase in the past 35 days)
• 7-day average for new cases is 53.7% higher than one week ago (from 48.0% higher yesterday) and 93.0% higher than two weeks ago (from 96.0% higher yesterday and 126.6% higher 7 days ago)
• 34 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, down from 40 yesterday (today's figure does not include Scotland)
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test increases by 3.6% to 29 per day, following 10.7% increase yesterday (and 12th increase in the past 13 days)
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 72.9% higher than one week ago (from 103.1% higher yesterday) and 164.9% higher than two weeks ago (from 143.2% higher yesterday and 131.4% higher 7 days ago)
 
Whilst it is not a like-for-like comparison, due to the greater availability of testing, today's new cases figures represent a record number of new cases and a record high for the 7-day average for new cases in the United Kingdom.
 
Highest number of positive tests (7-day average) as a proportion of all tests processed (7-day average) since 3rd June.
Highest 7-day average for hospital admissions since 28th June (probably since slightly before then, as the most recent data available does not include Scotland).
Highest number of people on ventilation since 1st July.
Highest 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test since 13th July.
First instance of four consecutive days with 30 or more new deaths announced since 10th July.
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 6,042 new cases reported in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 6,874
• 7-day average for new cases increases by 4.3% to 5,560 per day, following 7.3% increase yesterday (and 34th increase in the past 36 days)
• 7-day average for new cases is 54.5% higher than one week ago (from 53.7% higher yesterday) and 85.2% higher than two weeks ago (from 93.0% higher yesterday and 120.7% higher 7 days ago)
• 34 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, slightly down from 35 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test increases by 3.4% to 30 per day, following 4.1% increase yesterday (and 13th increase in the past 14 days)
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 55.9% higher than one week ago (from 73.7% higher yesterday) and 186.5% higher than two weeks ago (from 166.2% higher yesterday and 166.7% higher 7 days ago)
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 5,692 new cases reported in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 6,042
• 7-day average for new cases increases by 4.6% to 5,816 per day, following 4.3% increase yesterday (and 35th increase in the past 37 days)
• 7-day average for new cases is 58.1% higher than one week ago (from 54.5% higher yesterday) and 90.7% higher than two weeks ago (from 85.2% higher yesterday and 103.0% higher 7 days ago)
• 17 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, slightly down from 34 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test decreases by 0.5% to 30 per day, following 3.4% increase yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 41.6% higher than one week ago (from 55.9% higher yesterday) and 174.0% higher than two weeks ago (from 186.5% higher yesterday and 186.5% higher 7 days ago)
 
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