The 9am figures not disclosed yet?

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From the ECDC.

It is possible to delve into the excel sheets and see the data for ICU admissions too. Slight increase recently, expected with a rise in cases. Way below levels seen in April despite considerable 'opening up' of societies. I'll post some data for Spain shortly.
 
Recent data for spain.....

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Lots of news headlines for when cases were rising, less so when cases have been dropping (there have been some reports there could be a revision to the numbers, lets see). How has that translated into hospital admissions.....

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We'll see from the next ECDC update how that has changed in the early part of Sept.

Similar patterns for Germany, Italy, Belgium. Makes for less dramatic news headlines than when cases are rising though. Again, this is all within the context of an 'opening up' of society.

At the start of all this I was critical of a ridiculously slow response of government (and under estimation of the risk) in the face of enough data to show the growing threat of SARS-CoV-2 and now find myself in the odd position of being critical because of an overestimation of risk!

I am not saying it poses no risk, I am not saying there will or won't be a "2nd wave" but we have to act on the data that is currently available and I just don't see how the current available data justifies the restrictions that will be put in place from Monday. It makes no sense.
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 2,659 new cases reported in 24-hour period, up from yesterday's 2,460
• 7-day average for new cases increases by 7.5% to 2,363 per day, following 8.2% increase yesterday (and 18th increase in the past 19 days)
• 7-day average for new cases is 68.3% higher than one week ago (from 64.3% higher yesterday) and 113.5% higher than two weeks ago (from 104.9% higher yesterday and 34.7% higher 7 days ago)
• 8 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, down from 32 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test decreases by 2.4% to 11 per day, following 54.7% increase yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 63.3% higher than one week ago (from 49.1% higher yesterday) and 17.6% higher than two weeks ago (from 20.6% higher yesterday and 27.9% lower 7 days ago)
 
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Today's headline analysis:

• 2,919 new cases reported in 24-hour period, up from yesterday's 2,659
• 7-day average for new cases increases by 7.2% to 2,363 per day, following 7.5% increase yesterday (and 19th increase in the past 20 days)
• 7-day average for new cases is 76.5% higher than one week ago (from 68.3% higher yesterday) and 119.2% higher than two weeks ago (from 113.5% higher yesterday and 36.6% higher 7 days ago)
• 14 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, up from 8 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test increases by 1.3% to 12 per day, following 2.4% decrease yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 62.0% higher than one week ago (from 63.3% higher yesterday) and 9.5% higher than two weeks ago (from 17.6% higher yesterday and 10.7% lower 7 days ago)
 
I keep reading/hearing from the usual suspects in the media that we shouldn't worry too much about the rise in infections, because hospital admissions are still falling.

Two weeks ago, the 7-day average for hospital admissions in the UK was 93 per day. On the 7th September (the latest data available), the 7-day average for hospital admissions was 133 per day. That's a rise of 41.5% in a fortnight and the most recent data doesn't include Scotland, so the actual figure will be a little higher.

All of this information is publicly available. I do wish that journalists would do their research and challenge some of these statements being broadcast without any evidence to support them.
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 3,539 new cases reported in 24-hour period, up from yesterday's 2,919
• 7-day average for new cases increases by 9.0% to 2,761 per day, following 7.2% increase yesterday (and 20th increase in the past 21 days)
• 7-day average for new cases is 80.5% higher than one week ago (from 76.5% higher yesterday) and 132.0% higher than two weeks ago (from 119.2% higher yesterday and 54.1% higher 7 days ago)
• 6 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, down from 14 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test decreases by 4.9% to 11 per day, following 1.3% increase yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 51.0% higher than one week ago (from 62.0% higher yesterday) and 4.9% lower than two weeks ago (from 9.5% higher yesterday and 8.5% higher 7 days ago)
 
The proportion of positive tests of total tests processed per day (7-day averages) has increased from 0.467% on 4th August to 1.238% on 10th September.

136 people were admitted to hospital in England due to Covid-19 on 9th September, the highest number since 13th July.
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 3,497 new cases reported in 24-hour period, slightly down from yesterday's 3,539
• 7-day average for new cases increases by 8.7% to 3,001 per day, following 9.0% increase yesterday (and 21st increase in the past 22 days)
• 7-day average for new cases is 84.1% higher than one week ago (from 80.5% higher yesterday) and 157.8% higher than two weeks ago (from 132.0% higher yesterday and 59.5% higher 7 days ago)
• 9 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, up from 6 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test decreases by 3.9% to 11 per day, following 4.9% decrease yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 45.1% higher than one week ago (from 51.0% higher yesterday) and 1.3% lower than two weeks ago (from 4.9% lower yesterday and 17.7% lower 7 days ago)
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 3,330 new cases reported in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 3,497
• 7-day average for new cases increases by 1.6% to 3,050 per day, following 8.7% increase yesterday (and 22nd increase in the past 23 days)
• 7-day average for new cases is 68.3% higher than one week ago (from 84.1% higher yesterday) and 145.3% higher than two weeks ago (from 157.8% higher yesterday and 74.3% higher 7 days ago)
• 5 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, down from 9 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test increases by 4.1% to 11 per day, following 3.9% decrease yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 48.1% higher than one week ago (from 45.1% higher yesterday) and 10.0% higher than two weeks ago (from 1.3% lower yesterday and 17.5% lower 7 days ago)
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 2,621 new cases reported in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 3,330
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 1.5% to 3,004 per day, following 1.6% increase yesterday
• 7-day average for new cases is 47.8% higher than one week ago (from 68.3% higher yesterday) and 127.1% higher than two weeks ago (from 145.3% higher yesterday and 91.8% higher 7 days ago)
• 9 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, up from 5 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test increases by 7.8% to 12 per day, following 4.1% increase yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 48.1% higher than one week ago (from 48.1% higher yesterday) and 22.1% higher than two weeks ago (from 10.0% higher yesterday and 17.2% lower 7 days ago)
 
As of 9am on 15 September, 374,228 people have tested positive for COVID-19 in the UK.

Positive cases (pillars 1, 2 and 4) were 3,105. Information on which pillar has been discontinued. Send to have been a small adjustment of the total.

27 deaths were reported today.
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 3,105 new cases reported in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 2,621
• 7-day average for new cases increases by 3.1% to 3,096 per day, following 1.5% decrease yesterday (and 23rd increase in the past 25 days)
• 7-day average for new cases is 40.8% higher than one week ago (from 47.8% higher yesterday) and 131.3% higher than two weeks ago (from 127.1% higher yesterday and 104.9% higher 7 days ago)
• 27 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, up from 9 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test decreases by 6.0% to 11 per day, following 7.8% increase yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 4.9% lower than one week ago (from 56.6% higher yesterday) and 41.8% higher than two weeks ago (from 22.1% higher yesterday and 20.6% higher 7 days ago)
 
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